1727 2nd St · South Connellsville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property with long term tenants. Newer furnace, hot water tank, as well as a side yard and garage space.
Key facts
- Hot water tank
- Newer furnace
- Investment property
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $24k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $677 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,379 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Connellsville Area SD (rural): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #440 of 539 in PA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $169 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $735 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $18k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 39.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 118.43%
- DSCR
- 6.27
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,455
- List price
- $24,500
- Delta
- -84.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.72×
- Total profit
- $39,206
- Equity at exit
- $3,653
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.10×
- Total profit
- $89,891
- Equity at exit
- $2,118
Cash invested: $6,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15425
- Home prices YoY
- -15.9%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$128
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,112/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $677
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,125
- Closing costs
- $735
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $24,500 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $24,500 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $24,500 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $24,500 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $24,500 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $24,500 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $24,500 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $24,500 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $24,500 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $24,500 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $24,500 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $24,500 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $24,500 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $24,500 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-05-03price $24,500 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Great investment property with long term tenants. Newer furnace, hot water tank, as well as a side yard and garage space.
-
2026-03-06price $29,900 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Great investment property with long term tenants. Newer furnace, hot water tank, as well as a side yard and garage space.
-
2025-12-10$35,000 Active 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Great investment property with long term tenants. Newer furnace, hot water tank, as well as a side yard and garage space.
-
1992-01-13soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,112 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,112 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,798
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,372
- − Property taxes
- −$1,112
- − Insurance
- −$122
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,104
- − Management
- −$1,104
- − Depreciation
- −$713
- Taxable income
- $8,271
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,985
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,139/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Connellsville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206660
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,315
- Composite
- 25.95/100
- National rank
- #7333
- State rank
- #440 of 539 in PA
Livability — South Connellsville
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #1379
- US rank
- #17343
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Connellsville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,752
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,561 people
- By 2030
- 123,206 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 113,232 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 103,468 · -18.9%
- By 2075
- 83,185 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 62,384 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.63%
- Current HPI
- 193.6086
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+36.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $24,500 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $29,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-12-10 Listed $35,000 West Penn MLS
- 1992-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,112 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…