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167 Winfall Blvd
C- Composite 54.18
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$299,900

167 Winfall Blvd · Winfall, NC 27944
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,774 sqft · Other public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1963 0.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome Home!! This move-in ready 4-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring numerous upgrades throughout! Recent improvements include new kitchen and bathroom cabinets and countertops, appliances, water heater, dual-zone HVAC system, carpet, and fresh paint. Conveniently located near the charming downtown area of Hertford, this home offers easy access to schools, fishing, and shopping. Situated on a spacious half-acre lot with mature trees, the property also includes a large attached two-car garage. Priced to sell, this is one you'll definitely want to add to your must-see list!

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Numerous upgrades
  • New kitchen cabinets

Tags

MOVE-IN READYNUMEROUS UPGRADESNEW KITCHEN CABINETSNEW BATHROOM CABINETSNEW COUNTERTOPSNEW APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: r
  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car attached garage with garage door opener; Garage faces side; Off-street parking (unpaved)
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Entry level: 1st floor; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Composition roof; Built as part of a two-story structure
  • Exterior features: No patio or porch; No fencing; No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Smoke detector(s); Has a view
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (16.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $250k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.6% in Winfall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#705 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Perquimans County Schools (rural): math 44% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #83 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Perquimans Central (391 students, 65% FRL); Perquimans County Middle (math 39% / reading 48%, grade D, #182 of 475 statewide, top 40%, 366 students, 59% FRL); Perquimans County High (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 518 students, 59% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 339 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 46 units permitted in Perquimans County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Perquimans County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $250,000 (16.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.71%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.2%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$175,290
Equity at exit
$270,174
10-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
7.03×
Total profit
$506,413
Equity at exit
$582,640

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27944

Home prices YoY
9.5%
Active inventory
339
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,049/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$190

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,260
Max offer price $299,900
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
134 Cottonwood Dr Hertford, NC 3.0 3.0 2068 $2,500 $1.21 23d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $299,900 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,900 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,900 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,900 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,900 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,900 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $299,900 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,900 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,900 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,900 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,900 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,900 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,900 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,900 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $299,900 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-21
    listed $299,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,049 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,459 · $205/mo
Expected delta
+$1,410/yr (+$118/mo · 134.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,000
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$1,049
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,400
− Management
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$2,872
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$689
After-tax cash flow
$2,968/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Perquimans County Schools
NCES district ID
3703600
Math proficiency
44% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$42,593
Composite
38.75/100
National rank
#4124
State rank
#83 of 178 in NC

Livability — Winfall

Score
50/100
State rank
#705
US rank
#25598

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Winfall, NC
Population (ZIP)
11,255

Population outlook (Perquimans County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,018 people
By 2030
12,716 · -2.3%
By 2040
11,895 · -8.6%
By 2050
10,981 · -15.6%
By 2075
8,931 · -31.4%
By 2100
7,101 · -45.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 20% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Perquimans

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.4) · D 29.7% · R 69.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -13.9pp · 2024: -39.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.4 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+28.1 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 22.77%
Current HPI
261.91
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $299,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,049 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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