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700 E Gobbi St #131
D+ Composite 45.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,900

700 E Gobbi St #131 · Ukiah, CA 95482
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Manufactured · 518 Days on market
Built 1974 $23/sqft · 62% below area ↓ 57% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.

Key facts

  • Outdoor pool
  • Large open layout
  • Sunrise light

Tags

LARGE OPEN LAYOUTSUNSET VIEWSSUNRISE LIGHTSERIES OF UPGRADESOUTDOOR POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 72.1% vs local median 3.0% in Ukiah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#425 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime D-.
  • Ukiah Unified (town): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #1,018 of 1,400 in CA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Mendocino County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mendocino County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 518 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $26,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 518 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
7.82%
Cap rate
72.13%
Cash-on-cash
235.13%
DSCR
11.46
GRM
1.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,500
List price
$29,900
Delta
-62.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
700 E Gobbi St #53 0.03mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+4%) 6mo $15,000 $11 83
660 Leslie St #80 0.43mi 2/1.5 1,300 (+0%) 2mo $117,500 $90 76
460 E Gobbi St #3 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+11%) 0mo $79,500 $55 68
660 Leslie St #25 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,320 (+2%) 8mo $169,000 $128 68
460 E Gobbi St #28 0.30mi 2/2.0 1,416 (+9%) 8mo $70,000 $49 64
700 E Gobbi St #55 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+11%) 14mo $107,000 $74 64
660 Leslie St #11 0.41mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+11%) 3mo $130,000 $90 60
460 E Gobbi St #27 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+11%) 16mo $75,000 $52 56
460 E Gobbi St #5 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,150 (-11%) 16mo $96,500 $84 55
660 Leslie St #68 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+11%) 8mo $80,000 $56 52
660 Leslie St #56 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,150 (-11%) 14mo $94,000 $82 51
460 E 460 E. Gobbi St #59 0.28mi 2/1.5 1,120 (-14%) 15mo $85,000 $76 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
10.58×
Total profit
$80,208
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
25.26×
Total profit
$203,137
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95482

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
1.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,338 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $448/yr
Insurance
$12
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$491
Net cashflow
$1,214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $801
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,235 -5% $1,224 +0% $1,214 +5% $1,204 +10% $1,193
Rent -10% $1,029 -5% $1,122 +0% $1,214 +5% $1,306 +10% $1,399
Rate -1.0pp $1,229 -0.5pp $1,221 base $1,214 +0.5pp $1,206 +1.0pp $1,198

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
705 El Rio St Unit D Ukiah, CA 3.0 1.5 1000 $2,195 $2.19 45d 1 0.16mi
570 Pomo Dr Ukiah, CA 3.0 2.0 1306 $2,650 $2.03 45d 1 0.20mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $29,900 Active 518 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,900 Active 517 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,900 Active 516 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,900 Active 515 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,900 Active 514 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $29,900 Active 512 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $29,900 Active 511 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,900 Active 508 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,900 Active 507 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,900 Active 506 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $29,900 Active 503 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $29,900 Active 502 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,900 Active 501 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,900 Active 500 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,900 Active 499 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $29,900 Active 498 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    price $29,900 842-char remark
    Show marketing remark (842 chars)

    Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.

  18. 2026-02-24
    price $41,900 842-char remark
    Show marketing remark (842 chars)

    Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.

  19. 2026-02-20
    status Active 842-char remark
    Show marketing remark (842 chars)

    Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.

  20. 2025-08-18
    status Active 842-char remark
    Show marketing remark (842 chars)

    Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.

  21. 2025-08-12
    historical Contingent (Show) 842-char remark
    Show marketing remark (842 chars)

    Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.

  22. 2025-05-19
    price $49,900 842-char remark
    Show marketing remark (842 chars)

    Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.

  23. 2025-05-19
    status Active 842-char remark
    Show marketing remark (842 chars)

    Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.

  24. 2024-10-30
    listed $52,900 Active 842-char remark
    Show marketing remark (842 chars)

    Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.

  25. 2024-08-12
    status Active
  26. 2024-08-02
    historical Contingent (Show)
  27. 2024-07-26
    status Active
  28. 2024-07-21
    historical
  29. 2024-06-15
    price $59,900
  30. 2024-05-21
    price $69,500
  31. 2024-05-21
    listed $69,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 20 unhealthy d/yr today · 22 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,056
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$448
− Insurance
−$5,268
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,244
− Management
−$2,244
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$15,306
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,673
After-tax cash flow
$10,893/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ukiah Unified
NCES district ID
0640300
Math proficiency
24% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$47,865
Composite
29.21/100
National rank
#11858
State rank
#1018 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Ukiah

Score
64/100
State rank
#425
US rank
#14442

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment D Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ukiah, CA
County
Mendocino County · 33,164 people
City population
33,164
Metro
Ukiah, CA
Population (ZIP)
33,164
Household income
$69,772
Rent vs Own
44.7% rent · 55.3% own
Severe rent burden
1349.0

Population outlook (Mendocino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,643 people
By 2030
82,138 · -3.0%
By 2040
76,402 · -9.7%
By 2050
71,759 · -15.2%
By 2075
61,454 · -27.4%
By 2100
50,130 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 18% Asian 3% Native American 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 25% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mendocino

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.8) · D 61.3% · R 34.5% · Other 4.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 42.8pp · 2024: 26.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.8 2020: D+35.8 2016: D+29.1 2012: D+37.6 2008: D+42.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -485.34%
Current HPI
164.6978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.07%
Metro
Ukiah, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-56.7% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $29,900 BAREIS
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $41,900 BAREIS
  • 2026-02-20 Relisted BAREIS
  • 2025-08-18 Relisted BAREIS
  • 2025-08-12 Contingent BAREIS
  • 2025-05-19 Price Changed $49,900 BAREIS
  • 2025-05-19 Relisted BAREIS
  • 2024-10-30 Listed $52,900 BAREIS
  • 2024-08-12 Relisted BAREIS
  • 2024-08-02 Contingent BAREIS
  • 2024-07-26 Relisted BAREIS
  • 2024-07-21 Delisted BAREIS
  • 2024-06-15 Price Changed $59,900 BAREIS
  • 2024-05-21 Price Changed $69,500 BAREIS
  • 2024-05-21 Listed $69,000 BAREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…