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D Composite 44.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$7,000

1237 N US Highway 27 #124 · Portland, IN 47371
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured · 393 Days on market
Built 2025

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Basketball court
  • Community events
  • Playground

Tags

BASKETBALL COURTPLAYGROUNDCOMMUNITY EVENTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price: 7000

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electric power; Central air for cooling
  • Home design: Condominium / unit (spec plan 85642)
  • Exterior features: Located at 1237 N US Highway 27 #124, Portland, IN 47371

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living area of 784; Spec/plan-built unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $7k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $585 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($802 rent vs $7k).
  • Recommended offer: $6k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 106.6% vs local median 4.7% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#191 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-, schools D, health & safety D.
  • Jay School Corporation (rural): math 38% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #175 of 301 in IN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Jay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $48 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $210 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jay County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 393 days — a 12% lower offer ($6k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $6,160 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 393 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
11.45%
Cap rate
106.57%
Cash-on-cash
358.13%
DSCR
16.93
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.44×
Total profit
$36,134
Equity at exit
$1,044
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
41.55×
Total profit
$79,487
Equity at exit
$605

Cash invested: $1,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47371

Home prices YoY
-20.1%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$802 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$37
Tax est. 1.5%
$9 /mo · $105/yr
Insurance
$3
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$168
Net cashflow
$585

Break-even live

Break-even rent $61
Max offer price $7,000
Occupancy floor 22%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,750
Closing costs
$210
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $7,000 Active 393 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $7,000 Active 392 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $7,000 Active 391 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $7,000 Active 390 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $7,000 Active 388 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $7,000 Active 387 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $7,000 Active 384 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $7,000 Active 383 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $7,000 Active 382 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $7,000 Active 380 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $7,000 Active 378 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    listed $7,000 Active 377 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,620
− Mortgage interest
−$392
− Property taxes
−$105
− Insurance
−$35
− Repairs & maintenance
−$770
− Management
−$770
− Depreciation
−$204
Taxable income
$7,345
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,763
After-tax cash flow
$5,257/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jay School Corporation
NCES district ID
1804980
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$40,841
Composite
31.56/100
National rank
#5954
State rank
#175 of 301 in IN

Livability — Portland

Score
69/100
State rank
#191
US rank
#8739

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jay · 12,450 people
Population (ZIP)
12,450
Household income
$59,215
Rent vs Own
24.2% rent · 75.8% own
Severe rent burden
4.4

Population outlook (Jay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,586 people
By 2030
20,155 · -2.1%
By 2040
19,274 · -6.4%
By 2050
18,203 · -11.6%
By 2075
15,062 · -26.8%
By 2100
10,857 · -47.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jay

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.2) · D 21.6% · R 76.7% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-47.3pp toward R · 2008: -7.8pp · 2024: -55.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.2 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+20.0 2008: R+7.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.09%
Current HPI
255.0877
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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