361 Tampico Dr · Palmetto, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all PROJECT SEEKERS and CREATIVE RENOVATORS — this one’s for you! Located in the highly sought-after TROPIC ISLES, A 55+ resident-owned waterfront community, this hurricane-damaged mobile home is ready for your vision and craftsmanship. Perfect for those who love a challenge and see opportunity where others see work. Whether you choose to repair, replace, or rebuild, this property offers endless potential in a waterfront lifestyle setting with community amenities including marina, pool, clubhouse, and active social calendar. Sold AS-IS. Cash offers only. Come turn this blank canvas into your Florida dream retreat!
Key facts
- 3,733 sq ft lot
- Built 1975
- Listed 207 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total living area 1,152 (public records); Total building area 1,932 (public records); Lot approximately 0.09 acres (about 347 m²); Road surface: Asphalt; Universal property ID on file
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $295; total annual fees $3,540; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $295 (association approval required); Association name: BARBARA MCEVOY; Street lights in community; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs), max pet weight 30 lbs
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt road access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer and water available
- Home design: Residential mobile home (double wide); One story; Faces north; Entry level: One
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Other roof type; Crawlspace foundation; Built on double wide body type
- Exterior features: Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Other appliances
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Other laundry features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $648 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 32.1% vs local median 2.0% in Palmetto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#346 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 1160 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 207 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 207 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 92.08%
- DSCR
- 5.10
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $248,832
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Bimini Dr | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (0%) | 4mo | $405,000 | $352 | 73 |
| 322 Terra Ceia Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 3mo | $400,000 | $321 | 70 |
| 57 Edessa Dr | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,128 (-2%) | 3mo | $219,000 | $194 | 68 |
| 51 Edessa Dr | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+4%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $188 | 65 |
| 203 Bimini Dr | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-12%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $238 | 50 |
| 68 Edessa Dr | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $174 | 50 |
| 223 Bimini Dr | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,298 (+13%) | 14mo | $280,000 | $216 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $27,001
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 51.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.78×
- Total profit
- $52,957
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34221
- Rents YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 1160
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,282 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,801/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$295
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$479
- Net cashflow
- $648
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $676 | -5% $662 | +0% $648 | +5% $634 | +10% $619 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $468 | -5% $558 | +0% $648 | +5% $738 | +10% $828 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $673 | -0.5pp $660 | base $648 | +0.5pp $635 | +1.0pp $622 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1213 31st Ave W Palmetto, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 880 | $1,475 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 105 Del Rio Dr Palmetto, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $1,600 | $1.83 | 17d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1715 9th St W Palmetto, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $2,000 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2625 Terra Ceia Bay Blvd #401 Palmetto, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $3,495 | $2.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2625 Terra Ceia Bay Blvd #802 Palmetto, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,395 | $2.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2602 Edgewater Ct Palmetto, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $4,000 | $3.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1514 Fairway Oaks Dr Palmetto, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $1,540 | $1.05 | 11d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1901 6th St W Palmetto, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $2,200 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2725 Terra Ceia Bay Blvd #102 Palmetto, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $2,200 | $1.75 | 17d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2725 Terra Ceia Bay Blvd #201 Palmetto, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2225 14th Ave W Unit 204 Palmetto, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,795 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2225 14th Ave W Palmetto, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,895 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2320 Terra Ceia Bay Blvd #211 Palmetto, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 978 | $2,500 | $2.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1213 15th St W Palmetto, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 515 15th Ave W Palmetto, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,699 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1229 11th Ave W Palmetto, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,800 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3115 Live Oak Ln #30 Palmetto, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $3,695 | $2.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $295 · $3,540/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $50,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-02-26status Active
-
2026-02-11status Pending
-
2025-11-08$50,000 Active
-
2024-09-17status Pending
-
2024-08-21price $180,000
-
2024-07-26$200,000 Active
-
2024-06-08historical
-
2023-12-08$225,000 Active
-
2007-05-01soldstatus $95,000
-
2007-05-01soldstatus $95,000
-
2007-03-12$114,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,801 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,801 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,378
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$1,801
- − Insurance
- −$5,368
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,190
- − Management
- −$2,190
- − HOA
- −$3,540
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $8,033
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,928
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,845/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palmetto
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #346
- US rank
- #5695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palmetto, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 56,208
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,208
- Household income
- $77,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1193.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 14% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -383.53%
- Current HPI
- 302.1458
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.98%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-56.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-26 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-08 Listed $50,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-17 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-21 Price Changed $180,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-26 Listed $200,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-08 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-08 Listed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-01 Sold (MLS) $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-12 Listed $114,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,801 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…