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1727 2nd St
D Composite 43.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$24,500

1727 2nd St · South Connellsville, PA 15425
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,462 sqft · Townhouse public records · 190 Days on market
Built 1900 9,265 sqft lot $17/sqft · 85% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property with long term tenants. Newer furnace, hot water tank, as well as a side yard and garage space.

Key facts

  • Hot water tank
  • Newer furnace
  • Investment property

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYLONG TERM TENANTSNEWER FURNACEHOT WATER TANKSIDE YARDGARAGE SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $24k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $677 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,379 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Connellsville Area SD (rural): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #440 of 539 in PA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $169 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $735 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $18k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $21,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.69%
Cap rate
39.45%
Cash-on-cash
118.43%
DSCR
6.27
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,455
List price
$24,500
Delta
-84.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.72×
Total profit
$39,206
Equity at exit
$3,653
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.10×
Total profit
$89,891
Equity at exit
$2,118

Cash invested: $6,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15425

Home prices YoY
-15.9%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$128
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,112/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$677

Break-even live

Break-even rent $293
Max offer price $24,500
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,125
Closing costs
$735
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $24,500 Active 190 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $24,500 Active 189 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $24,500 Active 188 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $24,500 Active 187 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $24,500 Active 185 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $24,500 Active 184 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $24,500 Active 181 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $24,500 Active 180 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $24,500 Active 179 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $24,500 Active 178 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $24,500 Active 175 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $24,500 Active 174 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $24,500 Active 173 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $24,500 Active 172 DOM
  15. 2026-05-03
    price $24,500 121-char remark
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    Great investment property with long term tenants. Newer furnace, hot water tank, as well as a side yard and garage space.

  16. 2026-03-06
    price $29,900 121-char remark
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    Great investment property with long term tenants. Newer furnace, hot water tank, as well as a side yard and garage space.

  17. 2025-12-10
    listed $35,000 Active 121-char remark
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    Great investment property with long term tenants. Newer furnace, hot water tank, as well as a side yard and garage space.

  18. 1992-01-13
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,112 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,112 · $93/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,798
− Mortgage interest
−$1,372
− Property taxes
−$1,112
− Insurance
−$122
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,104
− Management
−$1,104
− Depreciation
−$713
Taxable income
$8,271
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,985
After-tax cash flow
$6,139/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Connellsville Area SD
NCES district ID
4206660
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$39,315
Composite
25.95/100
National rank
#7333
State rank
#440 of 539 in PA

Livability — South Connellsville

Score
61/100
State rank
#1379
US rank
#17343

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Connellsville, PA
Population (ZIP)
17,752

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,561 people
By 2030
123,206 · -3.4%
By 2040
113,232 · -11.2%
By 2050
103,468 · -18.9%
By 2075
83,185 · -34.8%
By 2100
62,384 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.63%
Current HPI
193.6086
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $24,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $29,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $35,000 West Penn MLS
  • 1992-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,112 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…