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108 Laurel Ave
C- Composite 53.26
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$142,500

108 Laurel Ave · Natchez, MS 39120
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,359 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 95 Days on market
Built 1956 0.39 ac lot $105/sqft · at area comps Est $157k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WELL MAINTAINED UPDATED 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME CENTRALLY LOCATED IN THE CITY LIMITS. You will not want to miss viewing this one as it has lots to offer. The kitchen has granite countertops, white cabinets, stainless steel sink, refrigerator, electric stove/oven & dishwasher. Separate dining room & den which has great natrual light. The new roof was installed in 2024. New HVAV in 2025, new floors in dining room & hall & new carpet in the bedrooms. New blinds were installed in 2023 & will remain with the house. Large primary bedroom with two closets & bath that has tub/shower combination & vanity. Nice updated guest bath. 2nd bedroom has built ins & room for a desk, exercise equipment or a sitting area. Inside utility/storage closet. Previous owner had installed some new windows. Other features are inside laundry with cabinets, recessed lights, ceiling fans, covered parking & fenced backyard. Close proximity to shopping, restaurants & the Natchez Trace.

Key facts

  • Great natural light
  • White cabinets
  • Stainless steel sink

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSWHITE CABINETSSTAINLESS STEEL SINKELECTRIC STOVESEPARATE DINING ROOMGREAT NATURAL LIGHT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $142k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (0.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.4% in Natchez — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#156 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B, housing B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Natchez-Adams School District (town): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #114 of 130 in MS (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $985 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Adams County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 92% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,675 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.96%
Cash-on-cash
5.97%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$156,523
List price
$142,500
Delta
-8.96%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
225 Sgt Prentiss Dr 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,361 (+0%) 2mo $134,000 $98 94
105 Laurel Ave 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,373 (+1%) 12mo $129,900 $95 86
105 Earhart Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,384 (+2%) 1mo $194,000 $140 77
2920 Miller Ave 0.31mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,398 (+3%) 6mo $29,900 $21 71
130 Brightwood 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,395 (+3%) 13mo $120,000 $86 63
106 Earhart Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,238 (-9%) 4mo $173,900 $140 62
309 Lindberg Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,434 (+6%) 13mo $169,000 $118 60
2804 Miller Ave 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,360 (+0%) 24mo $65,000 $48 55
308 John Glenn Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,242 (-9%) 16mo $149,900 $121 48
8 Turtle Ln 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,320 (-3%) 18mo $179,000 $136 46
2820 Little St 2822 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,555 (+14%) 16mo $41,500 $27 40
8 South Cir 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,239 (-9%) 19mo $28,000 $23 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-10,463
Equity at exit
$21,247
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$7,105
Equity at exit
$12,321

Cash invested: $39,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39120

Active inventory
281
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,420 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$747
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,400/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$199

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,169
Max offer price $142,500
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,625
Closing costs
$4,275
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $142,500 Active 95 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $142,500 Active 94 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $142,500 Active 93 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $142,500 Active 92 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $142,500 Active 90 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $142,500 Active 89 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $142,500 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $142,500 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $142,500 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $142,500 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $142,500 Active 80 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $142,500 Active 79 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $142,500 Active 78 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $142,500 Active 77 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    price $142,500 Active 76 DOM
  16. 2026-03-14
    listed $147,500 Active 1005-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1005 chars)

    WELL MAINTAINED UPDATED 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME CENTRALLY LOCATED IN THE CITY LIMITS. You will not want to miss viewing this one as it has lots to offer. The kitchen has granite countertops, white cabinets, stainless steel sink, refrigerator, electric stove/oven & dishwasher. Separate dining room & den which has great natrual light. The new roof was installed in 2024. New HVAV in 2025, new floors in dining room & hall & new carpet in the bedrooms. New blinds were installed in 2023 & will remain with the house. Large primary bedroom with two closets & bath that has tub/shower combination & vanity. Nice updated guest bath. 2nd bedroom has built ins & room for a desk, exercise equipment or a sitting area. Inside utility/storage closet. Previous owner had installed some new windows. Other features are inside laundry with cabinets, recessed lights, ceiling fans, covered parking & fenced backyard. Close proximity to shopping, restaurants & the Natchez Trace.

  17. 2023-05-30
    soldstatus 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home completely remodeled, new flooring, granite countertops, and all appliances are only 4 years old. Call today for your personal viewing. none

  18. 2023-04-05
    listed $129,900 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home completely remodeled, new flooring, granite countertops, and all appliances are only 4 years old. Call today for your personal viewing. none

  19. 2021-08-31
    soldstatus
  20. 2021-07-13
    listed $99,000
  21. 2012-07-27
    soldstatus
  22. 2012-02-14
    listed $69,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,400 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,400 · $117/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 92% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,041
− Mortgage interest
−$7,982
− Property taxes
−$1,400
− Insurance
−$712
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,363
− Management
−$1,363
− Depreciation
−$4,145
Taxable income
$74
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$18
After-tax cash flow
$2,365/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Natchez-Adams School District
NCES district ID
2803030
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$28,288
Composite
10.41/100
National rank
#9785
State rank
#114 of 130 in MS

Livability — Natchez

Score
63/100
State rank
#156
US rank
#15334

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing B Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Natchez, MS
Population (ZIP)
29,212

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,614 people
By 2030
27,405 · -4.2%
By 2040
24,914 · -12.9%
By 2050
22,554 · -21.2%
By 2075
17,096 · -40.3%
By 2100
12,156 · -57.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 56% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
D (+13.9) · D 56.5% · R 42.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.7pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 13.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.9 2020: D+16.1 2016: D+14.7 2012: D+18.0 2008: D+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.67%
Current HPI
112.2371
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+111.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $147,500 MLSU
  • 2023-05-30 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2023-04-05 Listed $129,900 MLSU
  • 2021-08-31 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2021-07-13 Listed $99,000 MLSU
  • 2012-07-27 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2012-02-14 Listed $69,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,400 · +21.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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