1000 Beatrice Ave · Stockton, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 30 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Situated on a corner lot in Stockton, this property presents a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create value and make a home their own. Featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and approximately 1,020 square feet of living space, the home also includes a dining area that could potentially function as a third bedroom, office, or flex space. The layout offers interior laundry, a detached garage, and a fully fenced yard with side gate access, providing added functionality and flexibility. The corner lot setting creates additional outdoor potential for parking, storage, or future improvements. With solid fundamentals and plenty of upside, this fixer offers an exciting op
Key facts
- Interior laundry
- Side gate access
- Dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage with front-facing garage
- Utilities: Electric service: Other; Sewer: Other; Public water; No irrigation
- Home design: Detached single-family residence; Built in 1922; Single-story
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Fenced front and back yard; Low-maintenance yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with additional counter (Other Counter); Dining space in the kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (possible 3rd bedroom); Main level includes bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with a tub
- Heating & cooling: Heating: Other; No central cooling
- Interior features: One-level layout; Living room with unspecified 'Other' feature; Dining area located in the kitchen; Low-maintenance lot (affects interior/outdoor flow)
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (1.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (1.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.6% in Stockton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#734 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, amenities A-; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Stockton Unified (urban): math 23% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #295 of 517 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,779 units permitted in San Joaquin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Joaquin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.25%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $331,500
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 Beatrice Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,020 (0%) | 0mo | $233,000 | $228 | 100 |
| 1257 Sunnyside Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-6%) | 4mo | $349,000 | $364 | 71 |
| 1845 E Poplar St | 0.14mi | 2/1.5 | 1,133 (+11%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $243 | 68 |
| 2327 E Acacia St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,055 (+3%) | 5mo | $330,000 | $313 | 67 |
| 1621 E Regal St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,065 (+4%) | 2mo | $339,000 | $318 | 67 |
| 630 N Watts Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 932 (-9%) | 2mo | $276,288 | $296 | 65 |
| 1600 Sunnyside Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 956 (-6%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $345 | 61 |
| 714 Belvedere Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-2%) | 7mo | $325,000 | $325 | 60 |
| 1111 Pinchot St | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 944 (-8%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $371 | 58 |
| 2346 Hackberry St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 940 (-8%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $186 | 57 |
| 1751 Sunnyside Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 920 (-10%) | 8mo | $349,000 | $379 | 51 |
| 1135 N Pilgrim St | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,140 (+12%) | 8mo | $377,000 | $331 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-7,983
- Equity at exit
- $29,813
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $24,205
- Equity at exit
- $17,288
Cash invested: $55,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95205
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,965 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $424/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $385
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $498 | -5% $442 | +0% $385 | +5% $328 | +10% $32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $230 | -5% $307 | +0% $385 | +5% $463 | +10% $540 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $486 | -0.5pp $436 | base $385 | +0.5pp $333 | +1.0pp $280 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,988
- Closing costs
- $5,998
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1526 N Sierra Nevada St Stockton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $2,600 | $2.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 610 E Oak St Stockton, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,550 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2271 E Church St Stockton, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1285 | $2,245 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 945 N El Dorado St Stockton, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 635 | $1,450 | $2.28 | 24d | 6 | 1.24mi |
| 3232 Sanguinetti Ln Unit A Stockton, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1378 | $2,200 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3232 Sanguinetti Ln Unit B Stockton, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $2,200 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 44 E Alder St Stockton, CA | 1.0 | 2.0 | 829 | $1,300 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 32 E Wyandotte St Apt D Stockton, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 440 E Arcade St Stockton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $2,350 | $2.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 220 E Ellis St Stockton, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,495 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3520 San Mateo Ave Stockton, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1446 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2704 N Hunter St Stockton, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,795 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $199,950 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,950 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,950 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$199,950 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $424 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,520 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,096/yr (+$91/mo · 258.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 30 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,577
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,200
- − Property taxes
- −$424
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,886
- − Management
- −$1,886
- − Depreciation
- −$5,817
- Taxable income
- $1,364
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$327
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,292/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stockton Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0638010
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 16.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,563
- Composite
- 28.65/100
- National rank
- #6701
- State rank
- #295 of 517 in CA
Livability — Stockton
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #734
- US rank
- #21638
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- San Joaquin County · 729,570 people
- City population
- 332,006
- Metro
- Stockton, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,608
- Household income
- $60,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1712.0
Population outlook (San Joaquin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 796,965 people
- By 2030
- 828,849 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 885,611 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 929,798 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 994,578 · +24.8%
- By 2100
- 971,291 · +21.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 77% Two or more races 21% White 9% Asian 6% Black 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 72%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 58% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · San Joaquin
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 48.9% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 10.7pp · 2024: -0.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+12.9 2012: D+8.9 2008: D+10.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -298.45%
- Current HPI
- 502.8934
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Stockton, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $424 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…