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67104 Elnora Ln
D Composite 41.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0

$375,000

67104 Elnora Ln · Kingsland, GA 32097
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,267 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1997 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LARGE COUNTRY LIVING HOME ON LARGE LOT. SELLER ACQUIRED PROPERTY THROUGH FORECLOSURE. SELLER AND AGENT MAKE NO REPRESENTATIONS OR WARRANTIES, UNAWARE OF ANY DEFECTS OR LEAD BASED PAINTS. BEING SOLD ''AS IS''. ALL INFO TO BE VERIFIED BY BUYER. SPECIAL BANK ADDENDUMS ARE REQUIRED. PROOF OF FUNDS OR PRE-APPROVAL LETTER IS REQUIRED. SELLER WILL NOT PROVIDE SURVEY.

Key facts

  • New carpet
  • Ceiling fans
  • Updated lighting

Tags

NEW ROOFHVAC SYSTEMLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGNEW CARPETUPDATED LIGHTINGCEILING FANS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Fenced (other); Dirt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Breakfast nook; Ceiling fans; Primary bathroom with shower (no tub); Split bedroom layout
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-570 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $274k (26.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (37.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $236k (37.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.5% in Kingsland — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#111 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Nassau (town): math 74% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #4 of 73 in FL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); solid renter incomes; 953 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Nassau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $121k; list at $375k implies a 209% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $236,419 (37.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
4.47%
Cash-on-cash
-6.52%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
13.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$167,566
Equity at exit
$337,830
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
5.97×
Total profit
$521,328
Equity at exit
$728,543

Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 32097

Home prices YoY
19.5%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,364 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,967
Tax from tax record
$315 /mo · $3,783/yr
Insurance
$156
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$496
Net cashflow
$-570

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,086
Max offer price $274,247
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-358 -5% $-464 +0% $-570 +5% $-676 +10% $-783
Rent -10% $-757 -5% $-664 +0% $-570 +5% $-477 +10% $-384
Rate -1.0pp $-381 -0.5pp $-475 base $-570 +0.5pp $-668 +1.0pp $-766

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$93,750
Closing costs
$11,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $375,000 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $375,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $375,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    status $375,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  6. 2026-05-19
    price $375,000
  7. 2026-05-11
    price $400,000
  8. 2026-04-14
    price $405,000
  9. 2026-03-24
    listed $415,000 Active
  10. 2008-10-31
    soldstatus $121,300
  11. 2008-09-19
    soldstatus $121,250 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    LARGE COUNTRY LIVING HOME ON LARGE LOT. SELLER ACQUIRED PROPERTY THROUGH FORECLOSURE. SELLER AND AGENT MAKE NO REPRESENTATIONS OR WARRANTIES, UNAWARE OF ANY DEFECTS OR LEAD BASED PAINTS. BEING SOLD ''AS IS''. ALL INFO TO BE VERIFIED BY BUYER. SPECIAL BANK ADDENDUMS ARE REQUIRED. PROOF OF FUNDS OR PRE-APPROVAL LETTER IS REQUIRED. SELLER WILL NOT PROVIDE SURVEY.

  12. 2008-03-20
    listed $129,900 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    LARGE COUNTRY LIVING HOME ON LARGE LOT. SELLER ACQUIRED PROPERTY THROUGH FORECLOSURE. SELLER AND AGENT MAKE NO REPRESENTATIONS OR WARRANTIES, UNAWARE OF ANY DEFECTS OR LEAD BASED PAINTS. BEING SOLD ''AS IS''. ALL INFO TO BE VERIFIED BY BUYER. SPECIAL BANK ADDENDUMS ARE REQUIRED. PROOF OF FUNDS OR PRE-APPROVAL LETTER IS REQUIRED. SELLER WILL NOT PROVIDE SURVEY.

  13. 2008-03-17
    historical 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    LARGE CONTEMPORARY MODERN HOME.COUNTRY LIVING.SPACIOUS 1 ACRE LOT.SOME UPGRADES COMPLETED.SELLER SELLING IN AS IS CONDITION.PRE-QUAL/PROOF OF FUND LETTER REQUIRED AT TIME OF OFFER ALONG WITH A COPY OF BINDER CHECK IN THE AMOUNT OF $1000.00 OR 2% OF PURCHASE PRICE WHICHEVER IS GREATER.

  14. 2007-08-22
    listed $169,900 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    LARGE CONTEMPORARY MODERN HOME.COUNTRY LIVING.SPACIOUS 1 ACRE LOT.SOME UPGRADES COMPLETED.SELLER SELLING IN AS IS CONDITION.PRE-QUAL/PROOF OF FUND LETTER REQUIRED AT TIME OF OFFER ALONG WITH A COPY OF BINDER CHECK IN THE AMOUNT OF $1000.00 OR 2% OF PURCHASE PRICE WHICHEVER IS GREATER.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,783 · $315/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,783 · $315/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,370
− Mortgage interest
−$21,006
− Property taxes
−$3,783
− Insurance
−$1,875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,270
− Management
−$2,270
− Depreciation
−$10,909
Taxable loss
−$13,742
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,298
After-tax cash flow
$-3,546/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nassau
NCES district ID
1201350
Math proficiency
74% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,267
Composite
59.79/100
National rank
#899
State rank
#4 of 73 in FL

Livability — Kingsland

Score
69/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#8436

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Nassau County · 67,729 people
City population
26,700
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
26,700
Household income
$93,161
Rent vs Own
19.8% rent · 80.2% own
Severe rent burden
404.0

Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,419 people
By 2030
92,679 · +4.8%
By 2040
99,257 · +12.3%
By 2050
103,378 · +16.9%
By 2075
109,726 · +24.1%
By 2100
107,006 · +21.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nassau

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.9) · D 26.1% · R 73.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -46.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.9 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+48.6 2008: R+43.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 49.35%
Current HPI
301.9299
Rent YoY
▲ 2.88%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $375,000 realMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $400,000 realMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $405,000 realMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $415,000 realMLS
  • 2008-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $121,300 Public Records
  • 2008-09-19 Sold (MLS) $121,250 realMLS
  • 2008-03-20 Listed $129,900 realMLS
  • 2008-03-17 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2007-08-22 Listed $169,900 realMLS

Property tax history

+12.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,783 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…