235 Charring Cross Dr · Dover, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 75.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Three story townhome, 5 year old roof, 1 car garage, open floor plan.
Key facts
- Fishing pond
- Roof 5 years old
- On street parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total below-grade finished area reported as 440; Above-grade finished area reported as 1,320
- HOA & community: HOA fee $265 annually
Exterior
- Parking: Front-entry attached garage (1 car); Concrete driveway; Off-street parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public septic; Electric service available
- Home design: End-of-row townhouse; Fee simple ownership; Property in good condition; Composite roof
- Construction: Concrete and block construction; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Ramp to main level (accessibility feature); Lot approximately 39.06 x 134.44; Above-grade and below-grade structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile/brick; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Breakfast area; Combination dining/living area; Walk-in closet(s); Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (washer/dryer hookups present)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-246 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (14.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (33.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (33.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#38 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Capital School District (urban): math 14% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #24 of 26 in DE (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Booker T. Washington Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #34 of 105 statewide, top 37%, 334 students, 0% FRL); Dover High School (math 21% / reading 45%, grade F, #22 of 40 statewide, top 56%, 1,771 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 56% district-wide (56 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,201 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $99k; list at $295k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.57%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 12.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $354,639
- List price
- $295,000
- Delta
- -16.82%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212 Charring Cross Dr | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,740 (-4%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $144 | 81 |
| 271 Trafalgar Dr | 0.18mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,800 (-0%) | 5mo | $308,900 | $172 | 76 |
| 112 Trafalgar Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,734 (-4%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $161 | 74 |
| 435 Worchester Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,734 (-4%) | 13mo | $265,000 | $153 | 67 |
| 261 Northdown Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,848 (+2%) | 15mo | $262,500 | $142 | 63 |
| 356 Tribbitt St | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,872 (+4%) | 5mo | $272,500 | $146 | 58 |
| 259 E Sheldrake Cir | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,954 (+8%) | 5mo | $289,900 | $148 | 58 |
| 115 E Sheldrake Cir | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,912 (+6%) | 11mo | $295,000 | $154 | 56 |
| 185 W Sheldrake Cir | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,954 (+8%) | 1mo | $289,900 | $148 | 56 |
| 335 Paradee Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,954 (+8%) | 10mo | $297,000 | $152 | 50 |
| 19 Stoney Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,741 (-4%) | 13mo | $300,000 | $172 | 48 |
| 351 Paradee Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,072 (+15%) | 6mo | $295,000 | $142 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-62,969
- Equity at exit
- $43,985
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-72,982
- Equity at exit
- $25,506
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19904
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 225
- Price-to-rent
- 12.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,973 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,353/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$22
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$414
- Net cashflow
- $-246
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 Trafalgar Dr Dover, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,200 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 114 Thames Dr Dover, DE | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1452 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 105 Katrina Way Dover, DE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $1,800 | $1.89 | 43d | 22 | 0.35mi |
| 38 Heatherfield Way Dover, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $1,800 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 36 Arlberg Cir Dover, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1751 | $2,200 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 629 Ruth Way Dover, DE | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1665 | $2,850 | $1.71 | 43d | 13 | 1.33mi |
| 424 Ridgely Blvd Dover, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1432 | $2,000 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 68 Village Dr Dover, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1530 | $1,499 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 511 Nickerjack Way Dover, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $2,800 | $1.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 502 Horsey Blvd Dover, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $2,900 | $1.81 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $22 · $264/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $295,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $295,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $295,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $295,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $295,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $295,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $295,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $295,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $295,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $295,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 311-char remark
-
2026-06-07days on market $295,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $295,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $295,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $295,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $295,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$295,000 Active 69-char remark
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
Three story townhome, 5 year old roof, 1 car garage, open floor plan.
-
1997-08-29soldstatus $98,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,353 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,532 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$179/yr (+$15/mo · 13.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,680
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$1,353
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,894
- − Management
- −$1,894
- − HOA
- −$264
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$8,307
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,994
- After-tax cash flow
- $-955/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Capital School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000190
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,499
- Composite
- 19.78/100
- National rank
- #8703
- State rank
- #24 of 26 in DE
Livability — Dover
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #10574
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dover, DE
- County
- Kent County · 82,184 people
- City population
- 76,581
- Metro
- Dover, DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,818
- Household income
- $66,908
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1500.0
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,477 people
- By 2030
- 204,351 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 222,135 · +14.2%
- By 2050
- 236,483 · +21.6%
- By 2075
- 266,327 · +36.9%
- By 2100
- 275,335 · +41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 35% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 48.2% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: 2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.0 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+4.9 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.03%
- Current HPI
- 187.6879
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- Dover, DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+198.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $295,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $295,000 FSBO.com
- 1997-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $98,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,353 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…