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4121 Wilhelm St
C- Composite 54.49
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

4121 Wilhelm St · Fort Worth, TX 76119
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1958 8,102 sqft lot $164/sqft · 15% below area Est $205k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming single-story home located in the established Fair Havens Addition of Fort Worth. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers approximately 1,064 square feet of living space and sits on a spacious 8,100 sq ft lot, providing plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment. Built in 1958, the home features a functional layout with great potential for updates or investment opportunities. fresh paint and new carpet. The property includes a sizable backyard ideal for entertaining, gardening, or future expansion. Conveniently located with easy access to major highways, schools, and local amenities, this home is perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or those looking to add their personal touch. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a property with solid potential in a growing Fort Worth market. This property qualifies for a $10,000 grant from approved lender. more details uploaded in transaction desk

Key facts

  • Sizable backyard
  • Local amenities
  • Single-story home

Tags

SINGLE-STORY HOMESIZABLE BACKYARDEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR HIGHWAYSLOCAL AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (6.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
  • Fort Worth ISD (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #742 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,990 (6.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.63%
Cash-on-cash
4.76%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$205,089
List price
$174,900
Delta
-14.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4120 Wilhelm St 0.03mi 3/1.0 996 (-6%) 0mo $169,999 $171 88
4505 Quails Ln 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,047 (-2%) 4mo $99,900 $95 86
4608 Reed St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,050 (-1%) 2mo $149,900 $143 78
4500 Reed St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,096 (+3%) 1mo $165,000 $151 74
3709 S Hughes Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,040 (-2%) 5mo $205,000 $197 70
3509 S Hughes Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,054 (-1%) 6mo $189,999 $180 70
4413 Quails Ln 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+13%) 2mo $225,000 $188 64
4313 Eastover Ave 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,164 (+9%) 0mo $224,900 $193 56
3720 Carey St 0.70mi 3/1.0 998 (-6%) 6mo $168,000 $168 52
3012 Hatcher St 0.75mi 3/1.0 950 (-11%) 2mo $105,000 $111 45
4311 Fairlane Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 943 (-11%) 0mo $175,000 $186 44
3712 Preston Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,222 (+15%) 4mo $199,000 $163 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-20,783
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
-7.7%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-20,802
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76119

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Rents YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,630 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,238/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$194

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,384
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $293 -5% $244 +0% $194 +5% $145 +10% $95
Rent -10% $66 -5% $130 +0% $194 +5% $259 +10% $323
Rate -1.0pp $282 -0.5pp $239 base $194 +0.5pp $149 +1.0pp $103

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4217 Wilhelm St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1380 $1,650 $1.20 45d 1 0.15mi
4336 Jana Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,650 $1.54 5d 1 0.25mi
3983 Griggs Ct Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,500 $1.41 0d 1 0.26mi
4508 Wiman Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,564 $1.50 0d 1 0.36mi
5055 Virgil St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1089 $1,650 $1.52 25d 1 0.51mi
3758 Donalee St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 720 $1,395 $1.94 45d 1 0.86mi
3865 Stalcup Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,800 $1.65 0d 1 0.97mi
3848 Waldorf St Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 734 $1,195 $1.63 6d 1 1.02mi
3201 Mount Horum Way Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,675 $1.60 0d 1 1.10mi
5336 Cottey St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,699 $1.63 45d 1 1.10mi
3421 Bright St Unit 3421 Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 900 $1,375 $1.53 45d 1 1.13mi
5011 Sunshine Dr Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 813 $1,515 $1.86 25d 1 1.14mi
2500 S Edgewood Ter Fort Worth, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1123 $1,895 $1.69 3d 34 1.15mi
4312 Lorin Ave Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1230 $2,000 $1.63 45d 1 1.16mi
4959 Miller Ave Unit 4959 Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 780 $1,200 $1.54 25d 1 1.19mi
5328 Carol Ave Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1230 $2,100 $1.71 45d 1 1.25mi
3700 Radford Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1124 $1,650 $1.47 25d 1 1.26mi
3700 Radford Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1124 $1,650 $1.47 14d 1 1.26mi
4220 Ramey Ave Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 832 $1,680 $2.02 6d 1 1.26mi
2701 Vogt St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,475 $1.35 15d 1 1.35mi
5818 Grayson St Unit 5818 Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1400 $2,000 $1.43 20d 1 1.37mi
5820 Grayson St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1417 $1,895 $1.34 45d 1 1.38mi
5908 Oakdale Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,475 $1.35 7d 1 1.43mi
5910 Wilkes Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,399 $1.60 0d 1 1.44mi
5913 Montague St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,549 $1.42 15d 1 1.46mi
5912 Wilkes Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,499 $1.72 45d 1 1.46mi
3211 Montague St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1460 $1,999 $1.37 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $174,900 Pending 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,900 Active Option Contract 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,900 Active Option Contract 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,900 Active Option Contract 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $174,900 Active Option Contract 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,900 Active Option Contract 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,900 Active Option Contract 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    status $174,900 Active Option Contract 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,900 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $174,900 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $174,900 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $174,900 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    status $174,900 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $174,900 Active Option Contract 41 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    status $174,900 Active Option Contract 40 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $174,900 Active 40 DOM
  17. 2026-04-21
    listed $174,900 Active 916-char remark
    Show marketing remark (916 chars)

    Charming single-story home located in the established Fair Havens Addition of Fort Worth. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers approximately 1,064 square feet of living space and sits on a spacious 8,100 sq ft lot, providing plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment. Built in 1958, the home features a functional layout with great potential for updates or investment opportunities. fresh paint and new carpet. The property includes a sizable backyard ideal for entertaining, gardening, or future expansion. Conveniently located with easy access to major highways, schools, and local amenities, this home is perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or those looking to add their personal touch. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a property with solid potential in a growing Fort Worth market. This property qualifies for a $10,000 grant from approved lender. more details uploaded in transaction desk

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,238 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,201 · $267/mo
Expected delta
+$1,963/yr (+$164/mo · 158.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,559
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$1,238
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,565
− Management
−$1,565
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable loss
−$568
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$136
After-tax cash flow
$2,469/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Worth ISD
NCES district ID
4819700
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$42,109
Composite
19.61/100
National rank
#8753
State rank
#742 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
52,974
Household income
$51,267
Rent vs Own
45.3% rent · 54.7% own
Severe rent burden
2221.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 51% Black 36% Two or more races 26% White 8% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 44%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.04%
Current HPI
336.7941
Rent YoY
▼ -1.61%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $174,900 NTREIS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,238 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…