153 Mandovi St · Davenport, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Short Sale. SHORT SALE. Beautiful move-in ready townhome located in Madison Place which is close to the theme parks and hgwy 27 and I-4.The home offers a open concept floor plan and the spacious master bedroom has an ensuite. As for parking you have your own private garage to park your vehicle. This community has a recreation center, clubhouse, dog park, pool , playground and a walking trail. Call and schedule to see this gem don't miss out this home could be yours.
Key facts
- $300 HOA
- Garage
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $155k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.1% in Davenport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#423 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Horizons Elementary School (math 37% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,587 of 2,144 statewide, top 74%, 1,468 students, 42% FRL); Shelley S. Boone Middle School (math 25% / reading 25%, grade F, #517 of 571 statewide, top 91%, 1,403 students, 52% FRL); Ridge Community High School (math 12% / reading 33%, grade F, #539 of 667 statewide, top 81%, 2,711 students, 48% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Polk average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 2240 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 119d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $95k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.01%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $268,645
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -42.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 537 Madison Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 | 1,480 (0%) | 1mo | $219,000 | $148 | 86 |
| 528 Madison Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 | 1,480 (0%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $139 | 84 |
| 365 Feltrim Reserve Blvd | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,672 (+13%) | 0mo | $253,500 | $152 | 48 |
| 4344 Chester Springs Blvd | 0.99mi | 3/2.5 | 1,699 (+15%) | 0mo | $285,390 | $168 | 38 |
| 4340 Chester Springs Blvd | 0.99mi | 3/2.5 | 1,699 (+15%) | 2mo | $283,790 | $167 | 37 |
| 4296 Chester Springs Blvd | 1.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,699 (+15%) | 3mo | $281,790 | $166 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-23,851
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-33,685
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 49 active · 16 under contract
- Months of supply
- 49.0 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $272,090 ($174/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 89 d
- This list price
- 2% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +4.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33837
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 2240
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,034 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$320 /mo · $3,844/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$300
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$427
- Net cashflow
- $109
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $197 | -5% $153 | +0% $109 | +5% $65 | +10% $21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-52 | -5% $29 | +0% $109 | +5% $189 | +10% $270 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $187 | -0.5pp $148 | base $109 | +0.5pp $69 | +1.0pp $28 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 Mandovi St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 125 Mandovi St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,850 | $1.25 | 55d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 117 Mandovi St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $1,800 | $1.27 | 10d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 117 Mandovi St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 162d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 205 Mandovi St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 164d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 217 Mandovi St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1417 | $2,300 | $1.62 | 164d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 233 Mandovi St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 164d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 306 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 133d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 338 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 155d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 342 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 155d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 373 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 47d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 393 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $1,995 | $1.40 | 108d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3403 Saudaval LOOP Davenport, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $2,102 | $2.30 | 1d | 24 | 0.17mi |
| 476 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 10d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 840 Grandin St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,680 | $1.20 | 10d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 844 Grandin St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 55d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 469 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,950 | $1.32 | 10d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 852 Grandin St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 9d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 868 Grandin St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 144d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 509 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 164d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1206 Balsam Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,950 | $1.31 | 125d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1311 Tallowwood Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,850 | $1.24 | 10d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1217 Balsam Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 144d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1241 Balsam Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,800 | $1.21 | 6d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 720 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 10d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 720 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 936 Grandin St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 164d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 936 Grandin St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 10d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1335 Tallowwood Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 10d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1335 Tallowwood Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,950 | $1.31 | 118d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 959 Grandin St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 164d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 707 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1404 | $1,575 | $1.12 | 10d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2199 Longleaf Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $2,100 | $1.43 | 125d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2195 Longleaf Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $2,200 | $1.50 | 164d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1004 Appleton St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 125d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 207 Seville Dr Unit 1580540P Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1636 | $5,661 | $3.46 | 1d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 653 Madison Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,680 | $1.14 | 164d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1382 Tallowwood Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 164d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3025 Ascend Ridge Dr Davenport, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1172 | $2,114 | $1.80 | 0d | 7 | 0.37mi |
| 1105 Merrill St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 125d | 1 | 0.38mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Homestead exempt (yes)No lease restrictions indicatedUnfurnished
- Financial info
- Total monthly fees $300; total annual fees $3,600
- HOA & community
- Monthly HOA $300 (association amenities include clubhouse, pool, playground, trails, dog park, community mailbox, street lights)Pets allowed: cats and dogs
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 1-car garage (approx. 10x20) with garage door opener
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedCable connectedWater and sewer available/connected
- Home design
- Attached townhouse2 storiesFaces north
- Construction
- Stucco constructionOther roofSlab foundationBuilt as part of Madison Place
- Exterior features
- Public maintained asphalt roadIrrigation equipmentLot approximately 0.05 acres
Interior
- Kitchen
- CooktopRangeDishwasherRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms (2-story townhouse)
- Flooring
- CarpetCeramic tileGranite
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air
- Interior features
- Open floorplanLiving room/dining room comboInsulated windowsDisposalElectric water heater
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupDryerLaundry closet
HOA detail $300/mo · $3,600/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-06days on market $155,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $155,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-11-04pricedays on market $155,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $205,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $205,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $205,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $205,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $205,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $205,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $205,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $205,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-10-25days on market $205,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $205,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $205,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $205,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $205,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $205,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $205,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $205,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $205,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $205,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $205,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $205,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $205,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $205,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $205,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $205,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $205,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $205,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $205,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $205,000 Active 166 DOM
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2026-10-05days on market $205,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $205,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-10-03days on market $205,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $205,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $205,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $205,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $205,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $205,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $205,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $205,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $205,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $205,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $205,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $205,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $205,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $205,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $205,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $205,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-09-15statusdays on market $205,000 Active 145 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,844 · $320/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,844 · $320/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,404
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$3,844
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,952
- − Management
- −$1,952
- − HOA
- −$3,600
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$911
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$219
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,525/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready townhome is in good condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good opportunity for a quick flip or rental investment with minor updates that can significantly increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both New flooring in living areas — Replacing carpet with hardwood or tile can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizing the kitchen can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading bathrooms — Modernizing bathrooms can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Davenport
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #423
- US rank
- #7541
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Polk County · 752,975 people
- City population
- 104,279
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,389
- Household income
- $81,276
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 42% White 36% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 22% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 35% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.62%
- Current HPI
- 256.8165
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.73%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-26.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $240,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Listed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-09 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-01 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-01 Listed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-29 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-16 Price Changed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-13 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-07 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-18 Price Changed $269,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-09 Price Changed $285,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-07 Listed $295,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-26 Listed $299,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+104.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,844 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…