1850 Lincoln Ave #149 · El Centro, CA 92243

$129,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,464 sqft · Manufactured · 9 Days on market

Built 1977 1,464 sqft lot Est $198k · 34% under ↓ 4% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.6/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Come see this 3 bedroom 2 bathroom Double wide Mobile Home on a spacious corner lot. Includes, a breakfast area, dinning area, and indoor washer & dryer hookup. Park amenities include community pool and spa, and club house available for owner's events (there may be a fee to reserve). Seller is motivated. Schedule your appointment with your favorite Realtor. Located near some of the best shopping and dining in El Centro, within walking distance.

Key facts

• Community pool
• Dining area
• Spacious corner lot

Tags

• DOUBLE WIDE MOBILE HOME
• SPACIOUS CORNER LOT
• BREAKFAST AREA
• DINING AREA
• INDOOR WASHER DRYER HOOKUP
• COMMUNITY POOL

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Park map available at the park entrance
• HOA & community: Community clubhouse; Community pool

Exterior

• Parking: Attached carport; 2 total parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
• Utilities: Public sewer
• Home design: Single-story mobile home; Residential property
• Exterior features: Porch; Chain link fencing; Lot on a small parcel

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas oven
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Gas oven; Gas water heater
• Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $598 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
• Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.2% in El Centro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#214 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, cost of living D+, employment F.
• El Centro Elementary (urban): math 33% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #803 of 1,400 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 271 units permitted in Imperial County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Imperial County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $129,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.46% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.81%
• Cash-on-cash: 19.72%
• DSCR: 1.88
• GRM: 5.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $197,640
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1850 W Lincoln Ave #115	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,440 (-2%)	21mo	$195,000	$135	79

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 11.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.47×
• Total profit: $17,041
• Equity at exit: $19,369

10-year hold

• IRR: 20.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.76×
• Total profit: $63,965
• Equity at exit: $11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 92243

• Home prices YoY: -30.1%
• Active inventory: 121
• Price-to-rent: 5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,893 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$681
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$397
• Net cashflow: $598

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,136

Max offer price $129,900

Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,475
• Closing costs: $3,897
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
874 W Pico Ave El Centro, CA	2.0	2.0	1200	$1,700	$1.42	43d	1	0.85mi

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $129,900 Active 9 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $129,900 Active 8 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $129,900 Active 7 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $129,900 Active 6 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $129,900 Active 5 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $129,900 Active 3 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   remarks 451-char remark
8. 2026-06-13
   listed $129,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥114°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,714
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,276
• − Property taxes: −$1,948
• − Insurance: −$650
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,817
• − Management: −$1,817
• − Depreciation: −$3,779
• Taxable income: $5,426
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,302
• After-tax cash flow: $5,869/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: El Centro Elementary
• NCES district ID: 0612030
• Math proficiency: 33% ▲ 3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $37,357
• Composite: 34.9/100
• National rank: #9987
• State rank: #803 of 1400 in CA

Livability — El Centro

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #214
• US rank: #6804

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: El Centro, CA
• County: Imperial County · 104,838 people
• City population: 49,069
• Metro: El Centro, CA
• Population (ZIP): 49,069
• Household income: $55,057
• Rent vs Own: 48.5% rent · 51.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 1683.0

Population outlook (Imperial County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 186,713 people
• By 2030: 190,022 · +1.8%
• By 2040: 195,993 · +5.0%
• By 2050: 199,534 · +6.9%
• By 2075: 216,878 · +16.2%
• By 2100: 352,705 · +88.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 85% Two or more races 24% White 9% Black 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 81%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 29% · Canada
• Languages at home: 25% English-only · Spanish 74%

Political lean MEDSL · Imperial

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 49.1% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.0pp toward R · 2008: 26.2pp · 2024: -0.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+0.9 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+41.1 2012: D+28.8 2008: D+26.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -156.41%
• Current HPI: 362.4044
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: El Centro, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

-3.8% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-09 Listed $129,900 ICAOR
• 2025-05-31 Relisted — ICAOR
• 2025-05-20 Contingent — ICAOR
• 2025-01-08 Listed $135,000 ICAOR

Property tax history

-4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $98 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.