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865 E 178th St Triplex
D+ Composite 48.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.7/10.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$1,249,999

865 E 178th St · New York, NY 10460
9 bd · 6.0 ba · 3,108 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 2006 2,856 sqft lot Est $861k · 45% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Two Very Well Maintained 3 Family Properties located on the same block, offering a rare chance to acquire side-by-side assets in a strong rental market. Each property features spacious units with solid layouts, ideal for long term tenants or future repositioning. build in the mid-2000s, these properties benefit from relatively low property taxes compared to similar multifamily assets, enhancing current cash flow. Perfect for investors seeking: consistent rental income, Long term appreciation in a growing Bronx marktet, Value add potential over time. 2nd and 3rd floor has enough space to add a 4th bedroom if preferred. Whether you're expanding your portfolio or securing a multi-property inve

Key facts

  • 2,856 sq ft lot
  • Built 2006
  • Listed 49 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Tax information available (tax year 2025)

Exterior

  • Parking: No dedicated parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; No utilities listed
  • Home design: Triplex
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three 3-bedroom units
  • Bathrooms: Six full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Finished walk-out basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.25M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $795 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $265/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.03M (17.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.03M (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $10,339/mo this rent would consume 342% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 7852% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $102k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $93k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $350k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$163k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.21M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $810k; list at $1.25M implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,033,900 (17.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
7.12%
Cash-on-cash
2.95%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$860,916
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
869 Elsmere Pl 0.12mi 9/7.0 3,141 (+1%) 14mo $865,000 $275 77
856 E 175th St 0.34mi 8/4.0 (-1) 3,120 (+0%) 19mo $980,000 $314 55
1464 Minford 0.74mi 8/4.0 (-1) 3,174 (+2%) 18mo $1,100,000 $347 34
1939 Monterey Ave 0.60mi 8/3.0 (-1) 3,450 (+11%) 7mo $865,000 $251 31
2159 Belmont Ave 0.51mi 8/3.0 (-1) 3,540 (+14%) 12mo $550,000 $155 26
1746 Van Buren St 0.73mi 8/3.0 (-1) 3,388 (+9%) 14mo $940,000 $277 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$522,432
Equity at exit
$904,445
10-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
5.22×
Total profit
$1,476,829
Equity at exit
$1,753,827

Cash invested: $350,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10460

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
30.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$10,339 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,555
Tax from tax record
$231 /mo · $2,766/yr
Insurance
$521
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,171
Net cashflow
$795

Break-even live

Break-even rent $9,333
Max offer price $1,249,999
Occupancy floor 87%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $10,339

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$312,500
Closing costs
$37,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,249,999 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,249,999 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,249,999 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,249,999 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,249,999 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1,249,999 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,249,999 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,249,999 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,249,999 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,249,999 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,249,999 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,249,999 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-04-30
    listed $1,249,999 Active
  14. 2023-10-17
    listed $1,150,000 Active
  15. 2023-10-17
    historical
  16. 2023-10-13
    price $1,150,000
  17. 2023-09-06
    status Active
  18. 2023-09-06
    price $1,200,000
  19. 2023-05-04
    listed $1,050,000 Active
  20. 2006-05-18
    soldstatus $810,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,766 · $231/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$11,946 · $995/mo
Expected delta
+$9,179/yr (+$765/mo · 331.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$124,068
− Mortgage interest
−$70,019
− Property taxes
−$2,766
− Insurance
−$7,047
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,925
− Management
−$9,925
− Depreciation
−$36,364
Taxable loss
−$11,980
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,875
After-tax cash flow
$12,413/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
59,396
Household income
$36,309
Rent vs Own
90.6% rent · 9.4% own
Severe rent burden
7852.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 65% Black 27% Two or more races 20% White 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 23% Dominican 28%
Foreign-born
33% · Canada
Languages at home
38% English-only · Spanish 54% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.46%
Current HPI
224.0425
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+54.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $1,249,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-17 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-17 Listed $1,150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-13 Price Changed $1,150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-06 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-06 Price Changed $1,200,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-04 Listed $1,050,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $810,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,766 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…