810 Lake Shore Dr #19 · Lake Park, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well kept 2B/1B ground floor condo located in Lake Park just steps from Kelsey Park! Updates throughout including kitchen S/S appliances, granite countertops, flooring, bathroom, etc. Super convenient location just off US1 and Northlake Blvd with close proximity to the waterfront.
Key facts
- Remodeled bathroom
- New shower
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; HOA amenities include laundry; Association fee covers insurance, grounds maintenance, sewer, and water
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Sewer and water available
- Home design: Condominium; Multi/split levels; 2 total stories; North-facing
- Construction: CBS construction
- Exterior features: No waterfront; Entry level living area
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Window/wall heating; Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Entry level living area
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Building laundry available via association
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($370/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#542 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lake Park Elementary School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #690 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 389 students, 83% FRL); Howell L. Watkins Middle School (math 18% / reading 33%, grade F, #512 of 571 statewide, top 90%, 794 students, 76% FRL); Palm Beach Gardens High School (math 19% / reading 40%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 2,570 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,412/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 903% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $92k; list at $215k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.12%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-21,603
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $32,656
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33403
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,412 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$246 /mo · $2,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$775
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$716
- Net cashflow
- $31
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913 Lake Shore Dr Lake Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1066 | $3,731 | $3.50 | 2d | 9 | 0.09mi |
| 220 Lake Shore Dr Lake Park, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–3.5 | 1575 | $14,498 | $9.20 | 5d | 18 | 0.40mi |
| 522 Eastwind Dr North Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 948 | $3,995 | $4.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 524 Eastwind Dr Unit 524 North Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 774 | $3,995 | $5.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 526 Eastwind Dr Unit 526 North Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $3,995 | $4.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 308 Southwind Ct Unit 8 North Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,900 | $2.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 410 Wilma Cir #103 Riviera Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $4,000 | $3.79 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 400 Wilma Cir #309 Riviera Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $4,000 | $4.89 | 5d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 901 W 37th St Riviera Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,895 | $3.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1025 Sugar Sands Blvd #159 Riviera Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 987 | $4,200 | $4.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 624 Southwind Cir #2 North Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 718 | $3,750 | $5.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 256 E 24th St Riviera Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $3,500 | $5.30 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 300 E 24th St Riviera Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $3,000 | $4.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 158 E 23rd St Riviera Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,900 | $2.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 158 E 23rd St Riviera Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,900 | $2.61 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5400 N Ocean Dr Riviera Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1300 | $6,500 | $5.00 | 22d | 3 | 1.35mi |
| 2545 Conroy Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $3,295 | $3.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $775 · $9,300/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $215,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-05-18status Active
-
2026-05-09status Pending
-
2026-04-03price $215,000
-
2026-01-19$230,000 Active
-
2025-04-16historical
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2025-03-13$199,000 Active
-
2019-05-24soldstatus $92,000
-
2019-04-29soldstatus $92,000 Closed 281-char remark
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Well kept 2B/1B ground floor condo located in Lake Park just steps from Kelsey Park! Updates throughout including kitchen S/S appliances, granite countertops, flooring, bathroom, etc. Super convenient location just off US1 and Northlake Blvd with close proximity to the waterfront.
-
2019-04-03historical Contingent 281-char remark
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Well kept 2B/1B ground floor condo located in Lake Park just steps from Kelsey Park! Updates throughout including kitchen S/S appliances, granite countertops, flooring, bathroom, etc. Super convenient location just off US1 and Northlake Blvd with close proximity to the waterfront.
-
2019-04-01$90,000 Active 281-char remark
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Well kept 2B/1B ground floor condo located in Lake Park just steps from Kelsey Park! Updates throughout including kitchen S/S appliances, granite countertops, flooring, bathroom, etc. Super convenient location just off US1 and Northlake Blvd with close proximity to the waterfront.
-
2015-06-22historical
-
2015-05-25$75,000 Active
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2000-04-26soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,950 · $246/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,950 · $246/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,941
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$2,950
- − Insurance
- −$6,194
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,275
- − Management
- −$3,275
- − HOA
- −$9,300
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$2,351
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$564
- After-tax cash flow
- $934/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lake Park
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #542
- US rank
- #10167
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Park, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 14,370
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,370
- Household income
- $70,646
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 903.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 5%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 15% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 17% Spanish 12% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.30%
- Current HPI
- 461.4045
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.97%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+514.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-05-09 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $215,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-19 Listed $230,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-04-16 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-03-13 Listed $199,000 Beaches MLS
- 2019-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 2019-04-29 Sold (MLS) $92,000 Beaches MLS
- 2019-04-03 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2019-04-01 Listed $90,000 Beaches MLS
- 2015-06-22 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2015-05-25 Listed $75,000 Beaches MLS
- 2000-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,950 · +10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…