204 N Chester St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor opportunity! Incredible opportunity to own a three-level townhome with basement in one of Baltimore's sought-after neighborhoods - just minutes from John Hopkins and I-83. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features an unfinished basement, offering the potential to add valuable square footage and maximize your investment. Sitting on an impressive 86-foot lot, this property has rare potential for two-car parking AND a rear addition - an exceptional find in the city. The home is located on a quiet block with charming cafe lights and desirable permit parking. Priced to reflect condition, this property is being sold strictly as-is with no repairs or credits. Bring your vision and unlock thi
Key facts
- Rear addition
- Two-car parking
- Unfinished basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership interest: Ground rent
- Financial info: Ground rent $40 paid semi-annually; Property condition: Major rehab needed
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas heating and hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Estimated year built
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Other structures above and below grade
- Exterior features: In city limits; Ground rent exists (semi-annual payment)
Interior
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Basement with connecting stairway, unfinished; Living area measured per assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $157k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $101k; list at $159k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.08%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,512
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Collington Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 780 (-6%) | 3mo | $82,500 | $106 | 78 |
| 402 N Chester St | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 870 (+5%) | 3mo | $152,000 | $175 | 77 |
| 318 S Duncan St S | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 816 (-2%) | 2mo | $289,900 | $355 | 63 |
| 311 S Chapel St | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 858 (+3%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $274 | 62 |
| 2207 Mullikin St | 0.10mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 924 (+11%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $195 | 62 |
| 410 N Washington St | 0.13mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 950 (+14%) | 2mo | $226,900 | $239 | 58 |
| 322 S Duncan St | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 924 (+11%) | 0mo | $280,000 | $303 | 51 |
| 2202 Prentiss Pl | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 900 (+8%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $178 | 48 |
| 155 N Streeper St | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 912 (+10%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $241 | 48 |
| 2510 Fleet St | 0.74mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 912 (+10%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $345 | 40 |
| 2615 E Chase St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 952 (+14%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $157 | 38 |
| 2010 Fountain St | 0.70mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 923 (+11%) | 3mo | $282,000 | $306 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-5,657
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $17,260
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21231
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,942 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$297 /mo · $3,565/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$408
- Net cashflow
- $337
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 N Madeira St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2308 Jefferson St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,450 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 16 N Bradford St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 3.5 | 930 | $2,400 | $2.58 | 4d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 437 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 712 N Duncan St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 402 N Milton Ave Unit 402B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,290 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 107 N Port St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 870 | $1,995 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 16 S Wolfe St Unit B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,800 | $1.78 | 18d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,468 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,468 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 224 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1120 | $1,875 | $1.67 | 18d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 233 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 934 | $1,750 | $1.87 | 18d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 104 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,500 | $2.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1923 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 862 | $1,770 | $2.05 | 20d | 2 | 0.39mi |
| 517 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,400 | $1.66 | 4d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1923 Ashland Ave Unit 401 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,795 | $2.11 | 20d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 720 N Port St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1818 E Pratt St Apt B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2608 E Fayette St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 502 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 827 | $1,250 | $1.51 | 20d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 211 S Madeira St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $1,650 | $2.01 | 4d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 415 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1092 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 127 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 227 S Madeira St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 802 N Broadway #1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,800 | $1.61 | 18d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 251 S Durham St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $2,300 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 415 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 305 S Collington Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 722 | $2,895 | $4.01 | 17d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 328 S Collington Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 531 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1418 E Monument St Baltimore, MD | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1265 | $1,602 | $1.27 | 15d | 5 | 0.63mi |
| 1910 Eastern Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,375 | $1.62 | 20d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2729 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 210 S Caroline St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 808 | $1,965 | $2.43 | 44d | 23 | 0.69mi |
| 520 Somerset St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 634 | $1,578 | $2.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2018 Fountain St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 18d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1742 Fleet St Unit 204 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 916 | $2,100 | $2.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2221 E Preston St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 658 | $1,200 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1226 E Madison St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,179 | $1.98 | 4d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 520 N Decker Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-04$159,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,565 · $297/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,565 · $297/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,301
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$3,565
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,864
- − Management
- −$1,864
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable income
- $1,681
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$403
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,639/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,969
- Household income
- $85,254
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1147.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -545.26%
- Current HPI
- 351.3778
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.26%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+1573.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $159,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-06-18 Delisted — MRIS
- 2008-05-05 Listed — MRIS
- 2007-11-17 Delisted — MRIS
- 2007-10-31 Listed — MRIS
- 2006-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $101,000 Public Records
- 2005-10-31 Sold (MLS) $101,000 MRIS
- 2005-09-20 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-09-13 Listed $89,000 MRIS
- 1981-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,565 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…