111 Sheppard Ct · Georgetown, KY 40324

$1

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,506 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market

Built 1992 0.53 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +5.4/30.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +1.0/10.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Absolute Auction Saturday June 20th at 10:00AM on location! Preview dates are June 14th from 2:00-4:00PM and Thursday June 18th from 5:00-7:00PM. No other showing times are available. Buyers to verify all aspects of the property.

Key facts

• 0.53 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1992

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located in Moon Lake subdivision; County: Scott

Exterior

• Parking: Garage faces front; Has garage
• Utilities: Public sewer
• Home design: House; Multi/split levels
• Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding exterior; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Building area approximately 1,506
• Exterior features: Shed(s); Chain link fencing; Public water

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 total rooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
• Interior features: Partial basement; No fireplace

🔨 Auction listing. The $1 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $307,224 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-672 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $1).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#75 in KY, #2,338 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
• Scott County (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #31 of 165 in KY (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Northern Elementary School (math 43% / reading 48%, grade D-, #142 of 676 statewide, top 21%, 454 students, 34% FRL); Scott County Middle School (math 38% / reading 53%, grade D+, #32 of 217 statewide, top 15%, 864 students, 35% FRL); Scott County High School (math 34% / reading 37%, grade F, #73 of 254 statewide, top 28%, 1,197 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 546 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Scott County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 460836.0% of price.

Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.60% ✗
• Cap rate: 3.67%
• Cash-on-cash: -9.38%
• DSCR: 0.58
• GRM: 13.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $307,224
• Comps found: 5

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
108 Agena Dr	0.44mi	3/2.0	1,512 (+0%)	4mo	$303,000	$200	76
120 Gemini Trl	0.25mi	3/2.0	1,440 (-4%)	18mo	$275,000	$191	66
187 Gemini Trl	0.47mi	3/2.0	1,614 (+7%)	15mo	$330,000	$204	54
2495 Cincinnati Rd	0.64mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,338 (-11%)	6mo	$285,000	$213	41
220 Gemini Trl	0.75mi	3/2.0	1,284 (-15%)	23mo	$304,000	$237	22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -33.0%
• Equity multiple: -0.08×
• Total profit: $-92,574
• Equity at exit: $45,808

10-year hold

• IRR: -39.6%
• Equity multiple: -0.58×
• Total profit: $-135,634
• Equity at exit: $26,563

Cash invested: $86,023 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kentucky: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 40324

• Rents YoY: 3.0%
• Active inventory: 441

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,837 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,611
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$384 /mo · $4,608/yr
• Insurance: −$128
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$386
• Net cashflow: $-672

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,688

Max offer price $209,944

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $76,806
• Closing costs: $9,217
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $1 Active 7 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $1 Active 6 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $1 Active 5 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $1 Active 4 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   remarks 229-char remark
6. 2026-06-14
   listed $1 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,039
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,209
• − Property taxes: −$4,608
• − Insurance: −$1,536
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,763
• − Management: −$1,763
• − Depreciation: −$8,937
• Taxable loss: −$13,779
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,307
• After-tax cash flow: $-4,760/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Scott County
• NCES district ID: 2105260
• Math proficiency: 32% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -16.00%
• Median HH income: $61,324
• Composite: 33.87/100
• National rank: #5348
• State rank: #31 of 165 in KY

Livability — Georgetown

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #75
• US rank: #2338

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Scott County · 53,406 people
• City population: 53,406
• Metro: Lexington-Fayette, KY
• Population (ZIP): 53,406
• Household income: $85,110
• Rent vs Own: 30.6% rent · 69.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 993.0

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 63,814 people
• By 2030: 69,637 · +9.1%
• By 2040: 81,315 · +27.4%
• By 2050: 92,677 · +45.2%
• By 2075: 118,956 · +86.4%
• By 2100: 136,792 · +114.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+27.7) · D 35.3% · R 63.0% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -27.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+27.7 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+20.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -105.49%
• Current HPI: 187.89
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.00%
• Metro: Lexington-Fayette, KY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.81%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$118B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$7B

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,780 · +18.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.