929 Barnisdale Rd · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits at 929 Barnisdale Rd! This all-brick 3Bed 2Bath home sits on an incredible corner lot and features a basement garage with ample storage space. Lovingly maintained and full of character, this home offers great bones and is ready for your personal touch. Conveniently located just minutes from UAB St. Vincent’s East, shopping, dining, and major highways. Whether you’re looking to build equity or an investor seeking your next project, this is one you won’t want to miss!
Key facts
- Ample storage space
- Basement garage
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment assistance available
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Basement parking; Rear garage entry; 1 total garage space (basement level)
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet service available
- Home design: 4-side brick construction; Existing (previously built) home; Basement foundation; Lot size about 0.34 acres; Not waterfront
- Construction: 4-side brick exterior; Basement foundation
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Electric oven; Electric stove; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central cooling
- Interior features: Partial, daylight basement that is unfinished; Attic present; Ceilings: Other (see remarks); No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement; Washer hookup/utilities in garage; Dryer hookup - electric
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Huffman Academy (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #594 of 627 statewide, top 95%, 735 students, 79% FRL); Huffman High Schoolmagnet (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 1,147 students, 72% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $119k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.30%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $178,756
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1108 Eadom Pl | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,828 (-6%) | 1mo | $139,000 | $76 | 83 |
| 1025 Barnisdale Rd | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,897 (-2%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $92 | 82 |
| 839 Sherwood Forest Dr | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,888 (-3%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $82 | 76 |
| 829 Sherwood Forest Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (-7%) | 4mo | $229,000 | $127 | 74 |
| 907 Barnisdale Rd | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,780 (-8%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $65 | 73 |
| 801 Sherwood Forest Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,898 (-2%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $129 | 68 |
| 812 Northcrest Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,830 (-6%) | 4mo | $222,000 | $121 | 62 |
| 846 Sherman Oaks Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (-14%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $74 | 56 |
| 500 Redbud Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,997 (+3%) | 8mo | $209,900 | $105 | 55 |
| 820 Sundale Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,657 (-15%) | 3mo | $249,000 | $150 | 46 |
| 942 Hillcrest Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (-14%) | 8mo | $92,000 | $55 | 45 |
| 601 Lisa Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,788 (-8%) | 12mo | $120,000 | $67 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $9,822
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $57,577
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35235
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,543 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $397
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $479 | -5% $438 | +0% $397 | +5% $356 | +10% $315 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $275 | -5% $336 | +0% $397 | +5% $458 | +10% $519 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $457 | -0.5pp $427 | base $397 | +0.5pp $366 | +1.0pp $335 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1108 Hob Hill Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1646 | $1,600 | $0.97 | 16d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 625 Lisa Ln Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 19d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 736 Gene Reed Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1353 | $1,220 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1037 Dawn Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1532 | $1,295 | $0.85 | 12d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 933 Edwards Lake Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1684 | $1,360 | $0.81 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 417 Price Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,395 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 925 Eldorado Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $1,231 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 901 Eldorado Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,415 | $0.84 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 832 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,225 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-15status $119,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 489-char remark
-
2026-06-13$119,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,521
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,785
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,482
- − Management
- −$1,482
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $3,050
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$732
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,031/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,526
- Household income
- $63,295
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 941.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 30% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.62%
- Current HPI
- 204.6532
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.39%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+155.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $119,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-06-10 Coming Soon $119,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1997-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1981-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $46,584 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…