CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
418 Cinnabar Ave Multi-family
C+ Composite 61.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

418 Cinnabar Ave · Mountain City, NV 89801
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,592 sqft · MultiFamily · 95 Days on market
Built 2007 1.05 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Don't miss out on this spacious 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home situated on 1 acre in the Wildhorse area near the lake. This property offers plenty of space with peaceful surroundings and easy access to outdoor recreation. Enjoy country living with room to spread out while still being close to Wildhorse Reservoir for fishing, boating, and relaxing in nature. There is also a single wide mobile home on the property, offering extra sleeping arrangements for overnight guests.

Key facts

  • Outdoor recreation
  • Country living
  • Wildhorse area

Tags

1 ACREWILDHORSE AREAOUTDOOR RECREATIONCOUNTRY LIVINGSINGLE WIDE MOBILE HOME

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $228k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Elko County School District (town): math 22% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #9 of 17 in NV (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 280 active listings in the ZIP; 120 units permitted in Elko County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Elko County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $227,500 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.58%
Cash-on-cash
11.76%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$3,212
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$59,224
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
71 Landlord-Friendly
State Nevada
71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; Clark County (Vegas) had pandemic backlogs; generally landlord-friendly but courts slow.

ZIP-level market 89801

Active inventory
280
Price-to-rent
13.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,055 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$642
Net cashflow
$686

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,187
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 73%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,055

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $250,000 Active 95 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 94 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 93 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 92 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 91 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $250,000 Active 89 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $250,000 Active 88 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $250,000 Active 79 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 78 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 77 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 76 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 75 DOM
  17. 2026-03-16
    listed $250,000 Active 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Don't miss out on this spacious 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home situated on 1 acre in the Wildhorse area near the lake. This property offers plenty of space with peaceful surroundings and easy access to outdoor recreation. Enjoy country living with room to spread out while still being close to Wildhorse Reservoir for fishing, boating, and relaxing in nature. There is also a single wide mobile home on the property, offering extra sleeping arrangements for overnight guests.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥86°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,660
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,750
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,933
− Management
−$2,933
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$4,518
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,084
After-tax cash flow
$7,145/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elko County School District
NCES district ID
3200120
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$70,371
Composite
28.09/100
National rank
#6831
State rank
#9 of 17 in NV

Livability — Mountain City

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
26,070

Population outlook (Elko County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
56,797 people
By 2030
59,107 · +4.1%
By 2040
63,513 · +11.8%
By 2050
66,996 · +18.0%
By 2075
73,785 · +29.9%
By 2100
72,352 · +27.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 15% Native American 5% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Dutch 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 15% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Elko

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.6) · D 20.6% · R 77.2% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -56.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.6 2020: R+55.5 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+53.2 2008: R+40.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.07%
Current HPI
146.8186
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.08%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $250,000 ECRMLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $207 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…