🏷️ Likely Rental
70 Locust Ave Unit B114 · New Rochelle, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
One Bedroom unit located on the first floor with large living room, bedroom, bathroom and galley kitchen. This unit needs some updating. The location is very close to shops and near the train. The basement has the laundry room, a community room and a bicycle room as well as a fitness center. The maintenance includes, electric, gas, water and maintenance of common areas and the exterior. There is a surcharge of $60 monthly per AC unit in the months June through September. The parking garage and the outdoor parking lots are wait-listed. Street parking is Free. The Board requires the following: 20% downpayment; 700 min credit score; DTI of 33%; overall debt can not exceed 38% of net income.
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Galley kitchen
- Laundry room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 4.5% in New Rochelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#487 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, amenities B+; Watch: housing D+, commute F, cost of living F.
- New Rochelle City School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #171 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.61%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $185,105
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -24.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $57,259
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 41.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.59×
- Total profit
- $140,696
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10801
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,902 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$609
- Net cashflow
- $1,326
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 Locust Ave Unit 2 New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,950 | $3.93 | 18d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 50 Clinton Pl New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 844 | $5,007 | $5.93 | 1d | 31 | 0.23mi |
| 10 Lecount Pl New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 740 | $3,764 | $5.08 | 1d | 14 | 0.24mi |
| 12 Church St New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 770 | $3,536 | $4.59 | 2d | 50 | 0.24mi |
| 55 Clinton Pl New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $3,721 | $4.09 | 1d | 28 | 0.25mi |
| 130 Centre Ave Unit 4B New Rochelle, NY | — | 1.0 | 452 | $1,885 | $4.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 40 Memorial Hwy New Rochelle, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 917 | $3,158 | $3.44 | 1d | 51 | 0.35mi |
| 1 Shearwood Pl New Rochelle, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 896 | $2,922 | $3.26 | 2d | 31 | 0.38mi |
| 111 Centre Ave New Rochelle, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 787 | $2,847 | $3.62 | 1d | 17 | 0.40mi |
| 220 Pelham Rd New Rochelle, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 862 | $2,195 | $2.54 | 1d | 2 | 0.43mi |
| 325 Huguenot St New Rochelle, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 989 | $2,855 | $2.89 | 5d | 8 | 0.43mi |
| 360 Huguenot St New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 764 | $2,945 | $3.85 | 1d | 15 | 0.43mi |
| 333 Huguenot St New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 853 | $3,562 | $4.17 | 2d | 12 | 0.44mi |
| 25 Maple Ave New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 748 | $3,054 | $4.08 | 4d | 12 | 0.45mi |
| 10 Commerce Dr New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 792 | $3,094 | $3.91 | 1d | 11 | 0.46mi |
| 387 Huguenot St New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 753 | $2,808 | $3.73 | 4d | 6 | 0.48mi |
| 245 Main St Unit 1 New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,750 | $2.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 20 Burling Ln New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $3,110 | $4.29 | 10d | 10 | 0.53mi |
| 11 Burling Ln New Rochelle, NY | — | 1.0 | 516 | $2,250 | $4.36 | 20d | 9 | 0.56mi |
| 95 Washington Ave Unit 1R New Rochelle, NY | — | 1.0 | 400 | $1,700 | $4.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 120 Stonelea Pl Apt 3M New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,300 | $3.07 | 18d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 504 Pelham Rd New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 17 Dewitt Pl New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,500 | $4.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 225 Sickles Ave Unit 1 New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,600 | $3.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 111 Colonial Pl Unit 3 New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $2,300 | $5.75 | 18d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3 Harbor Ln Unit 3A New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,500 | $3.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 600 North Ave New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $3,422 | $3.94 | 1d | 11 | 1.17mi |
| 9 9th St Unit 3rd Floor New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,100 | $2.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 666 Pelham Rd Apt 3A New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,350 | $3.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- watergaselectricgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $139,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-04-30status Active 704-char remark
Show marketing remark (704 chars)
One Bedroom unit located on the first floor with large living room, bedroom, bathroom and galley kitchen. This unit needs some updating. The location is very close to shops and near the train. The basement has the laundry room, a community room and a bicycle room as well as a fitness center. The maintenance includes, electric, gas, water and maintenance of common areas and the exterior. There is a surcharge of $60 monthly per AC unit in the months June through September. The parking garage and the outdoor parking lots are wait-listed. Street parking is Free. The Board requires the following: 20% downpayment; 700 min credit score; DTI of 33%; overall debt can not exceed 38% of net income.
-
2026-04-30price $159,900 704-char remark
Show marketing remark (704 chars)
One Bedroom unit located on the first floor with large living room, bedroom, bathroom and galley kitchen. This unit needs some updating. The location is very close to shops and near the train. The basement has the laundry room, a community room and a bicycle room as well as a fitness center. The maintenance includes, electric, gas, water and maintenance of common areas and the exterior. There is a surcharge of $60 monthly per AC unit in the months June through September. The parking garage and the outdoor parking lots are wait-listed. Street parking is Free. The Board requires the following: 20% downpayment; 700 min credit score; DTI of 33%; overall debt can not exceed 38% of net income.
-
2026-04-29historical 704-char remark
Show marketing remark (704 chars)
One Bedroom unit located on the first floor with large living room, bedroom, bathroom and galley kitchen. This unit needs some updating. The location is very close to shops and near the train. The basement has the laundry room, a community room and a bicycle room as well as a fitness center. The maintenance includes, electric, gas, water and maintenance of common areas and the exterior. There is a surcharge of $60 monthly per AC unit in the months June through September. The parking garage and the outdoor parking lots are wait-listed. Street parking is Free. The Board requires the following: 20% downpayment; 700 min credit score; DTI of 33%; overall debt can not exceed 38% of net income.
-
2026-03-23price $164,900 704-char remark
Show marketing remark (704 chars)
One Bedroom unit located on the first floor with large living room, bedroom, bathroom and galley kitchen. This unit needs some updating. The location is very close to shops and near the train. The basement has the laundry room, a community room and a bicycle room as well as a fitness center. The maintenance includes, electric, gas, water and maintenance of common areas and the exterior. There is a surcharge of $60 monthly per AC unit in the months June through September. The parking garage and the outdoor parking lots are wait-listed. Street parking is Free. The Board requires the following: 20% downpayment; 700 min credit score; DTI of 33%; overall debt can not exceed 38% of net income.
-
2026-02-01$179,900 Active 704-char remark
Show marketing remark (704 chars)
One Bedroom unit located on the first floor with large living room, bedroom, bathroom and galley kitchen. This unit needs some updating. The location is very close to shops and near the train. The basement has the laundry room, a community room and a bicycle room as well as a fitness center. The maintenance includes, electric, gas, water and maintenance of common areas and the exterior. There is a surcharge of $60 monthly per AC unit in the months June through September. The parking garage and the outdoor parking lots are wait-listed. Street parking is Free. The Board requires the following: 20% downpayment; 700 min credit score; DTI of 33%; overall debt can not exceed 38% of net income.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,821
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$2,098
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,786
- − Management
- −$2,786
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $14,545
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,491
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,416/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
The property requires moderate renovations, focusing on electrical safety, aesthetics, and landscaping to improve its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exposed electrical wiring — Safety hazard
- Major Missing cabinet doors — Aesthetics and functionality
- Major Peeling paint — Safety hazard and aesthetics
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating electrical wiring — Improves aesthetics and safety
- Both Replacing missing cabinet doors — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
- Both Landscaping and snow removal — Enhances curb appeal and safety
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exposed electrical wiring · Safety hazard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Missing cabinet doors · Aesthetics and functionality | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Peeling paint · Safety hazard and aesthetics | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and updating electrical wiring — Improves aesthetics and safety ↑
- Both Replacing missing cabinet doors — Enhances functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and snow removal — Enhances curb appeal and safety ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Rochelle City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620490
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,165
- Composite
- 56.63/100
- National rank
- #1139
- State rank
- #171 of 590 in NY
Livability — New Rochelle
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #487
- US rank
- #8572
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Rochelle, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 63,657
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,754
- Household income
- $85,573
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2797.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 36% White 30% Black 24% Two or more races 16% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -910.37%
- Current HPI
- 270.8019
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-11.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $159,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $164,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-01 Listed $179,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…