CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
204 N Chester St
B- Composite 65.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

204 N Chester St · Baltimore, MD 21231
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 832 sqft · Townhouse public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1900 1,118 sqft lot Est $201k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity! Incredible opportunity to own a three-level townhome with basement in one of Baltimore's sought-after neighborhoods - just minutes from John Hopkins and I-83. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features an unfinished basement, offering the potential to add valuable square footage and maximize your investment. Sitting on an impressive 86-foot lot, this property has rare potential for two-car parking AND a rear addition - an exceptional find in the city. The home is located on a quiet block with charming cafe lights and desirable permit parking. Priced to reflect condition, this property is being sold strictly as-is with no repairs or credits. Bring your vision and unlock thi

Key facts

  • Rear addition
  • Two-car parking
  • Unfinished basement

Tags

THREE-LEVEL TOWNHOMEUNFINISHED BASEMENT86-FOOT LOTTWO-CAR PARKINGREAR ADDITION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership interest: Ground rent
  • Financial info: Ground rent $40 paid semi-annually; Property condition: Major rehab needed

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas heating and hot water
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Other structures above and below grade
  • Exterior features: In city limits; Ground rent exists (semi-annual payment)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Basement with connecting stairway, unfinished; Living area measured per assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $101k; list at $159k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $156,615 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.08%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$200,512
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
211 Collington Ave 0.09mi 2/1.0 (-1) 780 (-6%) 3mo $82,500 $106 78
402 N Chester St 0.08mi 2/2.0 (-1) 870 (+5%) 3mo $152,000 $175 77
318 S Duncan St S 0.50mi 2/2.0 (-1) 816 (-2%) 2mo $289,900 $355 63
311 S Chapel St 0.50mi 2/2.0 (-1) 858 (+3%) 0mo $235,000 $274 62
2207 Mullikin St 0.10mi 2/2.5 (-1) 924 (+11%) 5mo $180,000 $195 62
410 N Washington St 0.13mi 2/2.5 (-1) 950 (+14%) 2mo $226,900 $239 58
322 S Duncan St 0.51mi 2/1.5 (-1) 924 (+11%) 0mo $280,000 $303 51
2202 Prentiss Pl 0.59mi 2/2.0 (-1) 900 (+8%) 2mo $160,000 $178 48
155 N Streeper St 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 912 (+10%) 0mo $220,000 $241 48
2510 Fleet St 0.74mi 2/1.5 (-1) 912 (+10%) 3mo $315,000 $345 40
2615 E Chase St 0.73mi 3/1.5 952 (+14%) 2mo $149,000 $157 38
2010 Fountain St 0.70mi 2/2.5 (-1) 923 (+11%) 3mo $282,000 $306 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-5,657
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$17,260
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21231

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,942 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$297 /mo · $3,565/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$408
Net cashflow
$337

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,515
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
108 N Madeira St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1098 $1,900 $1.73 44d 1 0.17mi
2308 Jefferson St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 907 $1,450 $1.60 44d 1 0.23mi
16 N Bradford St Baltimore, MD 2.0 3.5 930 $2,400 $2.58 4d 1 0.26mi
437 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,450 $1.32 44d 1 0.27mi
712 N Duncan St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1000 $2,000 $2.00 44d 1 0.29mi
402 N Milton Ave Unit 402B Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 950 $1,290 $1.36 44d 1 0.31mi
107 N Port St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 870 $1,995 $2.29 24d 1 0.31mi
16 S Wolfe St Unit B Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1014 $1,800 $1.78 18d 1 0.31mi
618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,468 $1.40 44d 1 0.32mi
618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,468 $1.40 15d 1 0.32mi
224 N Rose St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1120 $1,875 $1.67 18d 1 0.35mi
233 N Rose St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 934 $1,750 $1.87 18d 1 0.36mi
104 N Rose St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 936 $2,500 $2.67 44d 1 0.37mi
1923 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 862 $1,770 $2.05 20d 2 0.39mi
517 N Rose St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 845 $1,400 $1.66 4d 1 0.39mi
1923 Ashland Ave Unit 401 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 850 $1,795 $2.11 20d 1 0.39mi
720 N Port St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 950 $1,300 $1.37 44d 1 0.40mi
1818 E Pratt St Apt B Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 44d 1 0.41mi
2608 E Fayette St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 15d 1 0.43mi
502 N Glover St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 827 $1,250 $1.51 20d 1 0.44mi
211 S Madeira St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 819 $1,650 $2.01 4d 1 0.45mi
415 N Glover St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1092 $1,600 $1.47 24d 1 0.45mi
127 N Glover St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1110 $2,100 $1.89 3d 1 0.45mi
227 S Madeira St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1100 $2,200 $2.00 44d 1 0.46mi
802 N Broadway #1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1120 $1,800 $1.61 18d 1 0.48mi
251 S Durham St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1120 $2,300 $2.05 24d 1 0.49mi
415 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,300 $1.29 24d 1 0.52mi
305 S Collington Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 722 $2,895 $4.01 17d 1 0.53mi
328 S Collington Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,300 $2.09 44d 1 0.54mi
531 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,700 $1.55 24d 1 0.54mi
1418 E Monument St Baltimore, MD 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1265 $1,602 $1.27 15d 5 0.63mi
1910 Eastern Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 850 $1,375 $1.62 20d 1 0.63mi
2729 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 3d 1 0.65mi
210 S Caroline St Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 808 $1,965 $2.43 44d 23 0.69mi
520 Somerset St Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 634 $1,578 $2.49 44d 1 0.71mi
2018 Fountain St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 18d 1 0.73mi
1742 Fleet St Unit 204 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 916 $2,100 $2.29 44d 1 0.73mi
2221 E Preston St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 658 $1,200 $1.82 24d 1 0.73mi
1226 E Madison St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,179 $1.98 4d 1 0.74mi
520 N Decker Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 44d 1 0.74mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-04
    listed $159,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,565 · $297/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,565 · $297/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,301
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$3,565
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,864
− Management
−$1,864
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable income
$1,681
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$403
After-tax cash flow
$3,639/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
14,969
Household income
$85,254
Rent vs Own
65.8% rent · 34.2% own
Severe rent burden
1147.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -545.26%
Current HPI
351.3778
Rent YoY
▲ 2.26%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1573.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $159,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-06-18 Delisted MRIS
  • 2008-05-05 Listed MRIS
  • 2007-11-17 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-10-31 Listed MRIS
  • 2006-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $101,000 Public Records
  • 2005-10-31 Sold (MLS) $101,000 MRIS
  • 2005-09-20 Delisted MRIS
  • 2005-09-13 Listed $89,000 MRIS
  • 1981-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,565 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…