Duplex
106 Mcalpin St · Albany, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Take advantage of this prime investment opportunity with this duplex located in Albany! Featuring two spacious units, this property is ideal for maximizing rental income. A key highlight is the 4-car garage, currently rented out, providing valuable additional cash flow. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and parks, this duplex is well-positioned to attract quality tenants. With its strong income potential and desirable location, this property is a must-see for any investor looking to enhance their portfolio!
Key facts
- Two spacious units
- 4-car garage
- Desirable location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $864 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $432/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $265k).
- Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Albany High School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #710 of 1,100 statewide, top 65%, 2,676 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Albany City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $195k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.97%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $304,128
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Hampton St | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 | 2,104 (-9%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $112 | 80 |
| 105 Southern Blvd | 0.08mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,446 (+6%) | 1mo | $405,000 | $166 | 72 |
| 48 W Van Vechten St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 2,166 (-6%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $78 | 67 |
| 7 Bohl Ave | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 2,132 (-8%) | 9mo | $300,000 | $141 | 66 |
| 3 Hurlbut St | 0.39mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,342 (+2%) | 18mo | $233,000 | $99 | 59 |
| 29 Garden St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 2,244 (-3%) | 12mo | $300,000 | $134 | 58 |
| 26 Marinello Ter | 0.43mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,210 (-4%) | 14mo | $413,000 | $187 | 55 |
| 15 Cuyler Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,044 (-11%) | 7mo | $300,000 | $147 | 54 |
| 3 S Marshall St | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 | 1,989 (-14%) | 16mo | $233,000 | $117 | 52 |
| 13 Barclay St | 0.60mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,148 (-7%) | 11mo | $230,000 | $107 | 47 |
| 12 Delaware Ter | 0.75mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,256 (-2%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $80 | 45 |
| 28 Magnolia Ter | 0.70mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,088 (-9%) | 21mo | $276,000 | $132 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $12,203
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $81,979
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12209
- Home prices YoY
- -7.3%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,558 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$447 /mo · $5,362/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$747
- Net cashflow
- $864
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,014 | -5% $939 | +0% $864 | +5% $789 | +10% $714 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $583 | -5% $723 | +0% $864 | +5% $1,004 | +10% $1,145 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $997 | -0.5pp $931 | base $864 | +0.5pp $795 | +1.0pp $725 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,558 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,779 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,779 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,558 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Stanwix St Albany, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1660 | $2,500 | $1.51 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 201 Park Ave Unit 10 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 119 Grand St Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-04-03status Pending
-
2026-03-04price $265,000
-
2025-11-19$275,000 Active
-
2025-04-21status Active
-
2025-03-22historical Contingent
-
2025-03-22historical
-
2025-03-12$275,000 Active
-
2024-12-04historical
-
2024-10-15price $275,000
-
2024-07-08$285,000 Active
-
2022-03-14soldstatus $195,000
-
2022-02-06price $188,000
-
2021-12-14status Pending
-
2021-11-27$209,000 New
-
2013-03-18soldstatus $110,000
-
2013-02-07soldstatus $110,000
-
2012-11-06historical
-
2012-08-21$119,900
-
2012-07-27historical
-
2012-04-05$147,000
-
2012-04-03historical
-
2012-02-06$158,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,362 · $447/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,362 · $447/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$5,362
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,416
- − Management
- −$3,416
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable income
- $6,624
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,590
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,776/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albany City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602460
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,568
- Composite
- 32.34/100
- National rank
- #5744
- State rank
- #543 of 590 in NY
Livability — Albany
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #129
- US rank
- #2083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albany, NY
- City population
- 116,921
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,754
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 19% Asian 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.91%
- Current HPI
- 318.0191
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+67.5% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $265,000 Global MLS
- 2025-11-19 Listed $275,000 Global MLS
- 2025-04-21 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2025-03-22 Contingent — Global MLS
- 2025-03-22 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2025-03-12 Listed $275,000 Global MLS
- 2024-12-04 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2024-10-15 Price Changed $275,000 Global MLS
- 2024-07-08 Listed $285,000 Global MLS
- 2022-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-06 Price Changed $188,000 Global MLS
- 2021-12-14 Pending — Global MLS
- 2021-11-27 Listed $209,000 Global MLS
- 2013-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2013-02-07 Sold (MLS) $110,000 Global MLS
- 2012-11-06 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2012-08-21 Listed $119,900 Global MLS
- 2012-07-27 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2012-04-05 Listed $147,000 Global MLS
- 2012-04-03 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2012-02-06 Listed $158,200 Global MLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,362 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…