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9616 Verite St
D Composite 44.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$253,999

9616 Verite St · Saginaw, TX 76179
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,402 sqft · SingleFamily · 37 Days on market
Built 2025 Excellent condition 4,792 sqft lot Est $265k · at est. $42/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Introducing the Kitson

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2025

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Northpointe; Directions: Coming north on Business 287 - Saginaw - Main, left on Heritage Trace Pkwy, keep straight on Heritage Trace Pkwy
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA financing; No second mortgage reported
  • HOA & community: Mandatory association; Annual association fee assessed (fee reported); Association provides full use of facilities, grounds maintenance, and management services

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (garage faces rear, 2-car single door; approximate width 20', length 18'); 2 covered parking spaces
  • Security: Burglar alarm; Carbon monoxide detector(s); Fire alarm; Prewired security; Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Concrete curbs and sidewalks; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; New construction (incomplete, 2025); Not attached to another property; Deed restrictions
  • Construction: Brick and fiber cement exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Year built 2025 (new construction - incomplete)
  • Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Wood fencing; Landscaped interior lot; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 120

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in cabinets; Eat-in kitchen with island; Natural stone/granite countertops; Walk-in pantry; Water line to refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Gas cooktop; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on level 1 with dual sinks, linen closet, and walk-in closet; Three additional bedrooms on level 1
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High-speed internet available; Walk-in closet(s); Other
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry equipment listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $254k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-540/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $247k (2.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (12.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $222k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.2% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#112 in TX, #3,623 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD (urban): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #361 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Eagle Mountain El (math 40% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,462 of 4,322 statewide, top 34%, 507 students, 19% FRL); Prairie Vista (math 33% / reading 40%, grade F, #786 of 1,662 statewide, top 48%, 923 students, 52% FRL); Chisholm Trail H S (math 27% / reading 55%, grade F, #774 of 1,632 statewide, top 49%, 2,493 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 1074 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $221,809 (12.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.08%
Cash-on-cash
-0.76%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$264,978
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
310 S Hampshire St 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,376 (-2%) 2mo $290,000 $211 79
400 Blue Ridge Trl 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,335 (-5%) 3mo $268,000 $201 65
425 Ridgecrest Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,388 (-1%) 5mo $265,000 $191 64
221 Asbury Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,367 (-2%) 3mo $274,900 $201 62
604 Pinto Ln 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,468 (+5%) 0mo $249,900 $170 59
516 Bailey St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,524 (+9%) 8mo $265,000 $174 55
404 Southern Ct 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,193 (-15%) 1mo $225,000 $189 54
308 Thompson Ct 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,217 (-13%) 2mo $264,900 $218 51
501 Nathan St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,584 (+13%) 3mo $265,000 $167 49
221 Spring Hollow Dr 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,609 (+15%) 8mo $299,999 $186 45
363 Mustang Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,246 (-11%) 4mo $225,000 $181 44
137 Blue Wood Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,566 (+12%) 9mo $290,000 $185 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.2%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-47,245
Equity at exit
$37,872
10-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-57,642
Equity at exit
$21,961

Cash invested: $71,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76179

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
1074
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,218 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,332
Tax est. 1.5%
$317 /mo · $3,810/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$42
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$466
Net cashflow
$-45

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,275
Max offer price $247,482
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $130 -5% $43 +0% $-45 +5% $-133 +10% $-221
Rent -10% $-220 -5% $-133 +0% $-45 +5% $43 +10% $130
Rate -1.0pp $83 -0.5pp $20 base $-45 +0.5pp $-111 +1.0pp $-178

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,500
Closing costs
$7,620
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
317 Worthy St Saginaw, TX 3.0 1.0 1648 $1,810 $1.10 1d 1 0.33mi
157 Spring Hollow Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1737 $2,249 $1.29 4d 1 0.37mi
217 Palomino Dr Saginaw, TX 4.0 2.0 1795 $2,000 $1.11 20d 1 0.50mi
508 Alex St Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1496 $1,900 $1.27 1d 1 0.51mi
508 Alex St Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1496 $1,900 $1.27 9d 1 0.51mi
520 Bailey St Saginaw, TX 4.0 2.0 1867 $2,045 $1.10 1d 1 0.53mi
100 Creek Terrace Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1814 $2,280 $1.26 26d 1 0.55mi
144 Creek Terrace Dr Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1813 $2,195 $1.21 13d 1 0.58mi
125 Cambridge Dr Unit 4 Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1044 $1,495 $1.43 26d 1 0.58mi
317 Taylor St Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1632 $1,985 $1.22 4d 1 0.60mi
820 W McLeroy Blvd Unit 2020 Saginaw, TX 2.0 1.0 1048 $3,495 $3.33 3d 1 0.74mi
404 Asbury Dr Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1166 $1,545 $1.33 26d 1 0.77mi
701 N Saginaw Blvd Saginaw, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1024 $2,326 $2.27 1d 21 0.80mi
804 Willow Wood Dr Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1745 $2,399 $1.37 1d 1 0.85mi
512 Stallion Ln Saginaw, TX 4.0 2.0 1538 $2,050 $1.33 20d 1 0.89mi
524 Buckstone Dr Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1355 $1,975 $1.46 7d 1 0.99mi
632 Condor Trl Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1658 $2,095 $1.26 9d 1 1.03mi
915 Santa Fe Dr Saginaw, TX 4.0 2.0 1744 $8,950 $5.13 26d 1 1.14mi
206 Hucknall Ct Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.5 1667 $2,529 $1.52 1d 1 1.18mi
912 Fenway Ln Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1627 $2,000 $1.23 19d 1 1.19mi
912 Fenway Ln Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1627 $2,000 $1.23 26d 1 1.19mi
218 Potsgrove Rd Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.5 1490 $2,319 $1.56 1d 1 1.21mi
853 Atchison Dr Saginaw, TX 4.0 2.0 1748 $2,100 $1.20 26d 1 1.22mi
102 Rutland Ct Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.5 1490 $2,319 $1.56 19d 1 1.22mi
1024 Green Ridge Ter Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1588 $2,025 $1.28 1d 1 1.22mi
101 Rutland Ct Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.5 1490 $2,299 $1.54 8d 1 1.23mi
1040 Hillwood Dr Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1853 $1,995 $1.08 8d 1 1.24mi
206 Wingfield Rd Saginaw, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,639 $1.42 1d 1 1.24mi
106 Cherwell Ct Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.5 1667 $2,489 $1.49 8d 1 1.24mi
110 Cherwell Ct Saginaw, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,599 $1.39 14d 1 1.24mi
948 Fenway Ln Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1563 $2,025 $1.30 26d 1 1.25mi
101 Canterbury Dr Saginaw, TX 4.0 2.0 1866 $2,191 $1.17 14d 1 1.25mi
209 Wingfield Rd Saginaw, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,639 $1.42 1d 1 1.26mi
109 Cherwell Ct Saginaw, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,599 $1.39 14d 1 1.26mi
202 Hockliffe Ct Saginaw, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,559 $1.37 14d 1 1.27mi
110 Kimberly Ct Saginaw, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,549 $1.37 24d 1 1.27mi
205 Hockliffe Ct Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.5 1667 $2,439 $1.46 1d 1 1.29mi
421 Commonwealth Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1699 $2,250 $1.32 7d 1 1.29mi
109 Kimberly Ct Saginaw, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,579 $1.38 24d 1 1.29mi
206 Hardwick Dr Saginaw, TX 3.0–4.0 2.5–3.0 1747 $2,299 $1.32 1d 1 1.29mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$42 · $504/yr

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    price $253,999
  2. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-23
    price $255,999
  4. 2026-04-08
    price $259,999
  5. 2026-04-07
    listed $263,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,617
− Mortgage interest
−$14,228
− Property taxes
−$3,810
− Insurance
−$1,270
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,129
− Management
−$2,129
− HOA
−$504
− Depreciation
−$7,389
Taxable loss
−$4,843
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,162
After-tax cash flow
$622/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and property value
  • Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and property value
  • Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD
NCES district ID
4817700
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$72,781
Composite
35.41/100
National rank
#4945
State rank
#361 of 826 in TX

Livability — Saginaw

Score
76/100
State rank
#112
US rank
#3623

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
56,322
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
80,090
Household income
$107,428
Rent vs Own
20.9% rent · 79.1% own
Severe rent burden
1494.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Black 12% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -137.12%
Current HPI
237.6676
Rent YoY
▲ 1.51%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $253,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-14 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $255,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $259,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $263,999 NTREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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