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839 N Kansas Expy
C- Composite 52.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

839 N Kansas Expy · Springfield, MO 65802
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 610 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1921 3,485 sqft lot $146/sqft · at area comps Est $93k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Like new home for under $100,000! This home features an open floor plan and modern finishes.

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Built 1921
  • Listed 35 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential property in the Eagle Hts subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Street parking and shared driveway access (directions indicate parking on Eagle or use shared driveway of 840 Eagle to access rear parking)
  • Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built with one level
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Lot approximately 0.08 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Free-standing electric oven
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: Window coverings and blinds; Microwave
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $80k (10.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $80k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Central High (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #92 of 521 statewide, top 20%, 1,464 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 52% at this address vs 39% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Springfield R-XII average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 512 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,638 (10.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.67%
Cash-on-cash
4.92%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,060
List price
$89,000
Delta
-4.36%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1016 N Wabash Ave 0.25mi 2/1.0 (+1) 630 (+3%) 9mo $89,900 $143 70
920 W Brower St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (+1) 624 (+2%) 1mo $134,900 $216 63
612 N Park Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 (+1) 624 (+2%) 4mo $89,900 $144 63
806 N Farmer Ave 0.10mi 2/1.0 (+1) 672 (+10%) 15mo $105,000 $156 60
1459 N Nettleton Ave 0.56mi 1/1.0 588 (-4%) 12mo $89,900 $153 57
1836 W Hovey St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (+1) 672 (+10%) 3mo $50,000 $74 51
530 N Franklin Ave 0.50mi 1/1.0 656 (+8%) 17mo $39,900 $61 50
1308 N Franklin Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 (+1) 656 (+8%) 10mo $110,000 $168 50
2136 W Central St 0.44mi 2/1.0 (+1) 550 (-10%) 11mo $38,000 $69 49
1201 N Park Ave 0.56mi 1/1.0 675 (+11%) 15mo $124,990 $185 44
1030 N Warren Ave 0.56mi 2/1.0 (+1) 700 (+15%) 7mo $95,000 $136 38
920 W Central St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (+1) 700 (+15%) 13mo $89,000 $127 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-6,475
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$8,890
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65802

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
512
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$796 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $278/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$167
Net cashflow
$102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $667
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
916 N Kansas Expy Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 573 $595 $1.04 43d 1 0.03mi
1126 W Hamilton St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 648 $895 $1.38 23d 1 0.47mi
522 N Park Ave Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 608 $950 $1.56 43d 1 0.57mi
813 W Poplar St Unit 813 Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 560 $795 $1.42 13d 1 0.66mi
1911 W Elm St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 580 $875 $1.51 43d 1 0.84mi
733 W College St Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $750 $1.07 13d 1 0.92mi
2712 W Nichols St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 619 $795 $1.28 43d 1 1.02mi
235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1350 $1,150 $0.85 13d 4 1.07mi
235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1350 $1,150 $0.85 23d 5 1.07mi
305 S Campbell Ave Unit 208 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 649 $975 $1.50 13d 1 1.18mi
2711 W Olive St Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 621 $750 $1.21 23d 1 1.18mi
138 Park Central Sq Springfield, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1083 $969 $0.89 13d 8 1.21mi
209 W McDaniel St Unit 209-207 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 43d 1 1.26mi
520 S Scenic Ave Unit 101-A Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 550 $650 $1.18 43d 1 1.30mi
302 W Commercial St Unit 206F Springfield, MO 1.0 615 $850 $1.38 43d 1 1.31mi
1623 N Jefferson Ave Unit B Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 43d 1 1.43mi
2115 N Grace Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 43d 1 1.43mi
301 W State St Unit D Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 570 $875 $1.54 23d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    price $89,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    listed $99,000 Active 93-char remark
  17. 2025-06-21
    historical $750
  18. 2025-06-07
    listed $750
  19. 2024-03-18
    soldstatus
  20. 2024-03-18
    soldstatus
  21. 2017-07-28
    listed $35,000
  22. 2007-01-03
    soldstatus
  23. 2006-03-02
    soldstatus
  24. 2005-01-12
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$278 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$863 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$585/yr (+$49/mo · 210.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,557
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$278
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$765
− Management
−$765
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable loss
−$270
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$65
After-tax cash flow
$1,290/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
46,739
Household income
$55,019
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
1818.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.72%
Current HPI
212.9826
Rent YoY
▲ 4.82%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+154.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $89,000 SOMO
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $99,000 SOMO
  • 2025-06-21 Rental Removed $750 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-06-07 Listed for Rent $750 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-03-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-07-28 Listed $35,000 SOMO
  • 2007-01-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-03-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-01-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $278 · +27.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…