807 E Illinois St · Freeport, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this charming three-bedroom gem that's brimming with potential and ready for its next chapter. Whether you're a first-time buyer or a savvy investor, this property delivers opportunity on a silver platter. Inside, discover a solid foundation for your vision. The main level features three comfortable bedrooms and a full bathroom, providing a functional layout that's just waiting for your personal touch. With a little TLC, you can make this your own. Hardwood floors as well. Come and check it out.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1954
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Possession at closing
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space, 1 total parking space); Owned garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with fuses
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Built 71–80 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 53 x 120; Lot less than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Master bedroom on main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Basement bathroom present
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished full basement; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 5.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#302 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, commute F, employment F.
- Freeport SD 145 (town): math 11% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #565 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 197 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7 units permitted in Stephenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stephenson County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.33%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $86,856
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 934 E Garden St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,258 (+12%) | 1mo | $43,900 | $35 | 74 |
| 1478 S High Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,122 (-0%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $134 | 72 |
| 514 E Garden St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (-13%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $153 | 66 |
| 727 E Garden St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,280 (+14%) | 4mo | $92,500 | $72 | 66 |
| 712 S 14th Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+2%) | 9mo | $126,000 | $109 | 65 |
| 1208 S Fruit Ave | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-15%) | 10mo | $35,500 | $37 | 53 |
| 1452 S High Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,238 (+10%) | 5mo | $10 | — | 52 |
| 1441 S Float Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 966 (-14%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $83 | 52 |
| 1468 S Carroll Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,220 (+8%) | 8mo | $94,000 | $77 | 49 |
| 1474 S Carroll Ave | 0.56mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,204 (+7%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $96 | 46 |
| 1540 S Float Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-11%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $75 | 44 |
| 1602 E De Leon St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,030 (-9%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $58 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $11,967
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $43,724
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61032
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,331 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,002/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $403
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 E Shawnee St Freeport, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,495 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 316 E Winslow St Freeport, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,295 | $1.59 | 20d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 816 S James Ave Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,325 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1645 Hilltop Pl Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1645 Hilltop Pl Unit 2 Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 742 W Homer St Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1434 | $1,325 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 601 N Winnebago Ave Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,225 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 435 N Apple Ave Freeport, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 567-char remark
-
2026-06-13$85,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 516-char remark
-
2026-06-02$85,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,002 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,002 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,969
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$2,002
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,278
- − Management
- −$1,278
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $3,752
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$901
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,938/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Freeport SD 145
- NCES district ID
- 1715900
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,803
- Composite
- 9.89/100
- National rank
- #9821
- State rank
- #565 of 620 in IL
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #302
- US rank
- #5927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freeport, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,072
Population outlook (Stephenson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,802 people
- By 2030
- 39,487 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 34,534 · -17.4%
- By 2050
- 29,693 · -29.0%
- By 2075
- 21,196 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 14,596 · -65.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stephenson
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.4) · D 39.5% · R 58.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: 6.7pp · 2024: -19.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.4 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+4.6 2008: D+6.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.75%
- Current HPI
- 163.677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $85,000 NWIAR
- 2026-06-01 Listed $85,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2024): $2,002 · +64.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…