108 Laurel Ave · Natchez, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 92.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$142,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WELL MAINTAINED UPDATED 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME CENTRALLY LOCATED IN THE CITY LIMITS. You will not want to miss viewing this one as it has lots to offer. The kitchen has granite countertops, white cabinets, stainless steel sink, refrigerator, electric stove/oven & dishwasher. Separate dining room & den which has great natrual light. The new roof was installed in 2024. New HVAV in 2025, new floors in dining room & hall & new carpet in the bedrooms. New blinds were installed in 2023 & will remain with the house. Large primary bedroom with two closets & bath that has tub/shower combination & vanity. Nice updated guest bath. 2nd bedroom has built ins & room for a desk, exercise equipment or a sitting area. Inside utility/storage closet. Previous owner had installed some new windows. Other features are inside laundry with cabinets, recessed lights, ceiling fans, covered parking & fenced backyard. Close proximity to shopping, restaurants & the Natchez Trace.
Key facts
- Great natural light
- White cabinets
- Stainless steel sink
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $142k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (0.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $130k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.4% in Natchez — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#156 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B, housing B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Natchez-Adams School District (town): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #114 of 130 in MS (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $985 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Adams County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 92% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.97%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $156,523
- List price
- $142,500
- Delta
- -8.96%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 Sgt Prentiss Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,361 (+0%) | 2mo | $134,000 | $98 | 94 |
| 105 Laurel Ave | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (+1%) | 12mo | $129,900 | $95 | 86 |
| 105 Earhart Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (+2%) | 1mo | $194,000 | $140 | 77 |
| 2920 Miller Ave | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,398 (+3%) | 6mo | $29,900 | $21 | 71 |
| 130 Brightwood | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,395 (+3%) | 13mo | $120,000 | $86 | 63 |
| 106 Earhart Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,238 (-9%) | 4mo | $173,900 | $140 | 62 |
| 309 Lindberg Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (+6%) | 13mo | $169,000 | $118 | 60 |
| 2804 Miller Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,360 (+0%) | 24mo | $65,000 | $48 | 55 |
| 308 John Glenn Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,242 (-9%) | 16mo | $149,900 | $121 | 48 |
| 8 Turtle Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-3%) | 18mo | $179,000 | $136 | 46 |
| 2820 Little St 2822 | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,555 (+14%) | 16mo | $41,500 | $27 | 40 |
| 8 South Cir | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,239 (-9%) | 19mo | $28,000 | $23 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-10,463
- Equity at exit
- $21,247
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $7,105
- Equity at exit
- $12,321
Cash invested: $39,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39120
- Active inventory
- 281
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,420 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$747
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $199
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,625
- Closing costs
- $4,275
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $142,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $142,500 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $142,500 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $142,500 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $142,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $142,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $142,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $142,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $142,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $142,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $142,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $142,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $142,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $142,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31price $142,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-03-14$147,500 Active 1005-char remark
Show marketing remark (1005 chars)
WELL MAINTAINED UPDATED 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME CENTRALLY LOCATED IN THE CITY LIMITS. You will not want to miss viewing this one as it has lots to offer. The kitchen has granite countertops, white cabinets, stainless steel sink, refrigerator, electric stove/oven & dishwasher. Separate dining room & den which has great natrual light. The new roof was installed in 2024. New HVAV in 2025, new floors in dining room & hall & new carpet in the bedrooms. New blinds were installed in 2023 & will remain with the house. Large primary bedroom with two closets & bath that has tub/shower combination & vanity. Nice updated guest bath. 2nd bedroom has built ins & room for a desk, exercise equipment or a sitting area. Inside utility/storage closet. Previous owner had installed some new windows. Other features are inside laundry with cabinets, recessed lights, ceiling fans, covered parking & fenced backyard. Close proximity to shopping, restaurants & the Natchez Trace.
-
2023-05-30soldstatus 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath home completely remodeled, new flooring, granite countertops, and all appliances are only 4 years old. Call today for your personal viewing. none
-
2023-04-05$129,900 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath home completely remodeled, new flooring, granite countertops, and all appliances are only 4 years old. Call today for your personal viewing. none
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2021-08-31soldstatus
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2021-07-13$99,000
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2012-07-27soldstatus
-
2012-02-14$69,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,400 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,400 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 92% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,041
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,982
- − Property taxes
- −$1,400
- − Insurance
- −$712
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,363
- − Management
- −$1,363
- − Depreciation
- −$4,145
- Taxable income
- $74
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$18
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,365/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Natchez-Adams School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803030
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,288
- Composite
- 10.41/100
- National rank
- #9785
- State rank
- #114 of 130 in MS
Livability — Natchez
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #156
- US rank
- #15334
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Natchez, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,212
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,614 people
- By 2030
- 27,405 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 24,914 · -12.9%
- By 2050
- 22,554 · -21.2%
- By 2075
- 17,096 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 12,156 · -57.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.9) · D 56.5% · R 42.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.7pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 13.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.9 2020: D+16.1 2016: D+14.7 2012: D+18.0 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.67%
- Current HPI
- 112.2371
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+111.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-14 Listed $147,500 MLSU
- 2023-05-30 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2023-04-05 Listed $129,900 MLSU
- 2021-08-31 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2021-07-13 Listed $99,000 MLSU
- 2012-07-27 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2012-02-14 Listed $69,900 MLSU
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,400 · +21.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…