4121 Wilhelm St · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming single-story home located in the established Fair Havens Addition of Fort Worth. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers approximately 1,064 square feet of living space and sits on a spacious 8,100 sq ft lot, providing plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment. Built in 1958, the home features a functional layout with great potential for updates or investment opportunities. fresh paint and new carpet. The property includes a sizable backyard ideal for entertaining, gardening, or future expansion. Conveniently located with easy access to major highways, schools, and local amenities, this home is perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or those looking to add their personal touch. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a property with solid potential in a growing Fort Worth market. This property qualifies for a $10,000 grant from approved lender. more details uploaded in transaction desk
Key facts
- Sizable backyard
- Local amenities
- Single-story home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (6.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $163k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
- Fort Worth ISD (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #742 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.76%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $205,089
- List price
- $174,900
- Delta
- -14.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4120 Wilhelm St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 996 (-6%) | 0mo | $169,999 | $171 | 88 |
| 4505 Quails Ln | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,047 (-2%) | 4mo | $99,900 | $95 | 86 |
| 4608 Reed St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-1%) | 2mo | $149,900 | $143 | 78 |
| 4500 Reed St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,096 (+3%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $151 | 74 |
| 3709 S Hughes Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-2%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $197 | 70 |
| 3509 S Hughes Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,054 (-1%) | 6mo | $189,999 | $180 | 70 |
| 4413 Quails Ln | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+13%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $188 | 64 |
| 4313 Eastover Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,164 (+9%) | 0mo | $224,900 | $193 | 56 |
| 3720 Carey St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 998 (-6%) | 6mo | $168,000 | $168 | 52 |
| 3012 Hatcher St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (-11%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $111 | 45 |
| 4311 Fairlane Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 943 (-11%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $186 | 44 |
| 3712 Preston Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,222 (+15%) | 4mo | $199,000 | $163 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-20,783
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-20,802
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76119
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,630 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,238/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $293 | -5% $244 | +0% $194 | +5% $145 | +10% $95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $66 | -5% $130 | +0% $194 | +5% $259 | +10% $323 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $282 | -0.5pp $239 | base $194 | +0.5pp $149 | +1.0pp $103 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4217 Wilhelm St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4336 Jana Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,650 | $1.54 | 5d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3983 Griggs Ct Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,500 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4508 Wiman Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,564 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 5055 Virgil St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,650 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3758 Donalee St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,395 | $1.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3865 Stalcup Rd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,800 | $1.65 | 0d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3848 Waldorf St Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,195 | $1.63 | 6d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3201 Mount Horum Way Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,675 | $1.60 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5336 Cottey St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,699 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3421 Bright St Unit 3421 Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,375 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5011 Sunshine Dr Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 813 | $1,515 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2500 S Edgewood Ter Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1123 | $1,895 | $1.69 | 3d | 34 | 1.15mi |
| 4312 Lorin Ave Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,000 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4959 Miller Ave Unit 4959 Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,200 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5328 Carol Ave Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,100 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3700 Radford Rd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,650 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3700 Radford Rd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,650 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4220 Ramey Ave Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,680 | $2.02 | 6d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2701 Vogt St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,475 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5818 Grayson St Unit 5818 Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 20d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5820 Grayson St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1417 | $1,895 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5908 Oakdale Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,475 | $1.35 | 7d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5910 Wilkes Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,399 | $1.60 | 0d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5913 Montague St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,549 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5912 Wilkes Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,499 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3211 Montague St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,999 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18status $174,900 Pending 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active Option Contract 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,900 Active Option Contract 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,900 Active Option Contract 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,900 Active Option Contract 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,900 Active Option Contract 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active Option Contract 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08status $174,900 Active Option Contract 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $174,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $174,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02status $174,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,900 Active Option Contract 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31status $174,900 Active Option Contract 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $174,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-21$174,900 Active 916-char remark
Show marketing remark (916 chars)
Charming single-story home located in the established Fair Havens Addition of Fort Worth. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers approximately 1,064 square feet of living space and sits on a spacious 8,100 sq ft lot, providing plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment. Built in 1958, the home features a functional layout with great potential for updates or investment opportunities. fresh paint and new carpet. The property includes a sizable backyard ideal for entertaining, gardening, or future expansion. Conveniently located with easy access to major highways, schools, and local amenities, this home is perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or those looking to add their personal touch. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a property with solid potential in a growing Fort Worth market. This property qualifies for a $10,000 grant from approved lender. more details uploaded in transaction desk
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,238 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,201 · $267/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,963/yr (+$164/mo · 158.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,559
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$1,238
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,565
- − Management
- −$1,565
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable loss
- −$568
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$136
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,469/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Worth ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,109
- Composite
- 19.61/100
- National rank
- #8753
- State rank
- #742 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Worth, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,974
- Household income
- $51,267
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2221.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% Black 36% Two or more races 26% White 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 44%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.04%
- Current HPI
- 336.7941
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.61%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $174,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,238 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…