84136 Ave 44, #593 #593 · Indio, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 115°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this 2007 Park Model with a California Room attached. It has a very Open feeling with a large eating area, great kitchen and added living space for entertaining and TV room. It comes Turnkey! It offers Appliances, Gas Range with Microwave above stove, & fridge. Laminate Flooring through-out except in bedroom which offers carpet. The W/ D is located in the Shed in back of PM. Covered Parking. Rancho Casa Blanca (RCB) features a beautifully landscaped 80-acre property with 801 individual Park Model homes/or RV sites, Two large clubhouses that function as social hubs & 4 satellite buildings with laundry facilities, mailboxes, heated pools & relaxing spas. As an owner you will enjoy FREE GOLF on your 18-hole par 3 golf course, a 9-hole putting course, 2 practice chipping/putting greens, 6 heated pools/spas, 2 tennis courts, 8 pickle ball courts, shuffleboard courts, horseshoe pitch, fitness center & over 60 Clubs & Classes. This park has a limit of 270 day occupancy (not consecutive) out of 365 calendar year.
Key facts
- Heated pools
- Laminate flooring
- Fitness center
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $114k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($874/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $114k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.3% in Indio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $792 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 464 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $114k implies a 282% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 464 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.73%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $126,107
- List price
- $114,500
- Delta
- -9.20%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84136 Avenue 44 #477 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $238 | 99 |
| 84136 Ave 44, #567 #567 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $225 | 99 |
| 84136 Ave 44, #262 #262 | 0.11mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 0mo | $192,500 | $481 | 95 |
| 84136 84136 Avenue 44, #325 #325 | 0.08mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 2mo | $79,000 | $198 | 94 |
| 84136 Ave 44, #29 #29 | 0.10mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $225 | 94 |
| 84136 Avenue 44, #449 #449 | 0.12mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $575 | 92 |
| 84136 Ave 44, #385 #385 | 0.13mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 3mo | $178,000 | $445 | 92 |
| 754 Ave 44 #754 | 0.14mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 3mo | $101,500 | $254 | 91 |
| 84136 Ave 44 #122 | 0.15mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $313 | 91 |
| 84136 Ave 44, #744 #744 | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 2mo | $176,000 | $440 | 89 |
| 84136 Ave 44, 658 #658 | 0.19mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 3mo | $102,500 | $256 | 89 |
| 84136 Ave 44, 675 #675 | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $513 | 89 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-4,535
- Equity at exit
- $17,072
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $44,555
- Equity at exit
- $9,900
Cash invested: $32,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92203
- Home prices YoY
- -25.0%
- Rents YoY
- 11.6%
- Active inventory
- 441
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,713 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$600
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $747/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$570
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $73
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,625
- Closing costs
- $3,435
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $570 · $6,840/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspoolgym
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,500 Active 464 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,500 Active 463 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,500 Active 462 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,500 Active 461 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,500 Active 459 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,500 Active 455 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,500 Active 454 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,500 Active 453 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $114,500 Active 450 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,500 Active 449 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,500 Active 448 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,500 Active 447 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,500 Active 446 DOM
-
2026-02-12price $114,500 1061-char remark
Show marketing remark (1061 chars)
Welcome to this 2007 Park Model with a California Room attached. It has a very Open feeling with a large eating area, great kitchen and added living space for entertaining and TV room. It comes Turnkey! It offers Appliances, Gas Range with Microwave above stove, & fridge. Laminate Flooring through-out except in bedroom which offers carpet. The W/ D is located in the Shed in back of PM. Covered Parking. Rancho Casa Blanca (RCB) features a beautifully landscaped 80-acre property with 801 individual Park Model homes/or RV sites, Two large clubhouses that function as social hubs & 4 satellite buildings with laundry facilities, mailboxes, heated pools & relaxing spas. As an owner you will enjoy FREE GOLF on your 18-hole par 3 golf course, a 9-hole putting course, 2 practice chipping/putting greens, 6 heated pools/spas, 2 tennis courts, 8 pickle ball courts, shuffleboard courts, horseshoe pitch, fitness center & over 60 Clubs & Classes. This park has a limit of 270 day occupancy (not consecutive) out of 365 calendar year.
-
2025-07-31price $135,900 1061-char remark
Show marketing remark (1061 chars)
Welcome to this 2007 Park Model with a California Room attached. It has a very Open feeling with a large eating area, great kitchen and added living space for entertaining and TV room. It comes Turnkey! It offers Appliances, Gas Range with Microwave above stove, & fridge. Laminate Flooring through-out except in bedroom which offers carpet. The W/ D is located in the Shed in back of PM. Covered Parking. Rancho Casa Blanca (RCB) features a beautifully landscaped 80-acre property with 801 individual Park Model homes/or RV sites, Two large clubhouses that function as social hubs & 4 satellite buildings with laundry facilities, mailboxes, heated pools & relaxing spas. As an owner you will enjoy FREE GOLF on your 18-hole par 3 golf course, a 9-hole putting course, 2 practice chipping/putting greens, 6 heated pools/spas, 2 tennis courts, 8 pickle ball courts, shuffleboard courts, horseshoe pitch, fitness center & over 60 Clubs & Classes. This park has a limit of 270 day occupancy (not consecutive) out of 365 calendar year.
-
2025-03-11$145,900 Active 1061-char remark
Show marketing remark (1061 chars)
Welcome to this 2007 Park Model with a California Room attached. It has a very Open feeling with a large eating area, great kitchen and added living space for entertaining and TV room. It comes Turnkey! It offers Appliances, Gas Range with Microwave above stove, & fridge. Laminate Flooring through-out except in bedroom which offers carpet. The W/ D is located in the Shed in back of PM. Covered Parking. Rancho Casa Blanca (RCB) features a beautifully landscaped 80-acre property with 801 individual Park Model homes/or RV sites, Two large clubhouses that function as social hubs & 4 satellite buildings with laundry facilities, mailboxes, heated pools & relaxing spas. As an owner you will enjoy FREE GOLF on your 18-hole par 3 golf course, a 9-hole putting course, 2 practice chipping/putting greens, 6 heated pools/spas, 2 tennis courts, 8 pickle ball courts, shuffleboard courts, horseshoe pitch, fitness center & over 60 Clubs & Classes. This park has a limit of 270 day occupancy (not consecutive) out of 365 calendar year.
-
2025-02-16historical
-
2024-09-24$157,500 Active
-
2004-01-21soldstatus $30,000
-
2000-08-18soldstatus $24,000
-
1999-04-01soldstatus $20,500
-
1997-10-01soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $747 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $870 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$123/yr (+$10/mo · 16.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥115°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,556
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,414
- − Property taxes
- −$747
- − Insurance
- −$572
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,644
- − Management
- −$1,644
- − HOA
- −$6,840
- − Depreciation
- −$3,331
- Taxable loss
- −$637
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$153
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,027/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desert Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0611110
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,957
- Composite
- 37.77/100
- National rank
- #4346
- State rank
- #199 of 517 in CA
Livability — Indio
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #927
- US rank
- #24244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indio, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 100,560
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,735
- Household income
- $97,311
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 565.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 41% Two or more races 29% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 33% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.51%
- Current HPI
- 295.6456
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.64%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+472.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $114,500 GPSMLS
- 2025-07-31 Price Changed $135,900 GPSMLS
- 2025-03-11 Listed $145,900 GPSMLS
- 2025-02-16 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2024-09-24 Listed $157,500 GPSMLS
- 2004-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 1999-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,500 Public Records
- 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2014): $747 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…