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1604 Lamar St
B- Composite 67.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

1604 Lamar St · Athens, TN 37303
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,276 sqft · Manufactured public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1992 6,969 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investment Opportunity - 1604 Lamar St, Athens, TN Attention investors and rehab enthusiasts! This property offers tremendous potential for those looking to renovate and add value. Situated in a convenient Athens location, 1604 Lamar St is being sold ''As Is'' and will require a complete remodel, making it an ideal project for investors, flippers, or buyers seeking to customize a property from the ground up. With a functional layout and strong upside potential, this home presents an opportunity to create equity through renovations and improvements. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways, the property provides easy access to everything Athens has to offer.

Key facts

  • Complete remodel
  • Convenient location
  • 6,969 sq ft lot

Tags

CONVENIENT LOCATIONCOMPLETE REMODEL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Attached: No; Single-family property; Building area recorded as 1,276
  • Construction: Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Rolling slope lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Other heating; Cooling present
  • Interior features: Two full bathrooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $405 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.8% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#229 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Athens (town): math 38% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #34 of 139 in TN (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 273 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 45 units permitted in McMinn County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
11.15%
Cash-on-cash
17.36%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$232,232
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
316 Fisher Street St 0.19mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-10%) 10mo $209,900 $182 62
2000 Velma Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,350 (+6%) 8mo $210,000 $156 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$13,161
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$60,192
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37303

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
273
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,285 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $541/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$405

Break-even live

Break-even rent $773
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2315 Clearwater Rd Athens, TN 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,550 $0.97 43d 1 0.66mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on marketlisting id $99,900 Active 1 DOM
  9. 2026-05-14
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$541 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$709 · $59/mo
Expected delta
+$168/yr (+$14/mo · 31.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,420
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$541
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,234
− Management
−$1,234
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$3,410
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$818
After-tax cash flow
$4,036/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Athens
NCES district ID
4700120
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$31,556
Composite
29.03/100
National rank
#6609
State rank
#34 of 139 in TN

Livability — Athens

Score
62/100
State rank
#229
US rank
#16961

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Athens, TN
County
McMinn County · 25,688 people
City population
25,688
Metro
Athens, TN
Population (ZIP)
25,688
Household income
$62,078
Rent vs Own
29.1% rent · 70.9% own
Severe rent burden
450.0

Population outlook (McMinn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,766 people
By 2030
54,098 · +0.6%
By 2040
54,450 · +1.3%
By 2050
54,202 · +0.8%
By 2075
55,241 · +2.7%
By 2100
56,399 · +4.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McMinn

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.2) · D 17.5% · R 81.7%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -64.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.2 2020: R+60.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+41.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -165.98%
Current HPI
244.0901
Rent YoY
▲ 5.72%
Metro
Athens, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $541 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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