181 Pine Grove Dr · Canton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$214,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-Bedroom Ranch in Canton! Discover easy, one-level living in this move-in-ready home. Features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and an efficient gas-forced air/central A/C system. Situated on a generous 0.38-acre lot, this property offers plenty of outdoor space and is located in the top-rated Cherokee County School District. Perfectly priced for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Central a c
- Outdoor space
- One level living
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.36 acre
- HOA & community: No HOA; No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Single family residence (house); Resale property; Built in 1971; One story
- Construction: Other construction materials; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Other roof material; Level lot; Other lot features
Interior
- Kitchen: Other appliances
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One-level layout; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Other laundry features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $202k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.7% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#200 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Cherokee County (suburban): math 46% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #17 of 174 in GA (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Teasley Middle School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #221 of 470 statewide, top 48%, 1,606 students, 52% FRL); Cherokee High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #65 of 424 statewide, top 16%, 2,937 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 26% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 47% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cherokee County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 637 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,665 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (852 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cherokee County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.14%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-18,468
- Equity at exit
- $32,042
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-11,682
- Equity at exit
- $18,581
Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30114
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 637
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,193 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,895/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$461
- Net cashflow
- $358
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,725
- Closing costs
- $6,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Legends Dr Canton, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1196 | $2,454 | $2.05 | 1d | 12 | 0.48mi |
| 229 Riverstone Commons Cir Canton, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 30 Laurel Canyon Village Cir Canton, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $2,003 | $1.96 | 1d | 16 | 0.81mi |
| 100 River Ridge Dr Canton, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $1,699 | $1.71 | 43d | 9 | 0.86mi |
| 149 Riverstone Commons Cir Canton, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1409 | $2,000 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 600 Waterstone Dr Canton, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 2040 | $2,800 | $1.37 | 1d | 11 | 1.08mi |
| 303 Brookside Way Canton, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1192 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 800 Hickory Knoll Dr Canton, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $1,660 | $1.83 | 3d | 4 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $214,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $214,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $214,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $214,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $214,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $214,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $214,900 Price Change 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $214,900 Price Change 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active Under Contract 44 DOM
-
2026-04-22historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-17$224,900 New
-
2017-06-01soldstatus $295,500
-
2003-04-07soldstatus $75,000
-
1999-03-11soldstatus $65,000
-
1998-10-20soldstatus $25,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,895 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,977 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- +$82/yr (+$7/mo · 4.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,320
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,038
- − Property taxes
- −$1,895
- − Insurance
- −$1,074
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,106
- − Management
- −$2,106
- − Depreciation
- −$6,252
- Taxable income
- $849
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$204
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,095/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cherokee County
- NCES district ID
- 1301110
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,295
- Composite
- 42.14/100
- National rank
- #3304
- State rank
- #17 of 174 in GA
Livability — Canton
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #200
- US rank
- #12301
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cherokee County · 289,977 people
- City population
- 116,078
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,391
- Household income
- $98,902
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1820.0
Population outlook (Cherokee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,923 people
- By 2030
- 303,845 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 344,738 · +22.3%
- By 2050
- 379,010 · +34.4%
- By 2075
- 449,617 · +59.5%
- By 2100
- 484,103 · +71.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cherokee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.0) · D 30.1% · R 69.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +12.1pp toward D · 2008: -51.1pp · 2024: -39.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.0 2020: R+39.2 2016: R+50.0 2012: R+57.8 2008: R+51.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.82%
- Current HPI
- 245.474
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.63%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+796.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $224,900 GAMLS
- 2017-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $295,500 Public Records
- 2003-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1999-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1998-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $25,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,895 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…