120 Betty Williams Dr · Madison, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$297,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
**AS LOW AS 3.99% FIXED GOV and UP TO 20K FLEX CASH for MAY Closing!**Under Construction-The Freeport- a Home that fits many lifestyles. Greeted by a Foyer with inviting LVP flooring, find great spaces for children, guests or roommates with 3 secondary beds & bathroom with granite or quartz countertops. Be immersed in open living spaces that feature granite or quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, shaker style cabinets, & walk-in corner pantry. A dining room & island spacious enough for dinner parties that overlook the backyard.
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 70 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $298k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (6.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (25.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $221k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.6% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AL, #3,280 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Madison City (suburban): math 51% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #4 of 129 in AL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 823 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($280k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.68%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $314,400
- List price
- $297,900
- Delta
- -5.25%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 Betty Williams Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,537 (-3%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $189 | 91 |
| 113 Betty Williams Dr | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 | 1,537 (-3%) | 1mo | $299,425 | $195 | 87 |
| 107 Betty Williams Dr | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 | 1,537 (-3%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $182 | 85 |
| 111 Betty Williams Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,537 (-3%) | 3mo | $296,000 | $193 | 79 |
| 798 Seina Vista Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,543 (-3%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $188 | 76 |
| 108 Stavemill Cir | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,629 (+3%) | 1mo | $379,900 | $233 | 73 |
| 694 Crestview Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,551 (-2%) | 1mo | $299,987 | $193 | 72 |
| 1109 Woodbine Rd | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,609 (+2%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $140 | 68 |
| 1005 Wood Cir | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,618 (+2%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $192 | 64 |
| 304 Pineridge Cir | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,820 (+15%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $198 | 50 |
| 604 Ambrose Dr | 0.48mi | 4/2.5 | 1,808 (+14%) | 0mo | $312,000 | $173 | 48 |
| 1003 Mahan Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,817 (+15%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $176 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-59,841
- Equity at exit
- $44,418
- IRR
- -18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.06×
- Total profit
- $-78,026
- Equity at exit
- $25,757
Cash invested: $83,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35756
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 823
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,213 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,562
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,637/yr
- Insurance
- −$124
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $-117
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,475
- Closing costs
- $8,937
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Betty Garrett Dr Madison, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1841 | $2,049 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 117 Betty Garrett Dr Madison, AL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2092 | $2,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 121 Betty Garrett Dr Madison, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1841 | $2,000 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 115 Betty Garrett Dr Madison, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1841 | $2,090 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 101 Springfield Ln Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $2,350 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 103 Betty Garrett Dr Madison, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1537 | $2,600 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 102 Acacia Trail Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2005 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 245 Pineridge Rd Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $2,000 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 104 Kathy Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $1,995 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1105 Woodbine Rd Madison, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1254 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1006 Wood Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2173 | $1,899 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 510 Clift Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 712 Marion Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1253 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7900 Old Madison Pike Madison, AL | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1313 | $1,726 | $1.31 | 14d | 11 | 0.61mi |
| 416 Walton Rd Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,795 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 709 Marion Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2050 | $1,795 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1016 Seina Vista Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1981 | $2,100 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 619 Larry Dr Madison, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2093 | $2,031 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 200 Millstone Ln Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $2,000 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2002 Flagstone Dr Madison, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 973 | $1,544 | $1.59 | 14d | 77 | 0.77mi |
| 722 Highland Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1938 | $1,750 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 180 Hughes Rd Madison, AL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1373 | $2,675 | $1.95 | 14d | 45 | 1.00mi |
| 202 High Rd Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1759 | $2,375 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 286 Slaughter Rd NW Madison, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1385 | $2,199 | $1.59 | 14d | 31 | 1.03mi |
| 1 Madison Park Dr Madison, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1149 | $2,157 | $1.88 | 14d | 18 | 1.04mi |
| 2300 Colonial Lake Dr Madison, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1083 | $1,338 | $1.23 | 14d | 39 | 1.07mi |
| 425 Falls PT SW Unit 1 Madison, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1375 | $1,615 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 118 Canterbury Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2031 | $2,300 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 105 Whisperbrook Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4286 Sullivan St Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1815 | $2,100 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 556-char remark
Show marketing remark (556 chars)
**AS LOW AS 3.99% FIXED GOV and UP TO 20K FLEX CASH for MAY Closing!**Under Construction-The Freeport- a Home that fits many lifestyles. Greeted by a Foyer with inviting LVP flooring, find great spaces for children, guests or roommates with 3 secondary beds & bathroom with granite or quartz countertops. Be immersed in open living spaces that feature granite or quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, shaker style cabinets, & walk-in corner pantry. A dining room & island spacious enough for dinner parties that overlook the backyard.
-
2026-03-06$297,900 Active 556-char remark
Show marketing remark (556 chars)
**AS LOW AS 3.99% FIXED GOV and UP TO 20K FLEX CASH for MAY Closing!**Under Construction-The Freeport- a Home that fits many lifestyles. Greeted by a Foyer with inviting LVP flooring, find great spaces for children, guests or roommates with 3 secondary beds & bathroom with granite or quartz countertops. Be immersed in open living spaces that feature granite or quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, shaker style cabinets, & walk-in corner pantry. A dining room & island spacious enough for dinner parties that overlook the backyard.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,637 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,637 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,551
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,687
- − Property taxes
- −$1,637
- − Insurance
- −$1,490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,124
- − Management
- −$2,124
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$8,666
- Taxable loss
- −$6,681
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,603
- After-tax cash flow
- $202/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison City
- NCES district ID
- 0100008
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,091
- Composite
- 55.56/100
- National rank
- #1238
- State rank
- #4 of 129 in AL
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #3280
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Madison, AL
- County
- Limestone County · 80,439 people
- City population
- 93,742
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,947
- Household income
- $129,852
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 286.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 21% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.15%
- Current HPI
- 180.5285
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.15%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $297,900 VMLS
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,637 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…