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119 Lawton St
D- Composite 38.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0

$189,900

119 Lawton St · San Antonio, TX 78237
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily · 209 Days on market
Built 2025 3,092 sqft lot ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Brand new construction featuring 1,200 sq ft of modern living space. This thoughtfully designed home offers an open-concept living and dining area on the main level, complete with a convenient half bath perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features sleek quartz countertops, recessed LED lighting, and contemporary fixtures, creating a bright and stylish atmosphere. Upstairs, you'll find 2 spacious bedrooms, each with its own full ensuite bathroom, providing comfort and privacy. With its modern finishes, efficient layout, and brand-new systems, this home offers low-maintenance living in a fresh, contemporary setting. An excellent opportunity for first-time homebuyers, thi

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Quality construction
  • Modern design

Tags

SLEEK QUARTZ COUNTERTOPSRECESSED LED LIGHTINGFULL ENSUITE BATHROOMQUALITY CONSTRUCTIONMODERN DESIGNMOVE-IN READY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Down payment assistance resources available
  • HOA & community: Subdivision: Los Jardines

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electric service: CPS; Water service: SAWS; Sewer: City; Garbage service: City
  • Home design: New construction; Approximate age: 0
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Composition roof; Built by Richard Polendo
  • Exterior features: Cement fiber exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove/Range; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on upper level (approx. 14 x 11); Second bedroom (approx. 11 x 10)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full baths, 1 half bath; Primary bath with shower only (approx. 8 x 5)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living/dining room combination; All window coverings remain; Washer and dryer connections; Garbage disposal
  • Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-299 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (22.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (32.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (32.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Edgewood ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #812 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,225 (32.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.40%
Cash-on-cash
-6.76%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 6.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$88,541
Equity at exit
$171,077
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
6.37×
Total profit
$285,359
Equity at exit
$368,934

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78237

Home prices YoY
14.1%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
12.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,282 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax est. 1.5%
$237 /mo · $2,848/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$-299

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,661
Max offer price $146,579
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,900 Active 209 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,900 Active 208 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,900 Active 207 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,900 Active 206 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,900 Active 204 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $189,900 Active 203 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,900 Active 200 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 199 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 198 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 197 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,900 Active 194 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 193 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 192 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    remarks 699-char remark
  15. 2026-05-31
    listed $189,900 Active 191 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,387
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$2,848
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,231
− Management
−$1,231
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$7,035
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,688
After-tax cash flow
$-1,904/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edgewood ISD
NCES district ID
4818150
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$27,419
Composite
12.82/100
National rank
#9597
State rank
#812 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
37,379
Household income
$42,772
Rent vs Own
38.7% rent · 61.3% own
Severe rent burden
1185.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 50% White 3% Native American 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 84%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
34% English-only · Spanish 66%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 30.52%
Current HPI
247.7257
Rent YoY
▲ 6.13%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $189,900 LERA
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $197,500 LERA
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $199,900 LERA

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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