4055 N Market St · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$14,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity in North City! This property at 4055 N Market, St. Louis, MO 63113 is located in an area full of potential, where values are expected to rise as redevelopment and revitalization continue. Now is the perfect time to invest early before the big changes take hold. Don’t miss your chance to secure a property in a growing community with strong upside potential.
Key facts
- 3,001 sq ft lot
- Built 1887
- Listed 274 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $14k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $14k).
- Recommended offer: $12k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 94.4% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $97 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $300 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 274 days — a 12% lower offer ($12k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1887 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 274 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1887 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 10.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 94.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 314.60%
- DSCR
- 15.00
- GRM
- 0.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $57,206
- List price
- $14,000
- Delta
- -75.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1712 Belle Glade Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-6%) | 11mo | $55,000 | $55 | 67 |
| 2613 Belle Glade Ave | 0.19mi | 2/1.5 | 1,040 (-2%) | 22mo | $82,500 | $79 | 66 |
| 4251 W Maffitt Ave W | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-6%) | 11mo | $45,000 | $45 | 57 |
| 4223 W Labadie Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 1,050 (-2%) | 17mo | $40,000 | $38 | 56 |
| 3630 Garfield Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+3%) | 13mo | $155,000 | $141 | 49 |
| 4309 W Maffitt Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-6%) | 13mo | $45,000 | $45 | 48 |
| 4275 E Ashland Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 938 (-12%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $107 | 46 |
| 3115 Clay Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,157 (+8%) | 21mo | $132,500 | $115 | 37 |
| 4444 Saint Ferdinand Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-6%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $60 | 34 |
| 3114 Clarence Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 925 (-13%) | 10mo | $39,900 | $43 | 31 |
| 2420 N Taylor Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-6%) | 23mo | $60,000 | $60 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.25×
- Total profit
- $63,712
- Equity at exit
- $2,627
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 36.79×
- Total profit
- $140,288
- Equity at exit
- $2,158
Cash invested: $3,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63113
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 0.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,418 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$73
- Tax from tax record
- −$14 /mo · $163/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $1,028
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,500
- Closing costs
- $420
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2603 Belle Glade Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $800 | $0.85 | 4d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1708 Annie Malone Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 924 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3644 Natural Bridge Ave Apt 303 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $825 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4140 Washington Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 907 | $2,035 | $2.24 | 1d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4627 Maffitt Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $795 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4400 Delmar Blvd St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4127 Westminster Pl St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1216 | $2,095 | $1.72 | 7d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3819 Kossuth Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.5 | 816 | $725 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3717-3721 Westminster Pl St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1343 | $2,098 | $1.56 | 16d | 4 | 1.17mi |
| 3701 Lindell Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1073 | $1,966 | $1.83 | 16d | 81 | 1.22mi |
| 3701 Lindell Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1073 | $1,963 | $1.83 | 1d | 128 | 1.22mi |
| 3681 Lindell Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1292 | $2,818 | $2.18 | 1d | 62 | 1.23mi |
| 4466 Olive St Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1222 | $2,495 | $2.04 | 1d | 7 | 1.24mi |
| 3906 Lindell Blvd St. Louis, MO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,325 | $1.24 | 3d | 16 | 1.25mi |
| 3906 Lindell Blvd St. Louis, MO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,375 | $1.28 | 43d | 10 | 1.25mi |
| 4362 McPherson Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,095 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4500 Olive St Unit D St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,725 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4223 Red Bud Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1167 | $895 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 763 Walton Ave Unit 763 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4394 McPherson Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,175 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4256 Maryland Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4256 Maryland Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 10d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4355 Maryland Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 701 | $1,700 | $2.43 | 2d | 8 | 1.32mi |
| 4322 Maryland Ave St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,799 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 322 N Boyle Ave Unit 3N St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,550 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4446 McPherson Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1440 | $2,100 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4065 W Pine Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1075 | $1,900 | $1.77 | 43d | 8 | 1.34mi |
| 1232 N Euclid Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 982 | $1,395 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3960 W Pine Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4242 Lindell Blvd Apt 102 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,300 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4242 Lindell Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 820 | $1,625 | $1.98 | 16d | 4 | 1.38mi |
| 4642 Farlin Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $800 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4497 Lee Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 16d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 377 N Taylor Ave St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,595 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3307 Olive St St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,220 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3965 Laclede Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 872 | $1,685 | $1.93 | 2d | 4 | 1.42mi |
| 4466 Greenwich Ct St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $1,422 | $1.90 | 2d | 6 | 1.42mi |
| 4738 Olive St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,925 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4497 Pershing Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 579 | $1,399 | $2.42 | 2d | 7 | 1.43mi |
| 1 S Spring Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $14,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $14,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $14,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $14,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $14,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $14,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $14,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $14,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $14,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $14,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $14,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $14,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $14,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2025-12-01price $14,000 393-char remark
Show marketing remark (393 chars)
Great investment opportunity in North City! This property at 4055 N Market, St. Louis, MO 63113 is located in an area full of potential, where values are expected to rise as redevelopment and revitalization continue. Now is the perfect time to invest early before the big changes take hold. Don’t miss your chance to secure a property in a growing community with strong upside potential.
-
2025-09-17$16,000 Active 393-char remark
Show marketing remark (393 chars)
Great investment opportunity in North City! This property at 4055 N Market, St. Louis, MO 63113 is located in an area full of potential, where values are expected to rise as redevelopment and revitalization continue. Now is the perfect time to invest early before the big changes take hold. Don’t miss your chance to secure a property in a growing community with strong upside potential.
-
2018-05-01soldstatus $23,500
-
2018-04-27soldstatus Closed 80-char remark
Show marketing remark (80 chars)
Nice comfortable, 5 room house. In area of new development.Don't disturb tenants
-
2018-03-29status Pending 80-char remark
Show marketing remark (80 chars)
Nice comfortable, 5 room house. In area of new development.Don't disturb tenants
-
2018-03-15price $44,900 80-char remark
Show marketing remark (80 chars)
Nice comfortable, 5 room house. In area of new development.Don't disturb tenants
-
2018-02-12$49,900 Active 80-char remark
Show marketing remark (80 chars)
Nice comfortable, 5 room house. In area of new development.Don't disturb tenants
-
2003-10-30soldstatus
-
1997-11-21soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $163 · $14/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $163 · $14/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,020
- − Mortgage interest
- −$784
- − Property taxes
- −$163
- − Insurance
- −$70
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,362
- − Management
- −$1,362
- − Depreciation
- −$407
- Taxable income
- $12,873
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,089
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,243/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- City population
- 283,259
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,610
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 6% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.14%
- Current HPI
- 107.1335
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
-71.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $14,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-17 Listed $16,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records
- 2018-04-27 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-29 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-15 Price Changed $44,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-12 Listed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-10-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-11-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2024): $163 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…