167 Winfall Blvd · Winfall, NC
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome Home!! This move-in ready 4-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring numerous upgrades throughout! Recent improvements include new kitchen and bathroom cabinets and countertops, appliances, water heater, dual-zone HVAC system, carpet, and fresh paint. Conveniently located near the charming downtown area of Hertford, this home offers easy access to schools, fishing, and shopping. Situated on a spacious half-acre lot with mature trees, the property also includes a large attached two-car garage. Priced to sell, this is one you'll definitely want to add to your must-see list!
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Numerous upgrades
- New kitchen cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: r
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car attached garage with garage door opener; Garage faces side; Off-street parking (unpaved)
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Entry level: 1st floor; Residential property
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Composition roof; Built as part of a two-story structure
- Exterior features: No patio or porch; No fencing; No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Smoke detector(s); Has a view
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (16.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.6% in Winfall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#705 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Perquimans County Schools (rural): math 44% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #83 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Perquimans Central (391 students, 65% FRL); Perquimans County Middle (math 39% / reading 48%, grade D, #182 of 475 statewide, top 40%, 366 students, 59% FRL); Perquimans County High (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 518 students, 59% FRL).
- Market conditions: 339 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 46 units permitted in Perquimans County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Perquimans County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.71%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $175,290
- Equity at exit
- $270,174
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.03×
- Total profit
- $506,413
- Equity at exit
- $582,640
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27944
- Home prices YoY
- 9.5%
- Active inventory
- 339
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,049/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $190
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 134 Cottonwood Dr Hertford, NC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2068 | $2,500 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $299,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $299,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $299,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$299,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,049 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,459 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,410/yr (+$118/mo · 134.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$1,049
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$2,872
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$689
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,968/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Perquimans County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703600
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,593
- Composite
- 38.75/100
- National rank
- #4124
- State rank
- #83 of 178 in NC
Livability — Winfall
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #705
- US rank
- #25598
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winfall, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,255
Population outlook (Perquimans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,018 people
- By 2030
- 12,716 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 11,895 · -8.6%
- By 2050
- 10,981 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 8,931 · -31.4%
- By 2100
- 7,101 · -45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 20% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Perquimans
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.4) · D 29.7% · R 69.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -13.9pp · 2024: -39.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.4 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+28.1 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 22.77%
- Current HPI
- 261.91
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $299,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
-1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,049 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…