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84136 Ave 44, #593 #593
C Composite 57.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,500

84136 Ave 44, #593 #593 · Indio, CA 92203
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 400 sqft · Manufactured · 464 Days on market
Built 2007 2,178 sqft lot $286/sqft · 9% below area Est $126k · 9% under $570/mo HOA · 33% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this 2007 Park Model with a California Room attached. It has a very Open feeling with a large eating area, great kitchen and added living space for entertaining and TV room. It comes Turnkey! It offers Appliances, Gas Range with Microwave above stove, & fridge. Laminate Flooring through-out except in bedroom which offers carpet. The W/ D is located in the Shed in back of PM. Covered Parking. Rancho Casa Blanca (RCB) features a beautifully landscaped 80-acre property with 801 individual Park Model homes/or RV sites, Two large clubhouses that function as social hubs & 4 satellite buildings with laundry facilities, mailboxes, heated pools & relaxing spas. As an owner you will enjoy FREE GOLF on your 18-hole par 3 golf course, a 9-hole putting course, 2 practice chipping/putting greens, 6 heated pools/spas, 2 tennis courts, 8 pickle ball courts, shuffleboard courts, horseshoe pitch, fitness center & over 60 Clubs & Classes. This park has a limit of 270 day occupancy (not consecutive) out of 365 calendar year.

Key facts

  • Heated pools
  • Laminate flooring
  • Fitness center

Tags

CALIFORNIA ROOMGAS RANGELAMINATE FLOORINGCOVERED PARKINGHEATED POOLSFITNESS CENTER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $114k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($874/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $114k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.3% in Indio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $792 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 464 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $114k implies a 282% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,760 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 464 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
7.06%
Cash-on-cash
2.73%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$126,107
List price
$114,500
Delta
-9.20%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
84136 Avenue 44 #477 0.00mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 1mo $95,000 $238 99
84136 Ave 44, #567 #567 0.00mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 1mo $90,000 $225 99
84136 Ave 44, #262 #262 0.11mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 0mo $192,500 $481 95
84136 84136 Avenue 44, #325 #325 0.08mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 2mo $79,000 $198 94
84136 Ave 44, #29 #29 0.10mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 1mo $90,000 $225 94
84136 Avenue 44, #449 #449 0.12mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 3mo $230,000 $575 92
84136 Ave 44, #385 #385 0.13mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 3mo $178,000 $445 92
754 Ave 44 #754 0.14mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 3mo $101,500 $254 91
84136 Ave 44 #122 0.15mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 2mo $125,000 $313 91
84136 Ave 44, #744 #744 0.20mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 2mo $176,000 $440 89
84136 Ave 44, 658 #658 0.19mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 3mo $102,500 $256 89
84136 Ave 44, 675 #675 0.20mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 3mo $205,000 $513 89

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.5%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-4,535
Equity at exit
$17,072
10-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
2.39×
Total profit
$44,555
Equity at exit
$9,900

Cash invested: $32,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92203

Home prices YoY
-25.0%
Rents YoY
11.6%
Active inventory
441
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,713 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$600
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $747/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$570
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$73

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,621
Max offer price $114,500
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,625
Closing costs
$3,435
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$570 · $6,840/yr
Likely covers
gaspoolgym

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,500 Active 464 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,500 Active 463 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,500 Active 462 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,500 Active 461 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $114,500 Active 459 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,500 Active 455 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,500 Active 454 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,500 Active 453 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $114,500 Active 450 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $114,500 Active 449 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,500 Active 448 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,500 Active 447 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,500 Active 446 DOM
  14. 2026-02-12
    price $114,500 1061-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1061 chars)

    Welcome to this 2007 Park Model with a California Room attached. It has a very Open feeling with a large eating area, great kitchen and added living space for entertaining and TV room. It comes Turnkey! It offers Appliances, Gas Range with Microwave above stove, & fridge. Laminate Flooring through-out except in bedroom which offers carpet. The W/ D is located in the Shed in back of PM. Covered Parking. Rancho Casa Blanca (RCB) features a beautifully landscaped 80-acre property with 801 individual Park Model homes/or RV sites, Two large clubhouses that function as social hubs & 4 satellite buildings with laundry facilities, mailboxes, heated pools & relaxing spas. As an owner you will enjoy FREE GOLF on your 18-hole par 3 golf course, a 9-hole putting course, 2 practice chipping/putting greens, 6 heated pools/spas, 2 tennis courts, 8 pickle ball courts, shuffleboard courts, horseshoe pitch, fitness center & over 60 Clubs & Classes. This park has a limit of 270 day occupancy (not consecutive) out of 365 calendar year.

  15. 2025-07-31
    price $135,900 1061-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1061 chars)

    Welcome to this 2007 Park Model with a California Room attached. It has a very Open feeling with a large eating area, great kitchen and added living space for entertaining and TV room. It comes Turnkey! It offers Appliances, Gas Range with Microwave above stove, & fridge. Laminate Flooring through-out except in bedroom which offers carpet. The W/ D is located in the Shed in back of PM. Covered Parking. Rancho Casa Blanca (RCB) features a beautifully landscaped 80-acre property with 801 individual Park Model homes/or RV sites, Two large clubhouses that function as social hubs & 4 satellite buildings with laundry facilities, mailboxes, heated pools & relaxing spas. As an owner you will enjoy FREE GOLF on your 18-hole par 3 golf course, a 9-hole putting course, 2 practice chipping/putting greens, 6 heated pools/spas, 2 tennis courts, 8 pickle ball courts, shuffleboard courts, horseshoe pitch, fitness center & over 60 Clubs & Classes. This park has a limit of 270 day occupancy (not consecutive) out of 365 calendar year.

  16. 2025-03-11
    listed $145,900 Active 1061-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1061 chars)

    Welcome to this 2007 Park Model with a California Room attached. It has a very Open feeling with a large eating area, great kitchen and added living space for entertaining and TV room. It comes Turnkey! It offers Appliances, Gas Range with Microwave above stove, & fridge. Laminate Flooring through-out except in bedroom which offers carpet. The W/ D is located in the Shed in back of PM. Covered Parking. Rancho Casa Blanca (RCB) features a beautifully landscaped 80-acre property with 801 individual Park Model homes/or RV sites, Two large clubhouses that function as social hubs & 4 satellite buildings with laundry facilities, mailboxes, heated pools & relaxing spas. As an owner you will enjoy FREE GOLF on your 18-hole par 3 golf course, a 9-hole putting course, 2 practice chipping/putting greens, 6 heated pools/spas, 2 tennis courts, 8 pickle ball courts, shuffleboard courts, horseshoe pitch, fitness center & over 60 Clubs & Classes. This park has a limit of 270 day occupancy (not consecutive) out of 365 calendar year.

  17. 2025-02-16
    historical
  18. 2024-09-24
    listed $157,500 Active
  19. 2004-01-21
    soldstatus $30,000
  20. 2000-08-18
    soldstatus $24,000
  21. 1999-04-01
    soldstatus $20,500
  22. 1997-10-01
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$747 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$870 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$123/yr (+$10/mo · 16.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥115°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,556
− Mortgage interest
−$6,414
− Property taxes
−$747
− Insurance
−$572
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,644
− Management
−$1,644
− HOA
−$6,840
− Depreciation
−$3,331
Taxable loss
−$637
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$153
After-tax cash flow
$1,027/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Desert Sands Unified
NCES district ID
0611110
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$54,957
Composite
37.77/100
National rank
#4346
State rank
#199 of 517 in CA

Livability — Indio

Score
53/100
State rank
#927
US rank
#24244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Indio, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
100,560
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
34,735
Household income
$97,311
Rent vs Own
20.2% rent · 79.8% own
Severe rent burden
565.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 51% White 41% Two or more races 29% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 48%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 33% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.51%
Current HPI
295.6456
Rent YoY
▲ 11.64%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+472.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $114,500 GPSMLS
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $135,900 GPSMLS
  • 2025-03-11 Listed $145,900 GPSMLS
  • 2025-02-16 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2024-09-24 Listed $157,500 GPSMLS
  • 2004-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2000-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
  • 1999-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,500 Public Records
  • 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2014): $747 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…