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513 W Mulberry St
B Composite 74.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$65,500

513 W Mulberry St · Shamokin, PA 17872
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,558 sqft · Other · 88 Days on market
Built 1900 1,742 sqft lot $42/sqft · 52% above area ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This three-bedroom, one-bathroom property is seeking its new owners. Situated in the tranquil town of Shamokin, it offers proximity to various amenities while preserving privacy. The property includes an adjacent vacant lot, enhancing its potential. Currently, tenants occupy the property, paying a monthly rent of $650 on a month-to-month basis. Annual Income $7,800 Annual Expenses $1,174. Part Of Package Deal. Can be Sold Packaged Or Separately. Additional Properties Include ••34 N Rock St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••4685 Upper Rd Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••35 Hibridge Cir Lewistown, PA 17044…. ••28 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••513 W Mulberry St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••135 E Arch St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••123 N Grant St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••212 E Snyder Ave Lansford, PA 18232…. ••6 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••444 Kreamer Ave Sunbury, PA 17801…. ••815 E Webster St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••918 Race St Shamokin, PA 17872….

Key facts

  • Adjacent vacant lot
  • Preserving privacy
  • 4 parking spots

Tags

ADJACENT VACANT LOTPROXIMITY TO AMENITIESPRESERVING PRIVACY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $66k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($977 rent vs $66k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#887 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, commute F, employment F.
  • Shamokin Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #450 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($453 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $61,570 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.22%
Cash-on-cash
21.18%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$42,986
List price
$65,500
Delta
52.37%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$24,804
Equity at exit
$25,495
10-year hold
IRR
27.0%
Equity multiple
4.50×
Total profit
$64,268
Equity at exit
$36,453

Cash invested: $18,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17872

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$977 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$343
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $927/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$324

Break-even live

Break-even rent $567
Max offer price $65,500
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,375
Closing costs
$1,965
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
804 W Mulberry St Coal Township, PA 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,075 $0.80 43d 1 0.14mi
863 W Spruce St Coal Township, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $695 $0.58 43d 1 0.29mi
11 S Market St Apt B Rear Shamokin, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $900 $0.82 43d 1 0.31mi
1309 W Spruce St Coal Township, PA 3.0 1.0 1275 $825 $0.65 43d 1 0.57mi
2 S Vine St Shamokin, PA 3.0 1.0 1450 $975 $0.67 43d 1 0.74mi
609 E Commerce St Shamokin, PA 4.0 1.5 1668 $1,500 $0.90 43d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,500 Active 88 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,500 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,500 Active 86 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,500 Active 85 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,500 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,500 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,500 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,500 Active 78 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,500 Active 77 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,500 Active 76 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,500 Active 72 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,500 Active 71 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,500 Active 70 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,500 Active 69 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,500 Active 68 DOM
  16. 2026-05-16
    status Active 1157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    This three-bedroom, one-bathroom property is seeking its new owners. Situated in the tranquil town of Shamokin, it offers proximity to various amenities while preserving privacy. The property includes an adjacent vacant lot, enhancing its potential. Currently, tenants occupy the property, paying a monthly rent of $650 on a month-to-month basis. Annual Income $7,800 Annual Expenses $1,174. Part Of Package Deal. Can be Sold Packaged Or Separately. Additional Properties Include ••34 N Rock St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••4685 Upper Rd Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••35 Hibridge Cir Lewistown, PA 17044…. ••28 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••513 W Mulberry St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••135 E Arch St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••123 N Grant St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••212 E Snyder Ave Lansford, PA 18232…. ••6 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••444 Kreamer Ave Sunbury, PA 17801…. ••815 E Webster St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••918 Race St Shamokin, PA 17872….

  17. 2026-05-12
    historical 1157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    This three-bedroom, one-bathroom property is seeking its new owners. Situated in the tranquil town of Shamokin, it offers proximity to various amenities while preserving privacy. The property includes an adjacent vacant lot, enhancing its potential. Currently, tenants occupy the property, paying a monthly rent of $650 on a month-to-month basis. Annual Income $7,800 Annual Expenses $1,174. Part Of Package Deal. Can be Sold Packaged Or Separately. Additional Properties Include ••34 N Rock St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••4685 Upper Rd Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••35 Hibridge Cir Lewistown, PA 17044…. ••28 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••513 W Mulberry St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••135 E Arch St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••123 N Grant St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••212 E Snyder Ave Lansford, PA 18232…. ••6 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••444 Kreamer Ave Sunbury, PA 17801…. ••815 E Webster St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••918 Race St Shamokin, PA 17872….

  18. 2026-04-07
    price $65,500 1157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    This three-bedroom, one-bathroom property is seeking its new owners. Situated in the tranquil town of Shamokin, it offers proximity to various amenities while preserving privacy. The property includes an adjacent vacant lot, enhancing its potential. Currently, tenants occupy the property, paying a monthly rent of $650 on a month-to-month basis. Annual Income $7,800 Annual Expenses $1,174. Part Of Package Deal. Can be Sold Packaged Or Separately. Additional Properties Include ••34 N Rock St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••4685 Upper Rd Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••35 Hibridge Cir Lewistown, PA 17044…. ••28 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••513 W Mulberry St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••135 E Arch St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••123 N Grant St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••212 E Snyder Ave Lansford, PA 18232…. ••6 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••444 Kreamer Ave Sunbury, PA 17801…. ••815 E Webster St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••918 Race St Shamokin, PA 17872….

  19. 2026-03-19
    listed $75,500 Active 1157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    This three-bedroom, one-bathroom property is seeking its new owners. Situated in the tranquil town of Shamokin, it offers proximity to various amenities while preserving privacy. The property includes an adjacent vacant lot, enhancing its potential. Currently, tenants occupy the property, paying a monthly rent of $650 on a month-to-month basis. Annual Income $7,800 Annual Expenses $1,174. Part Of Package Deal. Can be Sold Packaged Or Separately. Additional Properties Include ••34 N Rock St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••4685 Upper Rd Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••35 Hibridge Cir Lewistown, PA 17044…. ••28 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••513 W Mulberry St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••135 E Arch St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••123 N Grant St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••212 E Snyder Ave Lansford, PA 18232…. ••6 S Franklin St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••444 Kreamer Ave Sunbury, PA 17801…. ••815 E Webster St Shamokin, PA 17872…. ••918 Race St Shamokin, PA 17872….

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$927 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$981 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$54/yr (+$4/mo · 5.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,724
− Mortgage interest
−$3,669
− Property taxes
−$927
− Insurance
−$328
− Repairs & maintenance
−$938
− Management
−$938
− Depreciation
−$1,905
Taxable income
$3,019
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$725
After-tax cash flow
$3,161/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shamokin Area SD
NCES district ID
4221240
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,380
Composite
24.31/100
National rank
#7709
State rank
#450 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shamokin

Score
68/100
State rank
#887
US rank
#9448

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shamokin, PA
City population
9,808
Population (ZIP)
8,950

Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,896 people
By 2030
89,084 · -2.0%
By 2040
84,822 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,521 · -11.4%
By 2075
72,152 · -20.6%
By 2100
62,257 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Iranian 6% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.90%
Current HPI
124.6288
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $65,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $75,500 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $927 · +61.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…