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114 Misty River Ln
D Composite 40.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.6/30.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.7/10.0
  • DSCR +0.1/10.0

$400,000

114 Misty River Ln · Huntsville, AL 35824
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,390 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 2008 10,500 sqft lot $167/sqft · 10% below area Est $480k · 17% under $33/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Amazing location for this 4 beds & 3.5 baths home! Soaring ceilings, covered back patio with spacious backyard, & plenty of storage with walk-in attic storage! Isolated primary bedroom with a huge walk-in closet! Beds 2 & 3 have walk-in closets & share a connected bath! Bed 4 is upstairs with a full bath & could be considered a bonus room! Large functional kitchen has an eat-in area, lots of cabinets, pantry, & kitchen island! The spacious living room is open to the dining room & has tall ceilings, gas logs fireplace, & lots of natural light. Conveniently located near Redstone Arsenal, I-565, & Town Madison. HOA Pool, tennis court, & playground.

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Eat-in area
  • Walk-in closets

Tags

COVERED BACK PATIOWALK-IN ATTIC STORAGEISOLATED PRIMARY BEDROOMWALK-IN CLOSETSFUNCTIONAL KITCHENEAT-IN AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-828 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (36.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (42.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $229k (42.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Williams Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 521 students, 45% FRL); Williams Middle School (math 16% / reading 50%, grade F, #101 of 257 statewide, top 40%, 548 students, 58% FRL); Columbia High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #220 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 954 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.6%/yr); 110 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $30k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($388k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $229,167 (42.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.57%
Cap rate
3.81%
Cash-on-cash
-8.87%
DSCR
0.61
GRM
14.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$479,574
List price
$400,000
Delta
-16.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
119 SW Morningwalk Ln 0.22mi 4/3.0 2,555 (+7%) 2mo $375,000 $147 72
107 Rainwood Dr SW 0.29mi 4/2.5 2,469 (+3%) 12mo $394,000 $160 69
124 Rainwood Dr SW 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,117 (-11%) 12mo $360,000 $170 57
105 Arbor Hill Ln SW 0.33mi 4/2.5 2,650 (+11%) 11mo $355,000 $134 55
100 Paddington Grn 0.55mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,441 (+2%) 10mo $349,900 $143 55
133 Arbor Hill Ln SW 0.21mi 4/2.5 2,690 (+13%) 18mo $399,000 $148 53
119 Pintail Pointe Cir 0.39mi 4/2.5 2,609 (+9%) 19mo $490,000 $188 49
4 Silky Oak Cir SW 0.74mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,327 (-3%) 10mo $400,000 $172 46
111 Paddington Grn 0.54mi 4/2.5 2,200 (-8%) 17mo $385,000 $175 45
9051 Redstone Square Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,060 (-14%) 13mo $395,000 $192 42
117 Morland Pointe SW 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,117 (-11%) 20mo $370,000 $175 30
423 Raleigh Elm Dr SW 0.57mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,674 (+12%) 18mo $500,055 $187 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.69% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$72,460
Equity at exit
$268,974
10-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$238,643
Equity at exit
$503,658

Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35824

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Rents YoY
-3.6%
Active inventory
110
Price-to-rent
14.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,292 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,098
Tax from tax record
$341 /mo · $4,094/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$481
Net cashflow
$-828

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,340
Max offer price $253,725
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-602 -5% $-715 +0% $-828 +5% $-941 +10% $-1,054
Rent -10% $-1,009 -5% $-919 +0% $-828 +5% $-738 +10% $-647
Rate -1.0pp $-627 -0.5pp $-726 base $-828 +0.5pp $-932 +1.0pp $-1,037

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$100,000
Closing costs
$12,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
126 Windridge Way SW Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.5 2845 $3,300 $1.16 45d 1 0.14mi
119 Windsor Hill Rd SW Unit 119 Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 1768 $1,800 $1.02 25d 1 0.31mi
103 Rainwood Dr SW Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.5 2155 $2,400 $1.11 45d 1 0.32mi
441 Ripple Lake Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1850 $2,150 $1.16 25d 1 0.51mi
439 Ripple Lake Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1837 $2,150 $1.17 45d 1 0.51mi
404 Tillane Park Cir SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1850 $2,050 $1.11 45d 1 0.64mi
12 Silky Oak Cir SW Huntsville, AL 5.0 2.5 2756 $2,400 $0.87 45d 1 0.77mi
102 Spinnaker Ridge Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 2150 $2,100 $0.98 45d 1 0.80mi
475 E Mossyleaf Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1950 $2,050 $1.05 45d 1 0.87mi
325 Acorn Grove Ln SW Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.0 1950 $2,200 $1.13 15d 1 0.89mi
407 E Mossyleaf Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 2288 $2,175 $0.95 45d 1 0.90mi
483 E Mossyleaf Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1826 $2,000 $1.10 25d 1 0.91mi
44 Atherton Cir SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1742 $2,000 $1.15 45d 1 1.04mi
525 W Mossyleaf Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1672 $1,700 $1.02 25d 1 1.06mi
27 Atherton Cir SW Unit N Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1780 $1,900 $1.07 25d 1 1.07mi
5 Atherton Cir SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 1908 $2,500 $1.31 25d 1 1.14mi
102 W Lake Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.5 2150 $1,700 $0.79 15d 1 1.23mi
702 Sluice Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,850 $1.00 45d 1 1.28mi
242 Shadow Ct SW Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.5 2227 $1,750 $0.79 45d 1 1.33mi
226 Shadow Ct SW Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.0 1820 $1,750 $0.96 15d 1 1.34mi
241 Shadow Ct SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 1650 $1,700 $1.03 45d 1 1.36mi
108 Napolean Ave Madison, AL 4.0 3.5 2761 $3,650 $1.32 25d 1 1.45mi
107 Poydras St Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 2457 $3,450 $1.40 23d 1 1.46mi
515 Dunlop Blvd Huntsville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1110 $1,674 $1.51 15d 32 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr
Likely covers
gaspool

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 693-char remark
    Show marketing remark (693 chars)

    Amazing location for this 4 beds & 3.5 baths home! Soaring ceilings, covered back patio with spacious backyard, & plenty of storage with walk-in attic storage! Isolated primary bedroom with a huge walk-in closet! Beds 2 & 3 have walk-in closets & share a connected bath! Bed 4 is upstairs with a full bath & could be considered a bonus room! Large functional kitchen has an eat-in area, lots of cabinets, pantry, & kitchen island! The spacious living room is open to the dining room & has tall ceilings, gas logs fireplace, & lots of natural light. Conveniently located near Redstone Arsenal, I-565, & Town Madison. HOA Pool, tennis court, & playground.

  2. 2026-04-06
    listed $400,000 Active 693-char remark
    Show marketing remark (693 chars)

    Amazing location for this 4 beds & 3.5 baths home! Soaring ceilings, covered back patio with spacious backyard, & plenty of storage with walk-in attic storage! Isolated primary bedroom with a huge walk-in closet! Beds 2 & 3 have walk-in closets & share a connected bath! Bed 4 is upstairs with a full bath & could be considered a bonus room! Large functional kitchen has an eat-in area, lots of cabinets, pantry, & kitchen island! The spacious living room is open to the dining room & has tall ceilings, gas logs fireplace, & lots of natural light. Conveniently located near Redstone Arsenal, I-565, & Town Madison. HOA Pool, tennis court, & playground.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,094 · $341/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,094 · $341/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,500
− Mortgage interest
−$22,406
− Property taxes
−$4,094
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,200
− Management
−$2,200
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$11,636
Taxable loss
−$17,432
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,184
After-tax cash flow
$-5,753/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huntsville City
NCES district ID
0101800
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$48,264
Composite
28.84/100
National rank
#6647
State rank
#48 of 129 in AL

Livability — Huntsville

Score
82/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1082

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntsville, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
220,435
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
9,645
Household income
$103,619
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
451.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Black 27% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 7% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.69%
Current HPI
269.5596
Rent YoY
▼ -3.65%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending VMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $400,000 VMLS

Property tax history

+11.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $4,094 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…