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11507 Jade Ln
D Composite 44.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$188,800

11507 Jade Ln · Huntsville, AL 35803
2 bd · 0.5 ba · 1,400 sqft · Townhouse public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1982 Est $200k · 6% under $8/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attractively priced town home in SE Huntsville. Has 2 bedrooms, master with walk-in closet. Bath has separate dressing area with a vanity. Kitchen is eat-in. Private patio in rear between 2 car parking area.

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Living room
  • Dining area

Tags

LAMINATE FLOORINGLIVING ROOMDINING AREAMINUTES AWAY FROM WALMARTMINUTES AWAY FROM DITTO MARINA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 1,275 square feet; Located in Huntsville, AL (directions available from 231 South: L on Kohler Rd SE, R on Jade Ln SE, home is on the left)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $100; Subdivision: Elm Tree Trace Townhomes

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Townhouse; Two levels; Built in 1982
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Five total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/0.5-bath townhouse listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($344/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (21.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mountain Gap Elementary School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #171 of 627 statewide, top 31%, 324 students, 40% FRL); Mountain Gap Middle School (math 27% / reading 63%, grade D, #38 of 257 statewide, top 14%, 419 students, 44% FRL); Virgil Grissom High School (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #39 of 305 statewide, top 13%, 1,974 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $160k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $148,627 (21.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.48%
Cash-on-cash
0.65%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$200,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11562 Jade Ln SE 0.04mi 2/2.5 1,350 (-4%) 3mo $198,500 $147 82
11502 Jade Ln SE 0.03mi 2/1.5 1,275 (-9%) 1mo $196,700 $154 79
11521 Jade Ln SE 0.09mi 2/1.5 1,300 (-7%) 17mo $170,000 $131 66
11568 Jade Ln SE 0.07mi 2/2.5 1,300 (-7%) 16mo $180,000 $138 64
11112 Memorial Parkway South Unit N3 0.29mi 2/2.5 1,298 (-7%) 4mo $179,000 $138 63
11112 Memorial Parkway South SW Unit P1 0.29mi 2/2.5 1,278 (-9%) 3mo $190,000 $149 62
2028 English Dr SW #3 0.20mi 2/3.0 1,248 (-11%) 9mo $178,000 $143 55
11112 Memorial Parkway South Unit M2 0.26mi 2/2.5 1,278 (-9%) 13mo $165,000 $129 55
11112 Memorial Parkway South Unit N1 0.25mi 2/2.5 1,267 (-10%) 18mo $167,000 $132 49
11112 Memorial Pkwy S Unit K3 0.29mi 2/2.5 1,208 (-14%) 19mo $135,000 $112 40
11112 S Memorial Parkway South Unit 5L 0.62mi 2/2.5 1,242 (-11%) 8mo $189,000 $152 38
11112 SE Memorial Parkway South Unit I- 4 0.62mi 2/2.5 1,254 (-10%) 12mo $190,000 $152 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-27,757
Equity at exit
$28,151
10-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-17,607
Equity at exit
$16,324

Cash invested: $52,864 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35803

Home prices YoY
-22.9%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
283
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,486 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$990
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $824/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$8
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$312
Net cashflow
$29

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,450
Max offer price $188,800
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $136 -5% $82 +0% $29 +5% $-25 +10% $-78
Rent -10% $-89 -5% $-30 +0% $29 +5% $87 +10% $146
Rate -1.0pp $124 -0.5pp $77 base $29 +0.5pp $-20 +1.0pp $-70

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,200
Closing costs
$5,664
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11112 Memorial Pkwy SW Huntsville, AL 2.0 2.5–3.0 1224 $1,300 $1.06 45d 2 0.29mi
11112 Memorial Pkwy SW #1 Huntsville, AL 2.0 2.5 1250 $1,600 $1.28 25d 1 0.29mi
12107 Greenleaf Dr SE Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,500 $0.94 15d 1 0.35mi
2108 English Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,295 $1.08 25d 1 0.37mi
11406 Crestfield Dr SE Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1809 $1,750 $0.97 25d 1 0.46mi
11575 Memorial Pkwy SE Huntsville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 949 $999 $1.05 15d 6 0.59mi
10311 Parliament Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1483 $1,790 $1.21 25d 1 0.62mi
11209 Maplecrest Dr SE Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1530 $1,700 $1.11 15d 1 0.69mi
1935 Meadowbrook Dr SW Huntsville, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,129 $1.33 15d 9 0.69mi
11021 Strong Dr SE Huntsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1549 $1,650 $1.07 25d 1 0.89mi
12340 Chicamauga Trl SE Unit C Huntsville, AL 2.0 1.5 1024 $1,100 $1.07 45d 1 1.00mi
617 Wellingburg Rd SE Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1650 $1,998 $1.21 25d 1 1.05mi
100 Memorial Village Dr Huntsville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 973 $1,812 $1.86 15d 20 1.15mi
912 Mountain Gap Rd SE Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,700 $1.13 45d 1 1.20mi
2712 Wynterhall Rd SE Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 1620 $1,600 $0.99 45d 1 1.24mi
10007 Camille Dr SE Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 1702 $1,781 $1.05 25d 1 1.24mi
2606 Wynterhall Rd SE Unit C Huntsville, AL 2.0 2.0 1300 $995 $0.77 45d 1 1.29mi
2609 Wynterhall Rd SE Unit D Huntsville, AL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 15d 1 1.31mi
850 Haysland Rd SW Huntsville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1187 $1,840 $1.55 15d 21 1.36mi
2710 Lantern Walk SE Apt B Huntsville, AL 2.0 2.0 905 $895 $0.99 15d 1 1.41mi
2700 Lantern Walk SE Apt A Huntsville, AL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 45d 1 1.46mi
12104 Carriage Ct SE Unit A Huntsville, AL 2.0 2.0 900 $895 $0.99 15d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$8 · $96/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $188,800 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $188,800 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    price $188,800 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $195,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $195,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $195,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $195,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 316-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $195,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$824 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$824 · $69/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,835
− Mortgage interest
−$10,576
− Property taxes
−$824
− Insurance
−$944
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,427
− Management
−$1,427
− HOA
−$96
− Depreciation
−$5,492
Taxable loss
−$2,951
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$708
After-tax cash flow
$1,053/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huntsville City
NCES district ID
0101800
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$48,264
Composite
28.84/100
National rank
#6647
State rank
#48 of 129 in AL

Livability — Huntsville

Score
82/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1082

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntsville, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
220,435
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
29,197
Household income
$100,846
Rent vs Own
16.6% rent · 83.4% own
Severe rent burden
411.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.53%
Current HPI
372.1842
Rent YoY
▲ 3.72%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+457.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $195,000 VMLS
  • 2022-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-05 Listed $139,900 VMLS
  • 2013-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 2013-08-16 Sold (MLS) $57,000 VMLS
  • 2013-04-02 Listed $62,900 VMLS
  • 2013-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $824 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…