Duplex
5009 N 38th St Unit 5009A · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Turnkey investment opportunity! This fully renovated 3/2 duplex or 2/2 with additional in-law suite offers the perfect combination of modern updates, strong rental income, and long-term value. Situated on a spacious double lot, the property features open concept, updated kitchens with granite countertops, vinyl plank flooring, generously sized walk-in closets, and beautifully rebuilt front porches. Enjoy ample off-street parking with a 2-car garage plus two additional parking spaces. Fully rented this is an excellent opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow or owner-occupants looking to offset their mortgage with rental income. Whether you're expanding your portfolio or purchas
Key facts
- 7,840 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1903
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage with opener; Additional 1 parking space
- Security: Camera system with 4 cameras included (per listing inclusions)
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; 2 gas meters
- Home design: 2-story duplex with in-law/guest quarter configuration; Multi-family property
- Construction: Built (year source: assessor/public record)
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Lot under 1/2 acre (approx. 0.18 acre); Zoned RT3
Interior
- Kitchen: Unit 2 kitchen on upper level (approx. 6 x 10); Two stoves included (per listing inclusions)
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms (master on upper level, approx. 14 x 11; second bedroom approx. 11 x 11)
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 2 full bathrooms; Unit 2: 1 full bathroom; Full bath on lower level
- Interior features: Walk-out full basement with block construction
- Laundry & utility: One dryer included (per listing inclusions); Washer excluded (tenant's personal property); 2 gas meters
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $164/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.6%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,601/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 3390% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.61%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,456
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5352 N 39th St Unit 5352A | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,889 (-1%) | 2mo | $295,900 | $157 | 72 |
| 4572 N 38th St Unit 4572A | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,873 (-2%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $59 | 63 |
| 4703 N 35th St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,789 (-6%) | 9mo | $147,500 | $82 | 57 |
| 3905 W Sheridan Ave Ave #3907 | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,960 (+3%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $79 | 57 |
| 5269 N Sherman Blvd | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 2,102 (+10%) | 4mo | $192,000 | $91 | 54 |
| 4568 N 38th St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 1,796 (-6%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $39 | 54 |
| 4783 N 30th St #4785 | 0.57mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,050 (+7%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $41 | 52 |
| 4673 N 36th St | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 2,120 (+11%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $94 | 49 |
| 5277 N 38th St | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 2,182 (+14%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $53 | 49 |
| 5324 N 48th St | 0.72mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,986 (+4%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $121 | 48 |
| 5241 N 31st St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 1,657 (-13%) | 2mo | $104,000 | $63 | 48 |
| 5021 N 27th St | 0.69mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,630 (-15%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $83 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-5,893
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $84,416
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53209
- Rents YoY
- 8.6%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 16.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,601 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$546
- Net cashflow
- $327
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $2,602 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,301 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,301 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,601 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4900 N 58th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1455 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3931 W Kaul Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,695 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4139 N 50th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3925 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16$250,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,212
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$3,750
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,497
- − Management
- −$2,497
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$59
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$14
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,939/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This fully renovated 3/2 duplex or 2/2 with an additional in-law suite offers modern updates and strong rental income potential.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and rental value
- Both painting — refreshes interior and exterior
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Both painting — refreshes interior and exterior ↑
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,170
- Household income
- $48,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3390.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Portuguese 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.98%
- Current HPI
- 172.4275
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.61%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $250,000 METROMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…