131 NW Moriarty St · Fort Walton Beach, FL 32548

$169,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,158 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market

Built 1956 0.26 ac lot Est $286k · 41% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +8.8/10.0
• 1% rule +5.7/10.0
• Schools +5.2/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This home has been completely remodeled. Hardwood floors, crown moldings, inside laundry room, and an office are just some of the highlights. Even the yard is green!

Key facts

• 0.26 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1956

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
• Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 0.9% in Fort Walton Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#111 in FL, #1,628 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
• Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Annette P. Edwins Elementary School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,288 of 2,144 statewide, top 62%, 453 students, 80% FRL); Fort Walton Beach High School (math 54% / reading 58%, grade C, #131 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 1,620 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 36% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 341 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 6 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $76k; list at $169k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $169,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.07% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.29%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.70%
• DSCR: 1.48
• GRM: 7.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $286,026
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
131 NW Moriarty St	0.00mi	3/1.0	1,158 (0%)	1mo	$140,000	$121	99
224 NW Gilda Pl	0.32mi	3/1.5	1,151 (-1%)	3mo	$200,000	$174	80
9 NW Highland Dr	0.61mi	3/1.0	1,152 (-0%)	5mo	$285,000	$247	67
213 NW Moriarty St	0.19mi	3/1.0	1,326 (+14%)	0mo	$269,000	$203	67
315 NW Leah Miller Dr	0.55mi	3/2.0	1,134 (-2%)	1mo	$289,900	$256	66
214 NW Jet Ct	0.46mi	3/2.0	1,075 (-7%)	7mo	$275,000	$256	57
7 NW Highland Dr	0.62mi	3/1.0	1,080 (-7%)	6mo	$225,000	$208	55
113 NW Mississippi Ave	0.50mi	3/2.0	1,256 (+8%)	5mo	$387,500	$309	54
217 NW Martisa Rd	0.50mi	3/2.0	1,281 (+11%)	7mo	$300,000	$234	49
34 NW Hemlock Dr	0.58mi	3/2.0	1,050 (-9%)	6mo	$320,000	$305	48
307 NW Sikes Cir	0.68mi	3/2.0	1,258 (+9%)	2mo	$325,000	$258	48
44 NW Robinwood Dr	0.46mi	3/2.0	1,320 (+14%)	7mo	$319,000	$242	46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -2.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.92×
• Total profit: $-3,564
• Equity at exit: $25,198

10-year hold

• IRR: 5.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.41×
• Total profit: $19,377
• Equity at exit: $14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32548

• Home prices YoY: -31.1%
• Rents YoY: 1.3%
• Active inventory: 341
• Price-to-rent: 7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,803 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$886
• Tax from tax record: −$46 /mo · $547/yr
• Insurance: −$70
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$379
• Net cashflow: $422

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,269

Max offer price $169,000

Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $42,250
• Closing costs: $5,070
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
305 Leah Miller Dr NW Fort Walton Beach, FL	3.0	1.5	1334	$2,000	$1.50	21d	1	0.47mi
115 Beal Pkwy NW Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	2.5	1440	$1,995	$1.39	43d	1	0.50mi
110 Loizos Dr NW Fort Walton Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1148	$2,200	$1.92	43d	1	0.53mi
405 Marshall Ct Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1000	$1,495	$1.50	43d	1	0.86mi
402 Marshall Ct NW #6 Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1050	$1,500	$1.43	21d	1	0.91mi
5 Laguna St #104 Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1269	$2,575	$2.03	44d	1	0.95mi
44 Wright Pkwy NW Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,350	$1.35	21d	1	0.95mi
607 W Sunset Blvd Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	840	$1,600	$1.90	21d	1	0.95mi
218 Rose Marie Ln SW Fort Walton Beach, FL	3.0	1.0	1208	$1,750	$1.45	21d	1	1.01mi
1850 Stella Ln Unit 4-417 Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	980	$1,800	$1.84	43d	1	1.05mi
1850 Stella Ln Unit 4-411 Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	980	$1,650	$1.68	13d	1	1.05mi
1861 Stella Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	980	$1,650	$1.68	13d	5	1.05mi
140 Opp Blvd NE Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.5	896	$1,750	$1.95	43d	1	1.05mi
120 Opp Blvd NE Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.5	1240	$1,700	$1.37	21d	1	1.10mi
17 Cape Dr NW Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1462	$1,995	$1.36	13d	1	1.10mi
1855 Stella Ln Unit 6-617 Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	980	$1,650	$1.68	13d	1	1.11mi
115 Hughes St NE Unit D2 Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	1066	$1,900	$1.78	21d	1	1.11mi
1851 Stella Ln Unit 5-538 Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	980	$1,650	$1.68	13d	1	1.11mi
358 Coral Dr SW Fort Walton Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1350	$1,800	$1.33	43d	1	1.11mi
604 Colonial Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	818	$1,624	$1.99	43d	1	1.14mi
210 Pelham Rd Fort Walton Beach, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0	809	$1,500	$1.85	13d	2	1.14mi
1863 Norwood Ct Unit 4 Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	960	$1,350	$1.41	43d	1	1.20mi
337 Lewis St Unit F Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	864	$1,225	$1.42	43d	1	1.23mi
1855 Norwood Ct Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	960	$1,400	$1.46	43d	1	1.24mi
1855 Norwood Ct #5 Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	960	$1,350	$1.41	43d	1	1.24mi
646 Virginia Oak Ct Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.5	1278	$1,545	$1.21	13d	1	1.25mi
1850 Norwood Ct Unit 2 Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	960	$1,350	$1.41	21d	1	1.25mi
645 Virginia Oak Ct Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.5	1254	$1,900	$1.52	13d	1	1.25mi
303 South Ave Unit 1 Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	750	$1,350	$1.80	43d	1	1.26mi
1851 Norwood Ct Unit 4 Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	960	$1,350	$1.41	21d	1	1.26mi
101 Church Ave SE Unit 204 Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	945	$1,676	$1.77	43d	1	1.27mi
106 Valencia Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL	3.0	1.5	1320	$1,450	$1.10	21d	1	1.27mi
103 Church Ave SE Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	930	$1,300	$1.40	21d	1	1.27mi
413 Sea Rover Ln NW Unit F Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.5	1035	$1,600	$1.55	13d	1	1.28mi
413 Sea Rover Ln NW Unit F Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.5	1035	$1,600	$1.55	21d	1	1.28mi
2404 Suwanee Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.5	1242	$1,700	$1.37	21d	1	1.30mi
2400 Suwanee Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.5	1242	$1,700	$1.37	21d	1	1.30mi
2415 Suwanee Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.5	1250	$1,700	$1.36	43d	1	1.32mi
204 Davenport Rd Unit 15 Fort Walton Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	800	$1,200	$1.50	43d	1	1.34mi
321 Woodrow St NE Fort Walton Beach, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1017	$1,850	$1.82	13d	6	1.35mi

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-03-17
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-04
   status Pending
3. 2026-01-31
   listed $169,000 Active
4. 2002-03-28
   soldstatus $76,400 165-char remark

   Show marketing remark (165 chars)

   This home has been completely remodeled. Hardwood floors, crown moldings, inside laundry room, and an office are just some of the highlights. Even the yard is green!

5. 2002-03-28
   soldstatus $76,400 165-char remark

   Show marketing remark (165 chars)

   This home has been completely remodeled. Hardwood floors, crown moldings, inside laundry room, and an office are just some of the highlights. Even the yard is green!

6. 2001-12-21
   listed $79,900 165-char remark

   Show marketing remark (165 chars)

   This home has been completely remodeled. Hardwood floors, crown moldings, inside laundry room, and an office are just some of the highlights. Even the yard is green!

7. 2001-12-21
   listed $79,900 165-char remark

   Show marketing remark (165 chars)

   This home has been completely remodeled. Hardwood floors, crown moldings, inside laundry room, and an office are just some of the highlights. Even the yard is green!

8. 2001-10-31
   soldstatus $52,000
9. 2001-10-31
   soldstatus $52,000
10. 2001-10-05
    listed $54,900
11. 2001-10-05
    listed $54,900
12. 1998-04-02
    listed $68,000
13. 1985-01-01
    soldstatus $39,000
14. 1977-01-01
    soldstatus $12,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $547 · $46/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,403 · $117/mo
• Expected delta: +$855/yr (+$71/mo · 156.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,634
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,467
• − Property taxes: −$547
• − Insurance: −$845
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,731
• − Management: −$1,731
• − Depreciation: −$4,916
• Taxable income: $2,398
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$575
• After-tax cash flow: $4,488/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Okaloosa
• NCES district ID: 1201380
• Math proficiency: 60% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 60% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $55,601
• Composite: 51.62/100
• National rank: #1705
• State rank: #12 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fort Walton Beach

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #111
• US rank: #1628

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Fort Walton Beach, FL
• County: Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
• City population: 59,301
• Metro: Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
• Population (ZIP): 23,774
• Household income: $65,342
• Rent vs Own: 42.0% rent · 58.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 889.0

Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 235,133 people
• By 2030: 253,483 · +7.8%
• By 2040: 289,537 · +23.1%
• By 2050: 322,954 · +37.3%
• By 2075: 399,624 · +70.0%
• By 2100: 425,311 · +80.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: White 63% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 12% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -123.88%
• Current HPI: 274.8418
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.33%
• Metro: Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+1262.9% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-17 Pending — ECAR
• 2026-02-04 Pending — ECAR
• 2026-01-31 Listed $169,000 ECAR
• 2002-03-28 Sold (MLS) $76,400 ECAR
• 2002-03-28 Sold (MLS) $76,400 NAMLS
• 2001-12-21 Listed $79,900 ECAR
• 2001-12-21 Listed $79,900 NAMLS
• 2001-10-31 Sold (MLS) $52,000 NAMLS
• 2001-10-31 Sold (MLS) $52,000 ECAR
• 2001-10-05 Listed $54,900 NAMLS
• 2001-10-05 Listed $54,900 ECAR
• 1998-04-02 Listed $68,000 ECAR
• 1985-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
• 1977-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $547 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.