Duplex
530/532 Woodside Ave · Cumberland, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special ! Duplex , 3 spacious bedrooms inside on each side , separate gas meters per unit !
Key facts
- 1,960 sq ft lot
- Built 1936
- Listed 98 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $622/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.1% vs local median 6.7% in Cumberland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#64 in MD, #2,385 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.9%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $474 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 77.87%
- DSCR
- 4.46
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $77,122
- List price
- $68,500
- Delta
- -11.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101-103 Greene St | 0.72mi | 6/— | 1,804 (-13%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $94 | 40 |
| 481 Goethe St | 0.67mi | 5/— (-1) | 2,352 (+13%) | 9mo | $42,000 | $18 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 83.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.13×
- Total profit
- $79,268
- Equity at exit
- $10,214
- IRR
- 87.8%
- Equity multiple
- 12.55×
- Total profit
- $221,597
- Equity at exit
- $5,923
Cash invested: $19,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21502
- Home prices YoY
- -17.4%
- Rents YoY
- 10.9%
- Active inventory
- 235
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$359
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $319/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$441
- Net cashflow
- $1,245
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $2,100 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,050 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,050 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,100 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,125
- Closing costs
- $2,055
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630 Hill Top Dr Cumberland, MD | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2300 | $1,495 | $0.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $68,500 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $68,500 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $68,500 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-17price $68,500 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $75,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-03price $75,000 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Investor special ! Duplex , 3 spacious bedrooms inside on each side , separate gas meters per unit !
-
2026-03-12$85,000 Active 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Investor special ! Duplex , 3 spacious bedrooms inside on each side , separate gas meters per unit !
-
2025-12-20$114,750 Active
-
2025-12-14historical $114,750
-
2024-09-16soldstatus $50,000
-
2004-09-02soldstatus $20,000
-
1999-11-15historical
-
1999-05-20
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $319 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $533 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$214/yr (+$18/mo · 67.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,837
- − Property taxes
- −$319
- − Insurance
- −$342
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,016
- − Management
- −$2,016
- − Depreciation
- −$1,993
- Taxable income
- $14,677
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,522
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,414/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allegany County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400030
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,760
- Composite
- 18.95/100
- National rank
- #8854
- State rank
- #18 of 24 in MD
Livability — Cumberland
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #64
- US rank
- #2385
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cumberland, MD
- County
- Allegany County · 41,015 people
- City population
- 41,015
- Metro
- Cumberland, MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,015
- Household income
- $60,725
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 824.0
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,778 people
- By 2030
- 66,766 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 62,784 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 59,179 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 50,732 · -26.2%
- By 2100
- 40,837 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.33%
- Current HPI
- 258.6676
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.88%
- Metro
- Cumberland, MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+275.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-20 Listed $114,750 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-14 Coming Soon $114,750 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 1999-11-15 Delisted — MRIS
- 1999-05-20 Listed — MRIS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $319 · +15.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…