1001 Baltimore Ave · Waycross, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home offers 2,009 square feet of living space and sits on a generous 0.5-acre lot in Waycross. Built in 1955, the home features a traditional layout with plenty of room for customization and updates. The property also includes a large backyard with an in-ground pool that will need repairs and renovation, offering great potential to create a beautiful outdoor entertaining space. With solid square footage and a sizable lot, this home presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to renovate, invest, or make it their own. Property is being sold As-Is.
Key facts
- In-ground pool
- Generous lot
- Large backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $737 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 5.1% in Waycross — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#519 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Ware County (town): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #95 of 174 in GA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Williams Heights Elementary School (math 28% / reading 35%, grade F, #612 of 1,228 statewide, top 50%, 426 students, 80% FRL); Waycross Middle School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #249 of 470 statewide, top 55%, 583 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 64% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 45 units permitted in Ware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ware County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.26%
- DSCR
- 2.12
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $216,972
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 800 Euclid Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,978 (-2%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $131 | 85 |
| 901 City Blvd | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 2,038 (+1%) | 2mo | $269,000 | $132 | 80 |
| 1102 Kontz Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 2,014 (+0%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $119 | 78 |
| 1221 Richmond Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,875 (-7%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $107 | 68 |
| 1103 Kontz Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 1,895 (-6%) | 1mo | $136,500 | $72 | 66 |
| 1204 Richmond Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,763 (-12%) | 3mo | $184,000 | $104 | 65 |
| 805 Baltimore Ave | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,764 (-12%) | 4mo | $189,900 | $108 | 64 |
| 1703 Rainbow Dr | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,889 (-6%) | 2mo | $196,000 | $104 | 56 |
| 1305 Morningside Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,724 (-14%) | 1mo | $183,000 | $106 | 45 |
| 1611 Moss Creek Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 2,244 (+12%) | 3mo | $309,000 | $138 | 45 |
| 1605 Booth St | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 1,717 (-14%) | 1mo | $263,000 | $153 | 38 |
| 1206 Morningside Dr | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,224 (+11%) | 6mo | $159,900 | $72 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $26,685
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $83,728
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31501
- Home prices YoY
- -29.3%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,628/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $737
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808 Satilla Blvd Waycross, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-18status Pending 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home offers 2,009 square feet of living space and sits on a generous 0.5-acre lot in Waycross. Built in 1955, the home features a traditional layout with plenty of room for customization and updates. The property also includes a large backyard with an in-ground pool that will need repairs and renovation, offering great potential to create a beautiful outdoor entertaining space. With solid square footage and a sizable lot, this home presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to renovate, invest, or make it their own. Property is being sold As-Is.
-
2026-04-18status Under Contract
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home offers 2,009 square feet of living space and sits on a generous 0.5-acre lot in Waycross. Built in 1955, the home features a traditional layout with plenty of room for customization and updates. The property also includes a large backyard with an in-ground pool that will need repairs and renovation, offering great potential to create a beautiful outdoor entertaining space. With solid square footage and a sizable lot, this home presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to renovate, invest, or make it their own. Property is being sold As-Is.
-
2026-03-12$125,000 Active 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home offers 2,009 square feet of living space and sits on a generous 0.5-acre lot in Waycross. Built in 1955, the home features a traditional layout with plenty of room for customization and updates. The property also includes a large backyard with an in-ground pool that will need repairs and renovation, offering great potential to create a beautiful outdoor entertaining space. With solid square footage and a sizable lot, this home presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to renovate, invest, or make it their own. Property is being sold As-Is.
-
2026-03-12$125,000 New
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home offers 2,009 square feet of living space and sits on a generous 0.5-acre lot in Waycross. Built in 1955, the home features a traditional layout with plenty of room for customization and updates. The property also includes a large backyard with an in-ground pool that will need repairs and renovation, offering great potential to create a beautiful outdoor entertaining space. With solid square footage and a sizable lot, this home presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to renovate, invest, or make it their own. Property is being sold As-Is.
-
2025-12-28price $136,000
-
2025-12-17price $143,000
-
2025-12-11price $148,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,628 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,628 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,628
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $7,269
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,744
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,096/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ware County
- NCES district ID
- 1305430
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,231
- Composite
- 25.6/100
- National rank
- #7415
- State rank
- #95 of 174 in GA
Livability — Waycross
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #519
- US rank
- #23458
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waycross, GA
- City population
- 36,207
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,034
Population outlook (Ware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,313 people
- By 2030
- 32,071 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 29,587 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 27,197 · -18.4%
- By 2075
- 22,323 · -33.0%
- By 2100
- 18,197 · -45.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 45% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ware
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.3% · R 71.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: -34.5pp · 2024: -43.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.1 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+41.7 2012: R+33.9 2008: R+34.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.90%
- Current HPI
- 243.5058
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-15.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Pending — GIAR
- 2026-04-18 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $125,000 GIAR
- 2025-12-28 Price Changed $136,000 GIAR
- 2025-12-17 Price Changed $143,000 GIAR
- 2025-12-11 Price Changed $148,000 GIAR
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,628 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…