CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
47 Auburn Depot Dr
D Composite 42.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.5/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$399,000

47 Auburn Depot Dr · Auburn, GA 30011
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,831 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 6,534 sqft lot $141/sqft · 14% below area Est $462k · 14% under $63/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Stunning home at 47 Auburn Depot Dr, Auburn, GA 30011, built in 2022 and featuring an exceptional blend of style and functionality. This beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 4-bath home offers spacious living areas, modern finishes, and an inviting floor plan perfect for entertaining. The home office and kitchen with white cabinets and granite countertops provide both style and practicality. Enjoy a private backyard, mature landscaping, and convenient access to local amenities and schools. Move-in ready—nothing needs to be done! Take advantage of a 4% assumable mortgage covering nearly the entire selling price, reducing monthly payments by approximately $300. This home perfectly combines comfort, charm, and convenience in a highly desirable Auburn neighborhood. Don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $399k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-274 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $351k (12.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $308k (22.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $308k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.8% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#41 in GA, #4,693 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Barrow County (rural): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #77 of 174 in GA (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Auburn Elementary School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #633 of 1,228 statewide, top 54%, 766 students, 61% FRL); Westside Middle School (math 20% / reading 27%, grade F, #319 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 736 students, 66% FRL); Apalachee High School (math 13% / reading 35%, grade F, #203 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 1,894 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,427 units permitted in Barrow County in 2024 (311 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Barrow County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($393k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $317k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $308,138 (22.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.47%
Cash-on-cash
-2.94%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$462,122
List price
$399,000
Delta
-13.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
206 Auburn Crossing Dr 0.22mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,788 (-2%) 3mo $400,000 $143 80
69 Avian Way Unit 16B 0.45mi 5/3.5 2,589 (-8%) 2mo $427,565 $165 61
69 Avian Way 0.45mi 5/3.5 2,589 (-8%) 2mo $427,565 $165 61
94 Appalachee Church Rd 0.42mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,042 (+8%) 0mo $600,000 $197 61
17 Butternut Way 0.48mi 5/3.5 2,589 (-8%) 4mo $431,990 $167 58
17 Butternut Way Unit 118B 0.48mi 5/3.5 2,589 (-8%) 4mo $431,990 $167 58
73 Avian Way 0.43mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,537 (-10%) 1mo $440,565 $174 57
73 Avian Way Unit 18B 0.43mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,537 (-10%) 1mo $440,565 $174 57
48 Avian Way 0.52mi 5/3.5 2,589 (-8%) 4mo $476,315 $184 56
48 Avian Way Unit 131B 0.52mi 5/3.5 2,589 (-8%) 4mo $476,315 $184 56
50 Avian Way 0.51mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,537 (-10%) 1mo $469,040 $185 53
44 Avian Way Unit 129B 0.55mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,537 (-10%) 6mo $500,625 $197 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.8%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-83,713
Equity at exit
$59,492
10-year hold
IRR
-16.9%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-101,923
Equity at exit
$34,498

Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30011

Home prices YoY
-30.5%
Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
336
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,081 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,092
Tax from tax record
$386 /mo · $4,638/yr
Insurance
$166
HOA
$63
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$647
Net cashflow
$-274

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,428
Max offer price $350,629
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-48 -5% $-161 +0% $-274 +5% $-387 +10% $-500
Rent -10% $-517 -5% $-396 +0% $-274 +5% $-152 +10% $-30
Rate -1.0pp $-73 -0.5pp $-172 base $-274 +0.5pp $-377 +1.0pp $-482

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,750
Closing costs
$11,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
61 Depot Overlook Dr Auburn, GA 5.0 3.0 2338 $2,580 $1.10 5d 1 0.05mi
106 Depot Overlook Dr Auburn, GA 5.0 3.0 2290 $2,800 $1.22 26d 1 0.09mi
345 Rodeo Dr Auburn, GA 5.0 3.0 3150 $2,675 $0.85 20d 1 1.17mi
3527 Bailey Rd Dacula, GA 4.0 4.5 3200 $4,000 $1.25 45d 1 1.24mi
408 Elkhorn Glen Ct Auburn, GA 4.0 4.0 2656 $2,850 $1.07 5d 1 1.39mi
3370 Elkhorn Ridge Run Dacula, GA 4.0 3.5 2880 $3,300 $1.15 26d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$63 · $756/yr
Likely covers
landscaping

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-26
    listed $399,000 Active 827-char remark
    Show marketing remark (815 chars)

    Stunning home at 47 Auburn Depot Dr, Auburn, GA 30011, built in 2022 and featuring an exceptional blend of style and functionality. This beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 4-bath home offers spacious living areas, modern finishes, and an inviting floor plan perfect for entertaining. The home office and kitchen with white cabinets and granite countertops provide both style and practicality. Enjoy a private backyard, mature landscaping, and convenient access to local amenities and schools. Move-in ready-nothing needs to be done! Take advantage of a 4% assumable mortgage covering nearly the entire selling price, reducing monthly payments by approximately $300. This home perfectly combines comfort, charm, and convenience in a highly desirable Auburn neighborhood. Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity!

  2. 2026-04-26
    listed $399,000 New 815-char remark
    Show marketing remark (815 chars)

    Stunning home at 47 Auburn Depot Dr, Auburn, GA 30011, built in 2022 and featuring an exceptional blend of style and functionality. This beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 4-bath home offers spacious living areas, modern finishes, and an inviting floor plan perfect for entertaining. The home office and kitchen with white cabinets and granite countertops provide both style and practicality. Enjoy a private backyard, mature landscaping, and convenient access to local amenities and schools. Move-in ready-nothing needs to be done! Take advantage of a 4% assumable mortgage covering nearly the entire selling price, reducing monthly payments by approximately $300. This home perfectly combines comfort, charm, and convenience in a highly desirable Auburn neighborhood. Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity!

  3. 2026-03-27
    historical $399,000 815-char remark
    Show marketing remark (827 chars)

    Stunning home at 47 Auburn Depot Dr, Auburn, GA 30011, built in 2022 and featuring an exceptional blend of style and functionality. This beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 4-bath home offers spacious living areas, modern finishes, and an inviting floor plan perfect for entertaining. The home office and kitchen with white cabinets and granite countertops provide both style and practicality. Enjoy a private backyard, mature landscaping, and convenient access to local amenities and schools. Move-in ready—nothing needs to be done! Take advantage of a 4% assumable mortgage covering nearly the entire selling price, reducing monthly payments by approximately $300. This home perfectly combines comfort, charm, and convenience in a highly desirable Auburn neighborhood. Don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!

  4. 2026-03-27
    historical $399,000 827-char remark
    Show marketing remark (827 chars)

    Stunning home at 47 Auburn Depot Dr, Auburn, GA 30011, built in 2022 and featuring an exceptional blend of style and functionality. This beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 4-bath home offers spacious living areas, modern finishes, and an inviting floor plan perfect for entertaining. The home office and kitchen with white cabinets and granite countertops provide both style and practicality. Enjoy a private backyard, mature landscaping, and convenient access to local amenities and schools. Move-in ready—nothing needs to be done! Take advantage of a 4% assumable mortgage covering nearly the entire selling price, reducing monthly payments by approximately $300. This home perfectly combines comfort, charm, and convenience in a highly desirable Auburn neighborhood. Don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!

  5. 2021-09-17
    soldstatus $317,260

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,638 · $386/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,638 · $386/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,977
− Mortgage interest
−$22,350
− Property taxes
−$4,638
− Insurance
−$1,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,958
− Management
−$2,958
− HOA
−$756
− Depreciation
−$11,607
Taxable loss
−$10,286
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,469
After-tax cash flow
$-817/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This move-in ready home offers a good condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It has the potential for minor updates to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Resale Replace window treatments — Fresh window treatments can improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Resale Update flooring in living areas — Fresh flooring can enhance the overall look and feel of the home
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and add value for both buyers and renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Resale Replace window treatments — Fresh window treatments can improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Resale Update flooring in living areas — Fresh flooring can enhance the overall look and feel of the home
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and add value for both buyers and renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Barrow County
NCES district ID
1300290
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$52,082
Composite
27.63/100
National rank
#6921
State rank
#77 of 174 in GA

Livability — Auburn

Score
74/100
State rank
#41
US rank
#4693

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, GA
County
Barrow County · 133,377 people
City population
21,624
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
21,624
Household income
$86,402
Rent vs Own
18.1% rent · 81.9% own
Severe rent burden
234.0

Population outlook (Barrow County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
86,670 people
By 2030
92,039 · +6.2%
By 2040
101,992 · +17.7%
By 2050
110,075 · +27.0%
By 2075
124,017 · +43.1%
By 2100
127,579 · +47.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 5% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Barrow

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.5) · D 29.5% · R 70.0%
2008→2024 swing
+4.1pp toward D · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -40.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.5 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+50.5 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.30%
Current HPI
212.2609
Rent YoY
▲ 2.47%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $399,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $399,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Coming Soon $399,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Coming Soon $399,000 FMLS
  • 2021-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $317,260 Public Records

Property tax history

+95.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,638 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…