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1155 Pease Rd #49
C+ Composite 63.94
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -5.6

$99,500

1155 Pease Rd #49 · Yuba City, CA 95991
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · Manufactured · 115 Days on market
Manufactured home 55+ age-restricted Built 1974 Good condition 3,920 sqft lot $65/sqft · 22% below area Est $127k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

$2500 SELLER CREDIT towards interior painting included. Move-in ready home in a 55+ community! Spacious 1,500+ sq. ft. home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a cozy fireplace. Located on a corner lot in the peaceful Village Green Senior Park. Large open greatroom with master bedroom on one side of the home and additional 2 bedrooms on the opposite side. Exterior covered parking and plenty of gardening space. Fees include access to community pool & clubhouse, water, sewer and cable.

Key facts

  • Gardening space
  • Covered parking
  • Clubhouse

Tags

MOVE IN READYCORNER LOTCOVERED PARKINGGARDENING SPACECOMMUNITY POOLCLUBHOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $836 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 3.5% in Yuba City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#111 in CA, #3,863 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
  • Yuba City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #263 of 517 in CA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: April Lane Elementary (464 students, 81% FRL); Gray Avenue Middle (688 students, 89% FRL); River Valley High (math 23% / reading 53%, grade F, #571 of 1,170 statewide, top 49%, 1,771 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 58% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 139d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 73 units permitted in Sutter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sutter County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,545 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
16.38%
Cash-on-cash
36.03%
DSCR
2.60
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$126,794
List price
$99,500
Delta
-21.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1155 Pease Rd #514 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,536 (0%) 3mo $115,000 $75 98
1155 Pease Rd #59 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-2%) 3mo $125,000 $83 90
1155 Pease Rd #517 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,536 (0%) 8mo $95,000 $62 86
1155 Pease Rd #304 0.01mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-6%) 1mo $129,000 $90 83
1155 Pease Rd #408 0.18mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,404 (-9%) 2mo $155,000 $110 71
3120 Live Oak Blvd #150 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,560 (+2%) 9mo $177,777 $114 68
3120 Live Oak Blvd #111 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,664 (+8%) 5mo $175,000 $105 65
3120 Live Oak #44 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-6%) 16mo $177,500 $123 64
3120 Live Oak Blvd #102 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,680 (+9%) 9mo $165,000 $98 64
1155 Pease Rd #224 0.05mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,320 (-14%) 7mo $100,000 $76 64
3120 Live Oak Blvd #167 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,338 (-13%) 11mo $140,000 $105 58
3120 Live Oak Blvd #20 0.41mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-6%) 14mo $202,000 $140 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.4%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$34,857
Equity at exit
$14,836
10-year hold
IRR
36.9%
Equity multiple
4.22×
Total profit
$89,774
Equity at exit
$8,603

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
8 active · 5 under contract
Months of supply
9.6 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$117,000 ($85/sqft)
Median days on market
38 d
This list price
12% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-3.1% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 95991

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,929 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,492/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$405
Net cashflow
$836

Break-even live

Break-even rent $870
Max offer price $99,500
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $905 -5% $871 +0% $836 +5% $802 +10% $768
Rent -10% $684 -5% $760 +0% $836 +5% $913 +10% $989
Rate -1.0pp $887 -0.5pp $862 base $836 +0.5pp $811 +1.0pp $784

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1031 Beymer Loop Yuba City, CA 3.0 2.0 1689 $2,800 $1.66 0d 1 0.27mi
1335 Meadowlark Way Yuba City, CA 3.0 2.0 1710 $2,500 $1.46 139d 1 0.94mi
1101 Northgate Dr Yuba City, CA 3.0 2.0 1817 $2,300 $1.27 139d 1 0.97mi
1722 Clark Ave Yuba City, CA 3.0 2.0 1479 $2,500 $1.69 116d 1 1.18mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Directions: Live Oak Blvd to Pease RdAddress: 1155 Pease Rd #49, Yuba City, CA 95991
Financial info
Land lease: No (land lease amount noted separately)
HOA & community
No homeowners associationSenior community

Exterior

Parking
Attached covered parkingNo garage
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerCable availableElectric: Other
Home design
Manufactured in park (double wide)Updated/remodeledBuilt in 1974
Construction
Aluminum skirtingLancer makeBitumen roof
Exterior features
Corner lotCarport awningPorch awningCovered deckCovered patioStorage/shed(s)

Interior

Kitchen
Pantry cabinetLaminate countertopsDishwasherFree-standing electric range
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms (includes master bedroom)
Flooring
Laminate flooringTile flooring
Bathrooms
2 full bathroomsTub with shower over
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioningCeiling fans
Interior features
Updated/remodeled interiorOne living room fireplace (in living room)Dual-pane full windowsCovered deck, covered patio, and porch stepsPorch awning and carport awningStorage/shed(s) on property
Laundry & utility
Inside laundry room

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $99,500 Active 115 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $99,500 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $99,500 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $99,500 Active 112 DOM
  5. 2026-09-18
    days on market $99,500 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-09-17
    days on market $99,500 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-09-16
    days on market $99,500 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-09-15
    days on market $99,500 Active 107 DOM
  9. 2026-09-14
    days on market $99,500 Active 106 DOM
  10. 2026-09-13
    days on market $99,500 Active 105 DOM
  11. 2026-09-12
    days on market $99,500 Active 104 DOM
  12. 2026-09-11
    days on market $99,500 Active 103 DOM
  13. 2026-09-05
    days on market $99,500 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-09-04
    days on market $99,500 Active 96 DOM
  15. 2026-09-03
    pricedays on market $99,500 Active 95 DOM
  16. 2026-08-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 92 DOM
  17. 2026-08-30
    days on market $105,000 Active 91 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $105,000 Active 90 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $105,000 Active 89 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $105,000 Active 88 DOM
  21. 2026-08-26
    days on market $105,000 Active 87 DOM
  22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $105,000 Active 86 DOM
  23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $105,000 Active 85 DOM
  24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $105,000 Active 84 DOM
  25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $105,000 Active 83 DOM
  26. 2026-08-21
    days on market $105,000 Active 82 DOM
  27. 2026-08-20
    days on market $105,000 Active 81 DOM
  28. 2026-08-19
    days on market $105,000 Active 80 DOM
  29. 2026-08-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 79 DOM
  30. 2026-08-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 78 DOM
  31. 2026-08-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 77 DOM
  32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 76 DOM
  33. 2026-08-14
    days on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
  34. 2026-08-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 74 DOM
  35. 2026-08-12
    days on market $105,000 Active 73 DOM
  36. 2026-08-11
    days on market $105,000 Active 72 DOM
  37. 2026-08-10
    days on market $105,000 Active 71 DOM
  38. 2026-08-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 70 DOM
  39. 2026-08-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 69 DOM
  40. 2026-08-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 68 DOM
  41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $105,000 Active 67 DOM
  42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $105,000 Active 66 DOM
  43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 65 DOM
  44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 64 DOM
  45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 61 DOM
  46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $105,000 Active 60 DOM
  47. 2026-07-29
    pricedays on market $105,000 Active 59 DOM
  48. 2026-07-27
    days on market $112,500 Active 57 DOM
  49. 2026-07-25
    days on market $112,500 Active 55 DOM
  50. 2026-07-24
    days on market $112,500 Active 54 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate 12% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,150
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$1,492
− Insurance
−$498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,852
− Management
−$1,852
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable income
$8,988
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,157
After-tax cash flow
$7,880/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,680–$23,040 screening

This move-in ready manufactured home in a 55+ community is in good condition with minimal updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality.
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value.
  • Both New paint in interior walls — Refreshes the space and adds value.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 38/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary April Lane Elementary Middle Gray Avenue Middle High River Valley High F CA #571/1,170 Nat'l #8,877/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yuba City Unified
NCES district ID
0643470
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$50,923
Composite
31.55/100
National rank
#5956
State rank
#263 of 517 in CA
B Composite livability gradescore 75/100

Livability — Yuba City

Score
75/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#3863

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yuba City, CA
County
Sutter County · 97,244 people
City population
81,625
Metro
Yuba City, CA
Population (ZIP)
42,579
Household income
$70,590
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
16% of renters

Population outlook (Sutter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
97,244 people
By 2030
97,170 · -0.1%
By 2040
96,137 · -1.1%
By 2050
93,604 · -3.7%
By 2075
85,008 · -12.6%
By 2100
71,584 · -26.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 41% White 37% Two or more races 19% Asian 12% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Russian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
60% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sutter

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.1% · R 64.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+16.3 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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