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268 Winona St E Duplex
C+ Composite 64.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,000

268 Winona St E · St. Paul, MN 55107
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1894 4,922 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity knocks with this well maintained duplex. Own for less than rent. Your new home has great location and proximity to schools, parks, boys and girls club for kids, retail, restaurants and Downtown. Move in and enjoy.

Key facts

  • Nice porch
  • Updated electric
  • New tile

Tags

NEW ROOFUPDATED ELECTRICBUILT IN BUFFETHARDWOOD FLOORSNEW TILENICE PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total of 2 rental units
  • Financial info: Owner pays: fuel, insurance, repairs, sewer, taxes, trash collection, water; Estimated fuel expense: $1,300; Estimated water/sewer expense: $850; Estimated trash expense: $784; Estimated insurance expense: $1,800; Estimated maintenance expense: $500; Gross income: $30,840; Property has a standard rental license; tenants pay electricity
  • HOA & community: Association provides coin-op laundry (owned)

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking lot; 1-car garage (approx. 18 x 14, 7' door height, 9' door width); 2 parking spaces allocated to each unit
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential income property; Duplex (up and down); Two levels; Entry level split across units
  • Construction: Stone foundation; Asphalt pitched roof (age 8 years or less)
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Front porch; Rear porch; Metal and vinyl exterior; Chain link fencing; Medium tree coverage on lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 125

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 1 bedroom
  • Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 full bathroom; Unit 2: 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window cooling in one unit
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Natural woodwork; Porch; Kitchen window
  • Laundry & utility: Coin-op laundry (association owned); Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $259k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $763 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $381/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $259k).
  • Recommended offer: $255k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 64 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,260/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 639% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $190k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1894 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $255,115 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1894 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.83%
Cash-on-cash
12.62%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$23,892
Equity at exit
$38,618
10-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$162,017
Equity at exit
$22,394

Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55107

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Rents YoY
10.8%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,260 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,358
Tax from tax record
$347 /mo · $4,160/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$685
Net cashflow
$763

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,295
Max offer price $259,000
Occupancy floor 72%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,260

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,750
Closing costs
$7,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
993 Robert St S Saint Paul, MN 2.0 2.0 1214 $1,765 $1.45 5d 1 0.47mi
422 Arion St E West St Paul, MN 2.0 1.0 1072 $1,395 $1.30 24d 1 0.59mi
421 Stanley St Unit 423 St Paul, MN 2.0 1.0 1350 $1,850 $1.37 5d 1 0.61mi
460 Stanley St Unit 2 West St Paul, MN 2.0 1.0 925 $1,300 $1.41 15d 1 0.69mi
45 Butler Ave E Saint Paul, MN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1040 $1,682 $1.62 2d 12 0.80mi
140 Belvidere St W Unit 1 St Paul, MN 2.0 1.0 1600 $1,650 $1.03 3d 1 0.86mi
1266 Gorman Ave Saint Paul, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0 816 $1,329 $1.63 16d 3 1.02mi
1905 Parkwood Dr South Saint Paul, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 972 $1,470 $1.51 3d 7 1.21mi
177 Thompson Ave E West St Paul, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 850 $1,450 $1.71 2d 4 1.31mi
100 Imperial Dr W #303 Saint Paul, MN 3.0 2.0 1646 $2,800 $1.70 24d 1 1.33mi
1380 Bidwell St Saint Paul, MN 2.0 2.0 1106 $1,700 $1.54 18d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-21
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  3. 2026-04-02
    listed $259,000 Active
  4. 2019-10-23
    soldstatus $190,000
  5. 2019-10-11
    soldstatus $190,000 Sold 225-char remark
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Opportunity knocks with this well maintained duplex. Own for less than rent. Your new home has great location and proximity to schools, parks, boys and girls club for kids, retail, restaurants and Downtown. Move in and enjoy.

  6. 2019-09-09
    status Pending 225-char remark
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Opportunity knocks with this well maintained duplex. Own for less than rent. Your new home has great location and proximity to schools, parks, boys and girls club for kids, retail, restaurants and Downtown. Move in and enjoy.

  7. 2019-09-03
    historical Contingent - Inspection 225-char remark
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Opportunity knocks with this well maintained duplex. Own for less than rent. Your new home has great location and proximity to schools, parks, boys and girls club for kids, retail, restaurants and Downtown. Move in and enjoy.

  8. 2019-08-30
    listed $189,900 Active 225-char remark
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Opportunity knocks with this well maintained duplex. Own for less than rent. Your new home has great location and proximity to schools, parks, boys and girls club for kids, retail, restaurants and Downtown. Move in and enjoy.

  9. 2007-07-24
    soldstatus $152,900
  10. 2007-07-19
    soldstatus $152,900 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    Quiet neighborhood, newly-remodeled kitchen, hdwd flrs, blt-in buffet w/flanking bookcases. Mother-in-law apt w/separate entrance brings $395/month. High ceilings & formal DR. Close walking distance to Riverview Elementary & West Side Boys & Girls Club.

  11. 2007-06-29
    historical 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    Quiet neighborhood, newly-remodeled kitchen, hdwd flrs, blt-in buffet w/flanking bookcases. Mother-in-law apt w/separate entrance brings $395/month. High ceilings & formal DR. Close walking distance to Riverview Elementary & West Side Boys & Girls Club.

  12. 2007-01-12
    listed $152,900 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    Quiet neighborhood, newly-remodeled kitchen, hdwd flrs, blt-in buffet w/flanking bookcases. Mother-in-law apt w/separate entrance brings $395/month. High ceilings & formal DR. Close walking distance to Riverview Elementary & West Side Boys & Girls Club.

  13. 2006-10-10
    historical
  14. 2006-06-05
    listed $199,900
  15. 2006-06-05
    historical
  16. 2006-03-07
    historical
  17. 2006-03-07
    listed $225,000
  18. 2006-02-16
    listed $239,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,160 · $347/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,160 · $347/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,120
− Mortgage interest
−$14,508
− Property taxes
−$4,160
− Insurance
−$1,295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,130
− Management
−$3,130
− Depreciation
−$7,535
Taxable income
$5,363
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,287
After-tax cash flow
$7,864/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Paul Public School District
NCES district ID
2733840
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,316
Composite
23.51/100
National rank
#7868
State rank
#270 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. Paul

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Paul, MN
County
Ramsey County · 542,837 people
City population
280,599
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
15,377
Household income
$74,531
Rent vs Own
39.4% rent · 60.6% own
Severe rent burden
639.0

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
603,431 people
By 2030
636,459 · +5.5%
By 2040
700,596 · +16.1%
By 2050
765,819 · +26.9%
By 2075
929,297 · +54.0%
By 2100
1,053,924 · +74.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 16% Black 13% Asian 9% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.70%
Current HPI
298.8714
Rent YoY
▲ 10.76%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.4% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $259,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 2019-10-11 Sold (MLS) $190,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-09 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-03 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-30 Listed $189,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $152,900 Public Records
  • 2007-07-19 Sold (MLS) $152,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-06-29 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-01-12 Listed $152,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-10 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-06-05 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-06-05 Listed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-03-07 Listed $225,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-03-07 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-02-16 Listed $239,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,160 · +21.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…