2601 Ravenwood Ave NW · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LISTED AND SOLD SAME DAY.
Key facts
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- Built 1956
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-261 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (23.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (31.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $137k (31.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Preston Park Elementary (math 33% / reading 51%, grade F, #866 of 1,108 statewide, top 80%, 505 students, 102% FRL); Breckinridge Middle (math 23% / reading 52%, grade F, #315 of 342 statewide, top 93%, 624 students, 99% FRL); William Fleming High (math 66% / reading 68%, grade B, #185 of 319 statewide, top 61%, 1,911 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 67% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 194 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $112k; list at $200k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.59%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $211,470
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2626 Dorchester Dr NW | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,068 (-4%) | 12mo | $199,900 | $187 | 70 |
| 2508 Churchill Dr NW | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,152 (+4%) | 8mo | $210,000 | $182 | 63 |
| 3816 Sunrise Ave NW | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 970 (-13%) | 7mo | $197,000 | $203 | 61 |
| 4820 Rutgers St NW | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,051 (-6%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $190 | 60 |
| 2432 Ravenwood Ave NW | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 951 (-15%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $152 | 58 |
| 2610 Vancouver Dr NW | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,252 (+12%) | 9mo | $143,000 | $114 | 54 |
| 4620 Rutgers St NW | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,013 (-9%) | 18mo | $175,000 | $173 | 54 |
| 3919 Greenlawn Ave NW | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 1,213 (+9%) | 21mo | $117,007 | $96 | 53 |
| 4708 Pawling St NW | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 952 (-14%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $221 | 46 |
| 3023 Birchlawn Ave NW | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 989 (-11%) | 11mo | $212,000 | $214 | 38 |
| 3125 Birchlawn Ave NW | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 955 (-14%) | 11mo | $190,000 | $199 | 30 |
| 2903 Oakland Blvd NW | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+11%) | 22mo | $250,000 | $203 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-41,821
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-24,988
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24012
- Rents YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 194
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,366 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$208 /mo · $2,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $-261
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4823 Rutgers St NW Roanoke, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 771 | $1,199 | $1.56 | 13d | 5 | 0.57mi |
| 1716 Empress Dr NW Roanoke, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 671 | $1,040 | $1.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 106 Lee Ave NE Apt 10 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 902 | $1,125 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 106 Lee Ave NE Apt 10 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 820 | $1,160 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5125 Airport Rd NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,695 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 812 Whitney Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,100 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3323 Collingwood St NE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,150 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1531 Syracuse Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $1,675 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2916 Courtland Rd NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 722 | $1,123 | $1.56 | 20d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1533 Rugby Blvd NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,475 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3228 Oliver Rd NE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $1,150 | $1.13 | 20d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3111 Ellsworth St NE Roanoke, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,199 | $1.81 | 13d | 2 | 1.11mi |
| 2731 Cove Rd NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1427 | $1,523 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2716 Edison St NE Unit & 2718 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 864 | $1,225 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3816 Plantation Rd NE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $1,700 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1117 Rugby Blvd NW Unit B Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $778 | $0.74 | 20d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2801 Hershberger Rd NW Roanoke, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 956 | $1,965 | $2.06 | 13d | 14 | 1.28mi |
| 2608 Florida Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1394 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 20d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 709 Drew Ave NE Apt 2 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,050 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 120 Avendale Ave NE Unit 3 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 20d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 44 Forest Hill Ave NE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,150 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1331 Dudley St NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 24-char remark
-
2026-06-18$200,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,498 · $208/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,498 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$2,498
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,311
- − Management
- −$1,311
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$6,748
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,620
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,513/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,235
- Household income
- $52,973
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1360.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.94%
- Current HPI
- 186.9007
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.46%
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+1462.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2026-06-17 Listed $200,000 MLSRV
- 2026-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $112,500 Public Records
- 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $112,000 MLSRV
- 2026-05-06 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2026-05-06 Listed $112,500 MLSRV
- 1956-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $12,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,498 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…