839 N Kansas Expy · Springfield, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.6/30.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Like new home for under $100,000! This home features an open floor plan and modern finishes.
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- Built 1921
- Listed 35 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property in the Eagle Hts subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Street parking and shared driveway access (directions indicate parking on Eagle or use shared driveway of 840 Eagle to access rear parking)
- Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built with one level
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Lot approximately 0.08 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Free-standing electric oven
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating
- Interior features: Window coverings and blinds; Microwave
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $80k (10.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $80k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Central High (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #92 of 521 statewide, top 20%, 1,464 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 52% at this address vs 39% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Springfield R-XII average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 512 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.92%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $93,060
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -4.36%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1016 N Wabash Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 630 (+3%) | 9mo | $89,900 | $143 | 70 |
| 920 W Brower St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 624 (+2%) | 1mo | $134,900 | $216 | 63 |
| 612 N Park Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 624 (+2%) | 4mo | $89,900 | $144 | 63 |
| 806 N Farmer Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 672 (+10%) | 15mo | $105,000 | $156 | 60 |
| 1459 N Nettleton Ave | 0.56mi | 1/1.0 | 588 (-4%) | 12mo | $89,900 | $153 | 57 |
| 1836 W Hovey St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 672 (+10%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $74 | 51 |
| 530 N Franklin Ave | 0.50mi | 1/1.0 | 656 (+8%) | 17mo | $39,900 | $61 | 50 |
| 1308 N Franklin Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 656 (+8%) | 10mo | $110,000 | $168 | 50 |
| 2136 W Central St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 550 (-10%) | 11mo | $38,000 | $69 | 49 |
| 1201 N Park Ave | 0.56mi | 1/1.0 | 675 (+11%) | 15mo | $124,990 | $185 | 44 |
| 1030 N Warren Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 700 (+15%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $136 | 38 |
| 920 W Central St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 700 (+15%) | 13mo | $89,000 | $127 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-6,475
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $8,890
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65802
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 512
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $796 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $278/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$167
- Net cashflow
- $102
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 916 N Kansas Expy Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 573 | $595 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1126 W Hamilton St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $895 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 522 N Park Ave Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $950 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 813 W Poplar St Unit 813 Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $795 | $1.42 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1911 W Elm St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $875 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 733 W College St Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $750 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2712 W Nichols St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 619 | $795 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1350 | $1,150 | $0.85 | 13d | 4 | 1.07mi |
| 235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1350 | $1,150 | $0.85 | 23d | 5 | 1.07mi |
| 305 S Campbell Ave Unit 208 Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 649 | $975 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2711 W Olive St Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $750 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 138 Park Central Sq Springfield, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1083 | $969 | $0.89 | 13d | 8 | 1.21mi |
| 209 W McDaniel St Unit 209-207 Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 520 S Scenic Ave Unit 101-A Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $650 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 302 W Commercial St Unit 206F Springfield, MO | — | 1.0 | 615 | $850 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1623 N Jefferson Ave Unit B Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2115 N Grace Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 301 W State St Unit D Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $875 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $89,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$99,000 Active 93-char remark
-
2025-06-21historical $750
-
2025-06-07$750
-
2024-03-18soldstatus
-
2024-03-18soldstatus
-
2017-07-28$35,000
-
2007-01-03soldstatus
-
2006-03-02soldstatus
-
2005-01-12soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $278 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $863 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$585/yr (+$49/mo · 210.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,557
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$278
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$765
- − Management
- −$765
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable loss
- −$270
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$65
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,290/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield R-XII
- NCES district ID
- 2928860
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,886
- Composite
- 32.45/100
- National rank
- #5717
- State rank
- #174 of 324 in MO
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #4121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, MO
- County
- Greene County · 244,327 people
- City population
- 223,044
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,739
- Household income
- $55,019
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1818.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,054 people
- By 2030
- 335,135 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 366,186 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 397,431 · +24.6%
- By 2075
- 477,035 · +49.5%
- By 2100
- 520,828 · +63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.72%
- Current HPI
- 212.9826
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+154.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $89,000 SOMO
- 2026-05-14 Listed $99,000 SOMO
- 2025-06-21 Rental Removed $750 APPFOLIO
- 2025-06-07 Listed for Rent $750 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-03-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-07-28 Listed $35,000 SOMO
- 2007-01-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-03-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-01-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $278 · +27.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…