6228 Falcon Dr · Englewood, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- ARV discount +4.2/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * * * PRICE REDUCED * * * * * Welcome to easy Florida living in the desirable 55+ community of Lemon Bay Isles! This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,352 square feet of comfortable living space and comes fully furnished, making it truly move-in ready. Step inside to find luxury vinyl flooring throughout and a spacious, open layout perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The home features a large dining area with a breakfast bar, plus a versatile office/desk space just off the living room—ideal for hobbies or working from home. The primary suite is a standout, offering two generous walk-in closets and a private full bath. Enjoy Florida’s beautiful we
Key facts
- Large dining area
- Two walk-in closets
- Private full bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Lot is paved and about 0.23 acres (approx. 0 to less than 1/4 acre); Number of rooms: 10; Living area approximately 1,352 (per public records)
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee ($50); Monthly HOA equivalent about $4.17; association approval required; Association contact available; Senior community; Buyer approval required; Golf carts allowed; Pets allowed with limits
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; High-speed internet available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Residential property; One level; Faces southwest
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace and slab foundation; Built as a double wide manufactured home
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed patio/porch; Sidewalk; Outdoor storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Vaulted ceilings; Blinds, shutters and window treatments; Storage rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $174k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (0.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.8% in Englewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#321 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 734 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $174k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.86%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $162,240
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6287 Oriole Blvd | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-1%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $97 | 74 |
| 8443 Albatross Ln | 0.33mi | 2/1.5 | 1,160 (-14%) | 13mo | $139,000 | $120 | 48 |
| 1513 Blue Heron Dr | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-15%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $143 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-23,242
- Equity at exit
- $25,944
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-26,808
- Equity at exit
- $15,044
Cash invested: $48,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34224
- Home prices YoY
- -18.9%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 734
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,725 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$912
- Tax from tax record
- −$217 /mo · $2,602/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$4
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $157
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,500
- Closing costs
- $5,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9264 Anita Ave Unit A Englewood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9271 Tacoma Ave Unit B Englewood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $1,650 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 9312 Anita Ave Unit B Englewood, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,600 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 9322 Anita Ave Englewood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,495 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 9416 Anita Ave Englewood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,750 | $1.51 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 9410 Tacoma Ave Unit A Englewood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,600 | $1.51 | 13d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2643 Lear Rd Englewood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $5,800 | $4.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6688 San Casa Dr Englewood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 9372 San Bernandino Ave Englewood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $4,666 | $4.57 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 6699 San Casa Dr Englewood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,900 | $1.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2275 S McCall Rd #201 Englewood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,000 | $1.90 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6320 Brookridge St Englewood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $5,550 | $3.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 7344 Brookhaven Ter Englewood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1594 | $2,095 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 8363 Sago Ct Englewood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,950 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 10136 Willmington Blvd Englewood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1598 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $4 · $48/yr
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $174,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $174,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $174,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $174,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $174,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $174,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $174,000
-
2026-05-16status Active
-
2026-04-23status Pending
-
2026-04-10$179,000 Active
-
2023-10-04soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,602 · $217/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,602 · $217/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,695
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,747
- − Property taxes
- −$2,602
- − Insurance
- −$870
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,656
- − Management
- −$1,656
- − HOA
- −$48
- − Depreciation
- −$5,062
- Taxable loss
- −$944
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$227
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,107/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Englewood
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #321
- US rank
- #5655
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Englewood, FL
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 35,420
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,536
- Household income
- $57,281
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 329.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.76%
- Current HPI
- 325.0345
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.11%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+83.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $174,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-16 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-23 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Listed $179,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,602 · +68.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…