513 W Mulberry St · Shamokin, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$65,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This three-bedroom, one-bathroom property is seeking its new owners. Situated in the tranquil town of Shamokin, it offers proximity to various amenities while preserving privacy. The property includes an adjacent vacant lot, enhancing its potential. Currently, tenants occupy the property, paying a monthly rent of $650 on a month-to-month basis. Annual Income $7,800 Annual Expenses $1,174. Part Of Package Deal. Can be Sold Packaged Or Separately. Additional Properties Include ••34 N Rock St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••4685 Upper Rd Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••35 Hibridge Cir Lewistown, PA 17044…. ••28 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••513 W Mulberry St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••135 E Arch St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••123 N Grant St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••212 E Snyder Ave Lansford, PA 18232…. ••6 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••444 Kreamer Ave Sunbury, PA 17801…. ••815 E Webster St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••918 Race St Shamokin, PA 17872….
Key facts
- Adjacent vacant lot
- Preserving privacy
- 4 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $66k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($977 rent vs $66k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#887 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, commute F, employment F.
- Shamokin Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #450 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($453 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
- Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.18%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $42,986
- List price
- $65,500
- Delta
- 52.37%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $24,804
- Equity at exit
- $25,495
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.50×
- Total profit
- $64,268
- Equity at exit
- $36,453
Cash invested: $18,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17872
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $977 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$343
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $927/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $324
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,375
- Closing costs
- $1,965
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 804 W Mulberry St Coal Township, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,075 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 863 W Spruce St Coal Township, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $695 | $0.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 11 S Market St Apt B Rear Shamokin, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1309 W Spruce St Coal Township, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $825 | $0.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2 S Vine St Shamokin, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $975 | $0.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 609 E Commerce St Shamokin, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1668 | $1,500 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,500 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-16status Active 1157-char remark
Show marketing remark (1157 chars)
This three-bedroom, one-bathroom property is seeking its new owners. Situated in the tranquil town of Shamokin, it offers proximity to various amenities while preserving privacy. The property includes an adjacent vacant lot, enhancing its potential. Currently, tenants occupy the property, paying a monthly rent of $650 on a month-to-month basis. Annual Income $7,800 Annual Expenses $1,174. Part Of Package Deal. Can be Sold Packaged Or Separately. Additional Properties Include ••34 N Rock St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••4685 Upper Rd Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••35 Hibridge Cir Lewistown, PA 17044…. ••28 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••513 W Mulberry St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••135 E Arch St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••123 N Grant St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••212 E Snyder Ave Lansford, PA 18232…. ••6 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••444 Kreamer Ave Sunbury, PA 17801…. ••815 E Webster St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••918 Race St Shamokin, PA 17872….
-
2026-05-12historical 1157-char remark
Show marketing remark (1157 chars)
This three-bedroom, one-bathroom property is seeking its new owners. Situated in the tranquil town of Shamokin, it offers proximity to various amenities while preserving privacy. The property includes an adjacent vacant lot, enhancing its potential. Currently, tenants occupy the property, paying a monthly rent of $650 on a month-to-month basis. Annual Income $7,800 Annual Expenses $1,174. Part Of Package Deal. Can be Sold Packaged Or Separately. Additional Properties Include ••34 N Rock St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••4685 Upper Rd Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••35 Hibridge Cir Lewistown, PA 17044…. ••28 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••513 W Mulberry St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••135 E Arch St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••123 N Grant St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••212 E Snyder Ave Lansford, PA 18232…. ••6 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••444 Kreamer Ave Sunbury, PA 17801…. ••815 E Webster St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••918 Race St Shamokin, PA 17872….
-
2026-04-07price $65,500 1157-char remark
Show marketing remark (1157 chars)
This three-bedroom, one-bathroom property is seeking its new owners. Situated in the tranquil town of Shamokin, it offers proximity to various amenities while preserving privacy. The property includes an adjacent vacant lot, enhancing its potential. Currently, tenants occupy the property, paying a monthly rent of $650 on a month-to-month basis. Annual Income $7,800 Annual Expenses $1,174. Part Of Package Deal. Can be Sold Packaged Or Separately. Additional Properties Include ••34 N Rock St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••4685 Upper Rd Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••35 Hibridge Cir Lewistown, PA 17044…. ••28 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••513 W Mulberry St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••135 E Arch St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••123 N Grant St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••212 E Snyder Ave Lansford, PA 18232…. ••6 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••444 Kreamer Ave Sunbury, PA 17801…. ••815 E Webster St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••918 Race St Shamokin, PA 17872….
-
2026-03-19$75,500 Active 1157-char remark
Show marketing remark (1157 chars)
This three-bedroom, one-bathroom property is seeking its new owners. Situated in the tranquil town of Shamokin, it offers proximity to various amenities while preserving privacy. The property includes an adjacent vacant lot, enhancing its potential. Currently, tenants occupy the property, paying a monthly rent of $650 on a month-to-month basis. Annual Income $7,800 Annual Expenses $1,174. Part Of Package Deal. Can be Sold Packaged Or Separately. Additional Properties Include ••34 N Rock St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••4685 Upper Rd Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••35 Hibridge Cir Lewistown, PA 17044…. ••28 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••513 W Mulberry St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••135 E Arch St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••123 N Grant St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••212 E Snyder Ave Lansford, PA 18232…. ••6 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••444 Kreamer Ave Sunbury, PA 17801…. ••815 E Webster St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••918 Race St Shamokin, PA 17872….
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $927 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $981 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$54/yr (+$4/mo · 5.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,724
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,669
- − Property taxes
- −$927
- − Insurance
- −$328
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$938
- − Management
- −$938
- − Depreciation
- −$1,905
- Taxable income
- $3,019
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$725
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,161/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shamokin Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221240
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,380
- Composite
- 24.31/100
- National rank
- #7709
- State rank
- #450 of 539 in PA
Livability — Shamokin
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #887
- US rank
- #9448
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shamokin, PA
- City population
- 9,808
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,950
Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 90,896 people
- By 2030
- 89,084 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 84,822 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 80,521 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 72,152 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 62,257 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Iranian 6% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.90%
- Current HPI
- 124.6288
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
-13.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-12 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $65,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $75,500 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2026): $927 · +61.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…