5-Plex
111 SW 31st Ct · Miami, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,149,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 5 units. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Sold "As Is" 6 Bedroom / 3 Bathroom Duplex w/ Attached efficiency
Key facts
- 7 parking spots
- Built 1948
- Listed 34 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Multiple rental units with current rents reported: 4 units at $1,750; 3 units at $1,800; 2 units at $2,600; 1 unit at $2,750
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking, 7 spaces
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable not available; Water included in rent for some units
- Home design: 2 stories; Block and shingle siding construction; Shingle roof; Effective year built
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Open parking (total 7 parking spaces); Less than quarter acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator (listed in one unit type)
- Bedrooms: Four 1-bedroom units; Two 3-bedroom units; One 3-bedroom unit (includes refrigerator)
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: All units have one full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Wall/window unit(s)
- Interior features: Laminate flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.15M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-247/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $931k (19.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $809k (29.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $809k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,089/mo this rent would consume 239% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 4755% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $34k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.11M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $638k; list at $1.15M implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.60%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-288,546
- Equity at exit
- $171,320
- IRR
- -40.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.38×
- Total profit
- $-444,353
- Equity at exit
- $99,345
Cash invested: $321,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33135
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 59.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,089 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,025
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,120 /mo · $13,438/yr
- Insurance
- −$479
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,699
- Net cashflow
- $-1,234
Break-even live
5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5× units | 1 | — | $8,090 |
| #1 | 1 | — | $1,618 |
| #2 | 1 | — | $1,618 |
| #3 | 1 | — | $1,618 |
| #4 | 1 | — | $1,618 |
| #5 | 1 | — | $1,618 |
| Total (5 units) | $8,089 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $287,250
- Closing costs
- $34,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2951 NW 13th St Unit 1399868P Miami, FL | 4.0–8.0 | 3.5–6.0 | 3745 | $17,671 | $4.72 | 8d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 1710 SW 27th Ave Unit 1272101P Miami, FL | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1716 | $19,839 | $11.56 | 8d | 3 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,149,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,149,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,149,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,149,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $1,149,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,195,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,195,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,195,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,195,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,195,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,195,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,195,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,195,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$1,195,000 Active
-
2026-04-15historical
-
2026-03-04historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-13$1,225,000 Active
-
2023-10-12soldstatus $637,500
-
2023-10-02soldstatus $850,000 75-char remark
Show marketing remark (75 chars)
Sold "As Is" 6 Bedroom / 3 Bathroom Duplex w/ Attached efficiency
-
2023-07-05$869,000 75-char remark
Show marketing remark (75 chars)
Sold "As Is" 6 Bedroom / 3 Bathroom Duplex w/ Attached efficiency
-
1987-08-01soldstatus $106,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $13,438 · $1,120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $13,438 · $1,120/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $97,068
- − Mortgage interest
- −$64,362
- − Property taxes
- −$13,438
- − Insurance
- −$5,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,765
- − Management
- −$7,765
- − Depreciation
- −$33,425
- Taxable loss
- −$35,434
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,504
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,301/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #2724
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 827,308
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,143
- Household income
- $40,567
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4755.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 94% Two or more races 62% White 4% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 48% Dominican 2% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 74% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 6% English-only · Spanish 92% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -219.59%
- Current HPI
- 574.7898
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.37%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1027.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $1,195,000 MARMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2026-03-04 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $1,225,000 MARMLS
- 2023-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $637,500 Public Records
- 2023-10-02 Sold (MLS) $850,000 Beaches MLS
- 2023-07-05 Listed $869,000 Beaches MLS
- 1987-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $13,438 · -7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…