🏷️ Likely Rental
634 Olive St · Coatesville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special! Come check out this great investment opportunity. The upstairs unit is 2 bed 1 bath and has been tenant occupied for 4 years. The upstairs unit has everything updated including electric, plumbing and central air. The downstairs unit is fully gutted. There is an open floor plan with potential for a 2 bedroom unit. There's also a detached garage with 23 spaces to rent out that will require some updating. More pictures are coming soon.
Key facts
- Downstairs unit
- Three car garage
- Upstairs unit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $226k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $991 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $496/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $226k).
- Recommended offer: $222k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 6.2% in Coatesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#791 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Coatesville Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #457 of 539 in PA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $226k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.84%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $297,794
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 826 Stirling St | 0.27mi | 4/— (+1) | 1,600 (-4%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $156 | 70 |
| 824 Stirling St | 0.26mi | 4/— (+1) | 1,761 (+5%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $142 | 69 |
| 71 S 6th Ave | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,436 (-14%) | 10mo | $255,000 | $178 | 65 |
| 150 S 4th Ave | 0.41mi | 3/— | 1,424 (-15%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $183 | 50 |
| 260 E Chestnut St | 0.52mi | 3/3.0 | 1,456 (-13%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $213 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $32,658
- Equity at exit
- $33,623
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $135,574
- Equity at exit
- $19,497
Cash invested: $63,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19320
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,230 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,183
- Tax from tax record
- −$284 /mo · $3,409/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$678
- Net cashflow
- $991
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,230 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,615 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,615 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,230 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,375
- Closing costs
- $6,765
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92 Virginia Ave Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1184 | $1,850 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 603 E Chestnut St Coatesville, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1629 | $2,000 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 633 Coates St Coatesville, PA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1331 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 100 Harlan Dr Coatesville, PA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1062 | $1,294 | $1.22 | 1d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1136 Stirling St Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1572 | $2,195 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 845 Poplar St Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $2,250 | $1.95 | 18d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1064 Wayne Ave Coatesville, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1180 | $1,900 | $1.61 | 1d | 5 | 0.54mi |
| 23 N 2nd Ave Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,685 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 161 Stoyer Rd Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1973 | $2,350 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 322 Charles St Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,700 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 342 Valley Rd Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1131 | $1,450 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 398 Valley Rd Coatesville, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $2,100 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2216 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,810 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1910 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,890 | $1.74 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1109 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,766 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2209 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $2,000 | $1.86 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2024 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,925 | $1.63 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1407 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,784 | $1.51 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2114 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,719 | $1.58 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2224 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,840 | $1.56 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1816 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,965 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Coatesville, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $2,039 | $2.09 | 19d | 19 | 1.19mi |
| 420 Valley Rd Coatesville, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $2,100 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 416 W Lincoln Hwy Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $2,100 | $1.69 | 18d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2 Quarry St Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,700 | $1.49 | 18d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1896 Crest Dr Coatesville, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 923 | $1,900 | $2.06 | 1d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 40 Beech St Coatesville, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 37 events
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2026-06-18days on market $225,500 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $225,500 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $225,500 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $225,500 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $225,500 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $225,500 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $225,500 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $225,500 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $225,500 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $225,500 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $225,500 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $225,500 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $225,500 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $225,500 Active 9 DOM
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2026-05-23$225,500 Active
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2021-01-21soldstatus $100,000
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2021-01-13soldstatus $100,000 Closed 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
Investor Special! Come check out this great investment opportunity. The upstairs unit is 2 bed 1 bath and has been tenant occupied for 4 years. The upstairs unit has everything updated including electric, plumbing and central air. The downstairs unit is fully gutted. There is an open floor plan with potential for a 2 bedroom unit. There's also a detached garage with 23 spaces to rent out that will require some updating. More pictures are coming soon.
-
2020-10-30status Pending 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
Investor Special! Come check out this great investment opportunity. The upstairs unit is 2 bed 1 bath and has been tenant occupied for 4 years. The upstairs unit has everything updated including electric, plumbing and central air. The downstairs unit is fully gutted. There is an open floor plan with potential for a 2 bedroom unit. There's also a detached garage with 23 spaces to rent out that will require some updating. More pictures are coming soon.
-
2020-09-15historical Active Under Contract 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
Investor Special! Come check out this great investment opportunity. The upstairs unit is 2 bed 1 bath and has been tenant occupied for 4 years. The upstairs unit has everything updated including electric, plumbing and central air. The downstairs unit is fully gutted. There is an open floor plan with potential for a 2 bedroom unit. There's also a detached garage with 23 spaces to rent out that will require some updating. More pictures are coming soon.
-
2020-09-11$100,000 Active 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
Investor Special! Come check out this great investment opportunity. The upstairs unit is 2 bed 1 bath and has been tenant occupied for 4 years. The upstairs unit has everything updated including electric, plumbing and central air. The downstairs unit is fully gutted. There is an open floor plan with potential for a 2 bedroom unit. There's also a detached garage with 23 spaces to rent out that will require some updating. More pictures are coming soon.
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2014-09-23historical
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2014-02-12soldstatus $25,000
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2013-10-01$44,500
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2011-12-09soldstatus $25,000
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2011-12-06soldstatus $25,000
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2011-12-06soldstatus $25,000
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2011-10-27$39,900
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2011-10-27$39,900
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2011-10-13historical
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2011-04-13$55,000
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2008-03-28historical
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2008-01-04$106,850
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2007-10-31historical
-
2007-03-07$106,900
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1991-05-06soldstatus $17,000
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1987-07-01soldstatus $53,500
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1985-09-01soldstatus $31,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,409 · $284/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,486 · $290/mo
- Expected delta
- +$77/yr (+$6/mo · 2.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,760
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,632
- − Property taxes
- −$3,409
- − Insurance
- −$1,128
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,101
- − Management
- −$3,101
- − Depreciation
- −$6,560
- Taxable income
- $8,831
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,119
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,774/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coatesville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206240
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,753
- Composite
- 23.19/100
- National rank
- #7944
- State rank
- #457 of 539 in PA
Livability — Coatesville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #791
- US rank
- #7996
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coatesville, PA
- County
- Chester County · 432,350 people
- City population
- 55,941
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,941
- Household income
- $90,601
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1480.0
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,756 people
- By 2030
- 559,441 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 576,377 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 580,602 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 581,575 · +6.4%
- By 2100
- 540,922 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -195.38%
- Current HPI
- 274.045
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+615.9% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $225,500 FSBO.com
- 2021-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2021-01-13 Sold (MLS) $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-10-30 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-09-15 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-09-11 Listed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-09-23 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2013-10-01 Listed $44,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2011-12-06 Sold (MLS) $25,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-12-06 Sold (MLS) $25,000 TREND
- 2011-10-27 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-10-27 Listed $39,900 TREND
- 2011-10-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-04-13 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-03-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-01-04 Listed $106,850 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-10-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-03-07 Listed $106,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1991-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
- 1987-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
- 1985-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2026): $3,409 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…