815 Sky Pine Way Unit C2 · Greenacres, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.1/30.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$148,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
LOVELY CONDO IN 55+ COMMUNITY. READY TO MOVE IN. CLUBHOUSE WITH A LARGE HEATED POOL; TENNIS COURT & BOCCI COURT VERY ACTIVE ADULT COMMUNITY.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Tennis court
- Large heated pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community
- HOA & community: Community of ~400 units; HOA with on-site manager; Monthly HOA fee of $435; Community amenities: clubhouse, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, shuffleboard court, sidewalks, street lights
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking
- Utilities: Cable available
- Home design: Condominium; 2-story building; Unit faces east
- Construction: CBS construction
- Exterior features: Screened patio; Patio; Sidewalks; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Custom mirrors
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet inside the unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($911/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#490 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 314 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $102k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.19%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-24,922
- Equity at exit
- $22,201
- IRR
- -21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-37,166
- Equity at exit
- $12,874
Cash invested: $41,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33415
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 314
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,037 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$256 /mo · $3,069/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$435
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $76
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $160 | -5% $118 | +0% $76 | +5% $34 | +10% $-8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-85 | -5% $-5 | +0% $76 | +5% $156 | +10% $237 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $151 | -0.5pp $114 | base $76 | +0.5pp $37 | +1.0pp $-2 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,225
- Closing costs
- $4,467
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 813 Sky Pine Way Unit F2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,725 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 813 Sky Pine Way Unit F2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,725 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 817 Sky Pine Way Unit H Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,300 | $1.68 | 17d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 826 Sky Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 13d | 2 | 0.03mi |
| 802 Sky Pine Way Unit E2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,750 | $1.58 | 8d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 811 Sky Pine Way Unit F2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,550 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 812 Sky Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $2,100 | $1.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 6115 Seven Springs Blvd Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $2,475 | $1.87 | 6d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 6115 Seven Springs Blvd Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $2,500 | $1.89 | 19d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 703 Sunny Pine Way Unit G2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,000 | $1.87 | 16d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 629 Sea Pine Way Unit D3 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,100 | $2.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 712 Sunny Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,150 | $2.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 628 Sea Pine Way Unit A2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,100 | $2.09 | 17d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 6134 Seven Springs Blvd Unit 40d Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1321 | $2,400 | $1.82 | 4d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 633 Sea Pine Way Unit C Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,450 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 6043 10th Ave N #130 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 6031 10th Ave N #219 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $2,400 | $2.23 | 4d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 5775 Fernley Dr W #131 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $2,000 | $1.87 | 11d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 6061 10th Ave N #242 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 855 | $2,000 | $2.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 6506 Dockside Cir Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1226 | $2,000 | $1.63 | 8d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 718 Sunny Pine Way Unit H2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 6d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 718 Sunny Pine Way Unit H2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 703 Sunny Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,900 | $1.78 | 25d | 2 | 0.30mi |
| 726 Sunny Pine Way Unit B2 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $2,200 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 6049 Olivewood Cir Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $2,200 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 502 Shady Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 991 | $1,900 | $1.92 | 0d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 720 Sunny Pine Way Unit G1 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 20d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 616 Sea Pine Way Unit C3 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,100 | $2.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 511 Shady Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $2,200 | $1.97 | 4d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 511 Shady Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $2,200 | $1.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 724 Sunny Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,950 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 504 Shady Pine Way Unit 2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 508 Shady Pine Way Unit D1 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,850 | $1.66 | 22d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 527 Shady Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,975 | $1.77 | 0d | 2 | 0.38mi |
| 507 Shady Pine Way Unit D1 Greenacres, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $1,400 | $1.78 | 15d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2641 Gately Dr W West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1238 | $1,800 | $1.45 | 0d | 2 | 0.39mi |
| 5780 Fernley Dr W #91 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $2,000 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4901 Pier Dr Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1260 | $2,400 | $1.90 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1600 Island Shores Dr Greenacres, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 889 | $1,925 | $2.17 | 25d | 2 | 0.44mi |
| 3604 Inlet Cir Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1274 | $2,100 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $435 · $5,220/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $148,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $148,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $148,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $148,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $148,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $148,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $148,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $148,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $148,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $148,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $148,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-01-27$148,900 Active
-
2024-10-22historical
-
2024-06-18historical
-
2024-06-07historical
-
2024-04-26$183,990 Active
-
2024-04-23$183,900 Active
-
2024-04-23$183,990 Active
-
2018-11-16soldstatus $102,000
-
2018-11-14soldstatus $102,000 Closed
-
2018-10-15status Pending
-
2018-07-09$115,000 Active
-
2014-07-25historical
-
2014-07-02$85,000 Active
-
2002-10-17soldstatus $72,000
-
1995-02-06soldstatus $47,000
-
1986-02-01soldstatus $52,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,069 · $256/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,069 · $256/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,449
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,341
- − Property taxes
- −$3,069
- − Insurance
- −$744
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,956
- − Management
- −$1,956
- − HOA
- −$5,220
- − Depreciation
- −$4,332
- Taxable loss
- −$1,169
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$280
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,192/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Greenacres
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #490
- US rank
- #9008
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenacres, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 65,478
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,581
- Household income
- $61,274
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2254.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% Two or more races 26% White 21% Black 21% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 14% Dominican 2% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 9% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 44% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Spanish 49% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -400.29%
- Current HPI
- 413.9695
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.64%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+183.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-27 Listed $148,900 Beaches MLS
- 2024-10-22 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-18 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
- 2024-06-07 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2024-04-26 Listed $183,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-23 Listed $183,990 Beaches MLS
- 2024-04-23 Listed $183,900 NAPLESMLS
- 2018-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
- 2018-11-14 Sold (MLS) $102,000 Beaches MLS
- 2018-10-15 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2018-07-09 Listed $115,000 Beaches MLS
- 2014-07-25 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2014-07-02 Listed $85,000 Beaches MLS
- 2002-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 1995-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 1986-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,069 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…