4575 Neff Ave · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD CASE #261-795205. FHA. INSURED. FINANCING. NOT AVAIL. HOME SOLD AS IS. HUD MAKES NO REPAIRS. ELECTRONIC BIDDING VIA THE PHONE/INTERNET ONLY! COOP COMM. UP TO 5%. MCB & FUTURE MAKE NO WARRANTY AS TO EXISTENCE OF MOLD IN PROP. & IS NOT LIABLE FOR THE POTENTIALLY HARMFUL EFFECTS THEREOF. APPTS. MUST BE MADE THRU LISTING OFFICE.
Key facts
- Turn-key bungalow
- Updated kitchen
- 7,841 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot frontage approximately 50 feet; Acreage approximately 0.18 acres
- Financial info: No additional financial details provided
- HOA & community: No land contract
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas; Forced air heating system
- Home design: Residential 1-1/2 story home; Built in 1943; Facing unspecified
- Construction: Basement foundation; Aluminum construction
- Exterior features: Aluminum exterior; Paved street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Entry-level kitchen (9 x 11) with ceramic flooring; Adjacent dining area (6 x 6) at entry level
- Bedrooms: Second-level primary bedroom (11 x 26) with carpet; Entry-level bedroom (9 x 9) with carpet; Entry-level bedroom (approx. 10' wide) with carpet
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms and living areas; Ceramic in kitchen and bathroom; Concrete in laundry/basement
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (entry level) with ceramic flooring; approx. 5 x 4
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Total of 8 rooms; Has unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Basement laundry room (8 x 8) with concrete floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 492 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.46%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $59,843
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5251 Neff Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-0%) | 2mo | $46,000 | $64 | 76 |
| 4607 Radnor St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 731 (+1%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $68 | 74 |
| 5298 Neff Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-0%) | 2mo | $46,000 | $64 | 74 |
| 5290 University Pl | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 721 (0%) | 5mo | $60,000 | $83 | 70 |
| 17197 Waveney St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 763 (+6%) | 11mo | $79,500 | $104 | 70 |
| 4811 Radnor St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 719 (-0%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $70 | 69 |
| 4138 University Pl | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 780 (+8%) | 7mo | $77,500 | $99 | 67 |
| 4528 Marseilles St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 637 (-12%) | 7mo | $77,500 | $122 | 63 |
| 4481 Radnor St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (+10%) | 5mo | $32,000 | $40 | 57 |
| 5203 Marseilles St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 816 (+13%) | 7mo | $77,500 | $95 | 54 |
| 5243 Neff Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (+13%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $104 | 51 |
| 5558 Radnor St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 660 (-8%) | 6mo | $18,000 | $27 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $5,851
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $23,720
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48224
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 492
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,336 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,154/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $367
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $418 | -5% $392 | +0% $367 | +5% $341 | +10% $316 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $261 | -5% $314 | +0% $367 | +5% $420 | +10% $472 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $412 | -0.5pp $390 | base $367 | +0.5pp $343 | +1.0pp $320 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4811 Cadieux Rd Unit 10 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,200 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4811 Cadieux Rd Unit 11 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,200 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4837 Cadieux Rd Unit 9 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,200 | $1.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4865 Cadieux Rd Unit 11 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,200 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5284 Devonshire Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,050 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $90,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$90,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,154 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,154 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,036
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$2,154
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,283
- − Management
- −$1,283
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $3,207
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$770
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,631/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,668
- Household income
- $44,856
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2515.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.38%
- Current HPI
- 161.886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.73%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+210.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-15 Sold (MLS) $43,500 REALCOMP
- 2005-05-27 Listed $43,200 REALCOMP
- 2002-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2001-12-10 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-11-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-01-31 Listed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,154 · +13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…