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389 Delaware St
C Composite 59.09
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

389 Delaware St · Tonawanda, NY 14150
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 956 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1910 0.48 ac lot Est $204k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Rare opportunity! This unique property combines a one bedroom home with a finished basement, a massive 30' x 50' tandem garage with space for 6+ vehicles, and an additional lot, creating endless possibilities for homeowners, investors, and entrepreneurs alike. The nearly half-acre property includes a separate lot with access from Elgin Street. According to zoning regulations, the lot may be suitable for additional development, including a two-family residence or apartment building, subject to approvals and the installation of a proper driveway. The oversized tandem garage is a dream for car enthusiasts, contractors, collectors, or anyone in need of substantial storage and workspace. There's

Key facts

  • Tandem garage
  • Finished basement
  • Additional lot

Tags

FINISHED BASEMENTTANDEM GARAGEADDITIONAL LOTMIXED-USE ZONINGDEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Second garage (additional); Garage includes storage and a workshop; Six garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story home; Shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Existing/resale condition
  • Construction: Block foundation; Built previously (existing)
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Near public transit; Rectangular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom (approx. 13 x 10)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Varied flooring throughout
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating with baseboard; Window cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Galley kitchen; Finished full basement; Recreation space in basement; Bedroom on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 89/100 on livability (#8 in NY, #169 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
  • Tonawanda City School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #508 of 590 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $169,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.46%
Cash-on-cash
4.17%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$203,628
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
128 Bannard Ave 0.59mi 2/1.5 (-1) 972 (+2%) 6mo $168,500 $173 58
205 Bannard Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 999 (+4%) 8mo $186,500 $187 54
30 Bannard Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,032 (+8%) 2mo $220,000 $213 53
53 Winkler Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,060 (+11%) 2mo $210,000 $198 53
346 Maldiner Ave 0.69mi 3/1.5 999 (+4%) 9mo $280,000 $280 50
236 Newell Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 999 (+4%) 16mo $237,000 $237 50
18 Joseph Dr 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,096 (+15%) 3mo $295,000 $269 39
23 Winkler Dr 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,060 (+11%) 17mo $215,000 $203 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.6%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-10,303
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$34,273
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14150

Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,703 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$219 /mo · $2,624/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$165

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,494
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1974 Newell Ave Tonawanda, NY 2.0 1.0 675 $1,185 $1.76 3d 3 0.51mi
53 Winkler Dr Tonawanda, NY 3.0 1.0 1060 $2,100 $1.98 11d 1 0.57mi
285 Crestmount Ave Tonawanda, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,905 $2.63 1d 9 0.90mi
268-360 Hinds St Tonawanda, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 500 $1,214 $2.43 11d 1 1.09mi
330 E Niagara St Tonawanda, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,900 $1.95 1d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $169,900 Pending 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-02
    listed $169,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,624 · $219/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,748 · $229/mo
Expected delta
+$124/yr (+$10/mo · 4.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,442
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$2,624
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,635
− Management
−$1,635
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$762
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$183
After-tax cash flow
$2,167/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tonawanda City School District
NCES district ID
3628740
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,061
Composite
35.03/100
National rank
#5041
State rank
#508 of 590 in NY

Livability — Tonawanda

Score
89/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#169

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tonawanda, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
41,260
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
41,260
Household income
$71,406
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
1427.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -260.43%
Current HPI
334.5893
Rent YoY
▲ 6.75%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $169,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+30.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,624 · +23.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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