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3010 Missouri Ave
D Composite 40.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

3010 Missouri Ave · Joplin, MO 64804
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,175 sqft · Other · 66 Days on market
Built 1955 8,890 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Inviting ranch style home in the heart of town! This 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home features an open living concept leading to a large kitchen island/table and stainless appliances. Enjoy the added convenience of a full fenced back yard and attached 1 car garage. Don't miss a chance to see all this home has to offer and schedule a private tour today!

Key facts

  • 8,890 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1955

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax information available

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Additional 1 parking space (attached garage listed separately)
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (freestanding); Residential property; Level topography; Facing information not provided
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built area above grade: 1,175
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Patio; Chain link fencing; Landscaped yard; Storage structure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Kitchen island

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-7 ($-87/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (0.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (25.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 5.1% in Joplin — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#318 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Joplin Schools (urban): math 30% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #231 of 324 in MO (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Irving Elementary (math 29% / reading 30%, grade F, #813 of 1,115 statewide, top 75%, 527 students, 67% FRL); South Middle (math 40% / reading 48%, grade D, #121 of 391 statewide, top 32%, 573 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.7%/yr); 353 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 602 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,184 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.18%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-21,966
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$11,501
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64804

Rents YoY
15.7%
Active inventory
353
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,312 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $635/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$-7

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,321
Max offer price $173,726
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3117 S Wall Ave Joplin, MO 2.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 20d 1 0.44mi
2830 S Pearl Ave Joplin, MO 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 20d 1 0.53mi
2602 S Moffet Ave Joplin, MO 3.0 2.0 1214 $1,300 $1.07 20d 1 0.73mi
2201 S Pearl Ave Joplin, MO 3.0 2.0 1487 $1,475 $0.99 20d 1 0.83mi
103 W 41st St Joplin, MO 2.0 2.5 1340 $1,395 $1.04 20d 1 0.93mi
1806 Pennsylvania Ave Joplin, MO 3.0 1.0 1295 $1,050 $0.81 20d 1 1.02mi
2010 S Moffet Ave Joplin, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 20d 1 1.04mi
1715 Wisconsin Ave #2 Joplin, MO 2.0 2.0 1000 $900 $0.90 20d 1 1.12mi
2012 S Connor Ave Joplin, MO 3.0 2.0 1379 $1,595 $1.16 20d 1 1.16mi
1907 S Picher Ave Joplin, MO 2.0 1.0 1032 $900 $0.87 20d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $175,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 59 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $175,000 Active 51 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 50 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 49 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 48 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 47 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 46 DOM
  18. 2026-04-14
    listed $175,000 Active
  19. 2026-03-28
    historical $1,500
  20. 2025-09-22
    price $168,000
  21. 2025-07-29
    listed $1,500
  22. 2025-07-15
    historical $1,500
  23. 2025-07-11
    listed $1,500
  24. 2024-12-31
    price $169,900
  25. 2024-09-06
    listed $174,900 Active
  26. 2023-06-06
    soldstatus
  27. 2023-06-05
    soldstatus Closed
  28. 2023-06-05
    soldstatus Closed
  29. 2023-05-06
    status Pending
  30. 2023-05-06
    status Pending
  31. 2023-04-28
    listed $173,950 Active
  32. 2023-04-21
    listed $173,950 Active
  33. 2023-01-11
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$635 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,698 · $141/mo
Expected delta
+$1,062/yr (+$89/mo · 167.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,742
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$635
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,259
− Management
−$1,259
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$3,180
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$763
After-tax cash flow
$677/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Joplin Schools
NCES district ID
2916350
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$38,648
Composite
28.82/100
National rank
#6657
State rank
#231 of 324 in MO

Livability — Joplin

Score
64/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#14578

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Joplin, MO
County
Newton County · 37,016 people
City population
73,303
Metro
Joplin, MO
Population (ZIP)
37,016
Household income
$62,574
Rent vs Own
32.6% rent · 67.4% own
Severe rent burden
1082.0

Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,033 people
By 2030
120,091 · +0.0%
By 2040
119,297 · -0.6%
By 2050
117,705 · -1.9%
By 2075
110,402 · -8.0%
By 2100
99,719 · -16.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jasper

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.8) · D 25.9% · R 72.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -46.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.8 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+33.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -204.80%
Current HPI
279.4471
Rent YoY
▲ 15.66%
Metro
Joplin, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.6% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $175,000 OGAR
  • 2026-03-28 Rental Removed $1,500 OGAR
  • 2025-09-22 Price Changed $168,000 OGAR
  • 2025-07-29 Listed for Rent $1,500 OGAR
  • 2025-07-15 Rental Removed $1,500 OGAR
  • 2025-07-11 Listed for Rent $1,500 OGAR
  • 2024-12-31 Price Changed $169,900 OGAR
  • 2024-09-06 Listed $174,900 SOMO
  • 2023-06-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-06-05 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2023-06-05 Sold (MLS) OGAR
  • 2023-05-06 Pending SOMO
  • 2023-05-06 Pending OGAR
  • 2023-04-28 Listed $173,950 SOMO
  • 2023-04-21 Listed $173,950 OGAR
  • 2023-01-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $635 · +12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…