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854-856 Memorial Ave Triplex
C- Composite 54.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

854-856 Memorial Ave · Williamsport, PA 17701
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,960 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1908 6,534 sqft lot $93/sqft · 36% above area Est $202k · 36% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Turnkey investment opportunity at 854-856 Memorial Ave in Williamsport. Fully rented triplex generating $33,600 annually.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Built 1908
  • Listed 62 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $640 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $213/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
  • Recommended offer: $258k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.6% in Williamsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#523 in PA, #4,841 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Williamsport Area SD (urban): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #349 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,216/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 2178% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $275k implies a 1210% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $258,499 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.33%
Cash-on-cash
10.84%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$201,836
List price
$275,000
Delta
36.25%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
7 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$957
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$73,365
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17701

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
21.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,216 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$288 /mo · $3,458/yr
Insurance
$115
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$675
Net cashflow
$640

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,406
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 75%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $3,216

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $275,000 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $275,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $275,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $275,000 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $275,000 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $275,000 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $275,000 Active 43 DOM
  16. 2026-04-17
    listed $275,000 Active 121-char remark
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    Turnkey investment opportunity at 854-856 Memorial Ave in Williamsport. Fully rented triplex generating $33,600 annually.

  17. 2025-06-15
    historical $900
  18. 2025-01-18
    listed $900
  19. 2024-12-20
    soldstatus Closed 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    Looking to add to your real estate portfolio ? Check out this affordable 3 unit. Gas heat. Call Cami Mahaffey @ 570-220-1791

  20. 2024-11-18
    status Pending 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    Looking to add to your real estate portfolio ? Check out this affordable 3 unit. Gas heat. Call Cami Mahaffey @ 570-220-1791

  21. 2024-10-29
    price $113,900 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    Looking to add to your real estate portfolio ? Check out this affordable 3 unit. Gas heat. Call Cami Mahaffey @ 570-220-1791

  22. 2024-10-29
    price $114,900 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    Looking to add to your real estate portfolio ? Check out this affordable 3 unit. Gas heat. Call Cami Mahaffey @ 570-220-1791

  23. 2024-09-27
    price $116,900 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    Looking to add to your real estate portfolio ? Check out this affordable 3 unit. Gas heat. Call Cami Mahaffey @ 570-220-1791

  24. 2024-08-13
    listed $119,900 Active 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    Looking to add to your real estate portfolio ? Check out this affordable 3 unit. Gas heat. Call Cami Mahaffey @ 570-220-1791

  25. 1981-11-01
    soldstatus $21,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,458 · $288/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,901 · $325/mo
Expected delta
+$444/yr (+$37/mo · 12.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,592
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$3,458
− Insurance
−$2,042
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,087
− Management
−$3,087
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable income
$3,514
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$843
After-tax cash flow
$6,840/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Williamsport Area SD
NCES district ID
4226460
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$38,637
Composite
34.63/100
National rank
#5150
State rank
#349 of 539 in PA

Livability — Williamsport

Score
74/100
State rank
#523
US rank
#4841

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Williamsport, PA
County
Lycoming County · 43,104 people
City population
43,104
Metro
Williamsport, PA
Population (ZIP)
43,104
Household income
$53,237
Rent vs Own
45.4% rent · 54.6% own
Severe rent burden
2178.0

Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,164 people
By 2030
112,221 · -1.7%
By 2040
107,613 · -5.7%
By 2050
102,950 · -9.8%
By 2075
92,987 · -18.5%
By 2100
80,924 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.61%
Current HPI
216.7203
Rent YoY
▲ 4.43%
Metro
Williamsport, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1209.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-15 Rental Removed $900 WBVAR
  • 2025-01-18 Listed for Rent $900 WBVAR
  • 2024-12-20 Sold (MLS) WBVAR
  • 2024-11-18 Pending WBVAR
  • 2024-10-29 Price Changed $113,900 WBVAR
  • 2024-10-29 Price Changed $114,900 WBVAR
  • 2024-09-27 Price Changed $116,900 WBVAR
  • 2024-08-13 Listed $119,900 WBVAR
  • 1981-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,458 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…