5061 Briarwood Cir · Pinson, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 3-bedroom residence is the epitome of comfort, space, & functionality. Perfect for everyday living & entertaining, its one-level layout was designed for convenience & elegance. The grand living room with its cathedral ceiling is flooded by natural light from floor-to-ceiling windows flanking the 2-story masonry fireplace. The living area flows seamlessly into the dining area & a large kitchen with tons of cabinets. The dining room opens directly outside to the massive deck for morning coffee, outdoor gatherings, & easy grilling. The primary bedroom has its own en-suite bathroom & a private door leading outside to the peaceful deck. A 2nd full bath services 2 additional guest bedrooms. The full basement includes a versatile den & a built-in bar area--ideal for a family room, recreation area, or home office. The basement also provides direct access to the attached garage & extra storage. This home is an ideal balance of timeless comfort & modern-day practicality. Come see!
Key facts
- Grand living room
- One-level layout
- En-suite bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (2.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.3% in Pinson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#289 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $165k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.77%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $220,493
- List price
- $164,900
- Delta
- -25.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6990 Treeline Ln | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,250 (+2%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $160 | 71 |
| 6815 Ridgeline Way | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,121 (-9%) | 2mo | $135,500 | $121 | 68 |
| 5334 Boxwood Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+1%) | 4mo | $122,000 | $98 | 68 |
| 4553 Morgan Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (+14%) | 10mo | $307,900 | $219 | 53 |
| 5483 Faucett Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,148 (-7%) | 16mo | $185,000 | $161 | 53 |
| 4581 Morgan Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (+14%) | 11mo | $289,900 | $206 | 52 |
| 6910 Heather Ln | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-12%) | 9mo | $145,000 | $134 | 50 |
| 4545 Morgan Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (+14%) | 18mo | $291,900 | $207 | 48 |
| 4627 Lakes Edge Cv | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,262 (+2%) | 19mo | $195,000 | $155 | 47 |
| 6713 Lakes Edge Ln | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,259 (+2%) | 15mo | $175,000 | $139 | 46 |
| 6712 Lakes Edge Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+14%) | 5mo | $276,000 | $197 | 39 |
| 4640 Lakes Edge Cv | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,164 (-6%) | 22mo | $145,000 | $125 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-12,402
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,505
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35126
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,601 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $855/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $260
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6877 Briarwood Dr Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $1,595 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5433 Faucett Rd Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,395 | $1.22 | 10d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5421 Faucett Rd Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,195 | $0.96 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4627 Lakes Edge Cv Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,496 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6916 Brittany Ln Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $1,665 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 6825 Brittany Pl Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,573 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 6594 Davison Rd Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6568 Davison Rd Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,435 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6541 Womack Rd Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $1,470 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5653 Cheryl Dr Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,220 | $1.20 | 11d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $164,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $164,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $164,900 Contingent 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,900 Contingent 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,900 Contingent 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,900 Contingent 69 DOM
-
2026-05-07historical Contingent 1051-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
This charming 3-bedroom residence is the epitome of comfort, space, & functionality. Perfect for everyday living & entertaining, its one-level layout was designed for convenience & elegance. The grand living room with its cathedral ceiling is flooded by natural light from floor-to-ceiling windows flanking the 2-story masonry fireplace. The living area flows seamlessly into the dining area & a large kitchen with tons of cabinets. The dining room opens directly outside to the massive deck for morning coffee, outdoor gatherings, & easy grilling. The primary bedroom has its own en-suite bathroom & a private door leading outside to the peaceful deck. A 2nd full bath services 2 additional guest bedrooms. The full basement includes a versatile den & a built-in bar area--ideal for a family room, recreation area, or home office. The basement also provides direct access to the attached garage & extra storage. This home is an ideal balance of timeless comfort & modern-day practicality. Come see!
-
2026-03-23$164,900 Active 1051-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
This charming 3-bedroom residence is the epitome of comfort, space, & functionality. Perfect for everyday living & entertaining, its one-level layout was designed for convenience & elegance. The grand living room with its cathedral ceiling is flooded by natural light from floor-to-ceiling windows flanking the 2-story masonry fireplace. The living area flows seamlessly into the dining area & a large kitchen with tons of cabinets. The dining room opens directly outside to the massive deck for morning coffee, outdoor gatherings, & easy grilling. The primary bedroom has its own en-suite bathroom & a private door leading outside to the peaceful deck. A 2nd full bath services 2 additional guest bedrooms. The full basement includes a versatile den & a built-in bar area--ideal for a family room, recreation area, or home office. The basement also provides direct access to the attached garage & extra storage. This home is an ideal balance of timeless comfort & modern-day practicality. Come see!
-
1979-07-17soldstatus $50,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $855 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $855 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,217
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$855
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,537
- − Management
- −$1,537
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable income
- $429
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$103
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,022/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Pinson
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #289
- US rank
- #18763
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pinson, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 22,599
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,599
- Household income
- $83,732
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 267.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1% Chinese 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.52%
- Current HPI
- 188.6439
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.61%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+227.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $164,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1979-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $50,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $855 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…