14112 Krems Ave · Maple Heights, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Starter Home For The Price * 3 Bedrooms With Full Finished Basement * 2 Full Baths * 2 Car Garage * Central Air *
Key facts
- Comfortable backyard
- 5,079 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 7.7% in Maple Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#470 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D+, crime D, employment D.
- Maple Heights City (suburban): math 14% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #630 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $105k implies a 320% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.97%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $159,666
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13513 York Blvd | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,170 (+1%) | 1mo | $185,900 | $159 | 84 |
| 13804 Rockside Rd | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,173 (+1%) | 2mo | $164,500 | $140 | 78 |
| 5853 Monica Ln | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,299 (+12%) | 0mo | $169,900 | $131 | 72 |
| 5408 Roland Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (+0%) | 2mo | $142,000 | $122 | 68 |
| 13206 Shady Oak Blvd | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-7%) | 2mo | $127,000 | $118 | 63 |
| 13009 Willard Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,134 (-2%) | 2mo | $156,500 | $138 | 61 |
| 13008 Oakview Blvd | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-10%) | 0mo | $137,500 | $132 | 59 |
| 13801 Bangor Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-8%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $150 | 57 |
| 12416 Eastwood Blvd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,102 (-5%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $159 | 55 |
| 5948 Dunham Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,072 (-7%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $131 | 50 |
| 13004 Rockside Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,319 (+14%) | 0mo | $154,000 | $117 | 48 |
| 13600 Royal Blvd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,036 (-10%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $198 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $16,450
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.90×
- Total profit
- $85,260
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44137
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Rents YoY
- 14.8%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,596 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$275 /mo · $3,305/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $391
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $451 | -5% $421 | +0% $391 | +5% $361 | +10% $332 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $265 | -5% $328 | +0% $391 | +5% $454 | +10% $517 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $444 | -0.5pp $418 | base $391 | +0.5pp $364 | +1.0pp $336 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14519 Tokay Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $1,325 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 14100 Brunswick Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1157 | $1,475 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 14205 Corridon Ave Maple Heights, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1236 | $1,650 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 14509 Rockside Rd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 3d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 13776 Shady Oak Blvd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 15409 Benhoff Dr Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,800 | $2.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 12918 Eastwood Blvd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,295 | $1.11 | 17d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 12808 Havana Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,350 | $1.28 | 17d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5973 Turney Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $1,425 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 15312 Ramage Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 16011 Maplewood Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,300 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5270 Beech Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1401 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 17d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 12211 Woodward Blvd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 11d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 12214 Shady Oak Blvd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 16224 Maplewood Ct Maple Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,550 | $1.67 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5283 E 133rd St Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,495 | $1.27 | 17d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5445 Lee Rd Unit 6-R Maple Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,299 | $1.62 | 8d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5200 Miller Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 4d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5627 Jefferson Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,250 | $1.10 | 8d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5223 Paine Ave Maple Heights, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5164 E 128th St Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,495 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 11512 Tonsing Dr Unit 2 UP Garfield Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1145 | $975 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 11512 Tonsing Dr Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,095 | $0.99 | 17d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5554 Dalewood Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5074 Miller Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 16914 Maple Heights Blvd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,425 | $1.18 | 11d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5581 Saxon Dr Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,595 | $1.48 | 8d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5461 Clement Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5461 Clement Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 17d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 17204 Mapleboro Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 17206 Mapleboro Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,325 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 15913 Grant Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,390 | $0.99 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5141 Lee Rd Maple Heights, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,350 | $1.74 | 17d | 5 | 1.36mi |
| 681 Turney Rd Bedford, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 795 | $1,500 | $1.89 | 20d | 13 | 1.36mi |
| 681 Turney Rd Bedford, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-02status Pending
-
2026-03-18$105,000 Active
-
2022-03-08price $895
-
2013-10-07soldstatus $25,000
-
2013-07-08$24,900
-
2007-02-22soldstatus $73,900 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Great Starter Home For The Price * 3 Bedrooms With Full Finished Basement * 2 Full Baths * 2 Car Garage * Central Air *
-
2007-02-22soldstatus $73,900
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Great Starter Home For The Price * 3 Bedrooms With Full Finished Basement * 2 Full Baths * 2 Car Garage * Central Air *
-
2006-12-20$74,900 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Great Starter Home For The Price * 3 Bedrooms With Full Finished Basement * 2 Full Baths * 2 Car Garage * Central Air *
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,305 · $275/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,305 · $275/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,155
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$3,305
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,532
- − Management
- −$1,532
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $3,324
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$798
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,897/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maple Heights City
- NCES district ID
- 3904430
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,856
- Composite
- 16.39/100
- National rank
- #9197
- State rank
- #630 of 656 in OH
Livability — Maple Heights
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #470
- US rank
- #7818
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maple Heights, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 23,285
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,285
- Household income
- $53,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 971.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% White 20% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.37%
- Current HPI
- 164.4326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.82%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+40.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-18 Listed $105,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-03-08 Price Changed $895 RENT.
- 2013-10-07 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MLSNOW
- 2013-07-08 Listed $24,900 MLSNOW
- 2007-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $73,900 Public Records
- 2007-02-22 Sold (MLS) $73,900 MLSNOW
- 2006-12-20 Listed $74,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,305 · -10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…