700 E Gobbi St #131 · Ukiah, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 20 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.
Key facts
- Outdoor pool
- Large open layout
- Sunrise light
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 72.1% vs local median 3.0% in Ukiah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#425 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime D-.
- Ukiah Unified (town): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #1,018 of 1,400 in CA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Mendocino County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mendocino County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 518 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 518 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 72.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 235.13%
- DSCR
- 11.46
- GRM
- 1.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,500
- List price
- $29,900
- Delta
- -62.39%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 700 E Gobbi St #53 | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+4%) | 6mo | $15,000 | $11 | 83 |
| 660 Leslie St #80 | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 | 1,300 (+0%) | 2mo | $117,500 | $90 | 76 |
| 460 E Gobbi St #3 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 0mo | $79,500 | $55 | 68 |
| 660 Leslie St #25 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+2%) | 8mo | $169,000 | $128 | 68 |
| 460 E Gobbi St #28 | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,416 (+9%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $49 | 64 |
| 700 E Gobbi St #55 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+11%) | 14mo | $107,000 | $74 | 64 |
| 660 Leslie St #11 | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $90 | 60 |
| 460 E Gobbi St #27 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 16mo | $75,000 | $52 | 56 |
| 460 E Gobbi St #5 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (-11%) | 16mo | $96,500 | $84 | 55 |
| 660 Leslie St #68 | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+11%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $56 | 52 |
| 660 Leslie St #56 | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (-11%) | 14mo | $94,000 | $82 | 51 |
| 460 E 460 E. Gobbi St #59 | 0.28mi | 2/1.5 | 1,120 (-14%) | 15mo | $85,000 | $76 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.58×
- Total profit
- $80,208
- Equity at exit
- $4,458
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 25.26×
- Total profit
- $203,137
- Equity at exit
- $2,585
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95482
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 1.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,338 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$37 /mo · $448/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$491
- Net cashflow
- $1,214
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,235 | -5% $1,224 | +0% $1,214 | +5% $1,204 | +10% $1,193 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,029 | -5% $1,122 | +0% $1,214 | +5% $1,306 | +10% $1,399 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,229 | -0.5pp $1,221 | base $1,214 | +0.5pp $1,206 | +1.0pp $1,198 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 El Rio St Unit D Ukiah, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,195 | $2.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 570 Pomo Dr Ukiah, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $2,650 | $2.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $29,900 Active 518 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $29,900 Active 517 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $29,900 Active 516 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $29,900 Active 515 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $29,900 Active 514 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $29,900 Active 512 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $29,900 Active 511 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,900 Active 508 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,900 Active 507 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,900 Active 506 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $29,900 Active 503 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $29,900 Active 502 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $29,900 Active 501 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,900 Active 500 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,900 Active 499 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $29,900 Active 498 DOM
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2026-05-04price $29,900 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.
-
2026-02-24price $41,900 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.
-
2026-02-20status Active 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.
-
2025-08-18status Active 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.
-
2025-08-12historical Contingent (Show) 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.
-
2025-05-19price $49,900 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.
-
2025-05-19status Active 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.
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2024-10-30$52,900 Active 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
Presenting a customization opportunity in the desirable Manor Oaks Senior Mobile Home Park. The home boasts a large open layout for the living, dining room and kitchen. One bedroom faces West with sunset views, and the other on the East receives the sunrise light; both bedrooms have fresh interior paint and partial upgraded bathrooms. The lot offers a few versions of serene peace; redevelop the backyard, enjoy the oversized southern facing porch or create a lush tropic garden escape in the northern nook. The park offers a club house with games, gathering space, a billiard table and hosted group events as well as an outdoor in-ground pool. The park location is conveniently adjacent to Highway 101, walking distance to shopping and dining, close to public transportation, it is obvious why it is one of the most sought after locations.
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2024-08-12status Active
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2024-08-02historical Contingent (Show)
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2024-07-26status Active
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2024-07-21historical
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2024-06-15price $59,900
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2024-05-21price $69,500
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2024-05-21$69,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 20 unhealthy d/yr today · 22 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,056
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$448
- − Insurance
- −$5,268
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,244
- − Management
- −$2,244
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $15,306
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,673
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,893/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ukiah Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0640300
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,865
- Composite
- 29.21/100
- National rank
- #11858
- State rank
- #1018 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Ukiah
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #425
- US rank
- #14442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ukiah, CA
- County
- Mendocino County · 33,164 people
- City population
- 33,164
- Metro
- Ukiah, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,164
- Household income
- $69,772
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1349.0
Population outlook (Mendocino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,643 people
- By 2030
- 82,138 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 76,402 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 71,759 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 61,454 · -27.4%
- By 2100
- 50,130 · -40.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 18% Asian 3% Native American 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 25% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mendocino
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.8) · D 61.3% · R 34.5% · Other 4.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 42.8pp · 2024: 26.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.8 2020: D+35.8 2016: D+29.1 2012: D+37.6 2008: D+42.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -485.34%
- Current HPI
- 164.6978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.07%
- Metro
- Ukiah, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-56.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $29,900 BAREIS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $41,900 BAREIS
- 2026-02-20 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2025-08-18 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2025-08-12 Contingent — BAREIS
- 2025-05-19 Price Changed $49,900 BAREIS
- 2025-05-19 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2024-10-30 Listed $52,900 BAREIS
- 2024-08-12 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2024-08-02 Contingent — BAREIS
- 2024-07-26 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2024-07-21 Delisted — BAREIS
- 2024-06-15 Price Changed $59,900 BAREIS
- 2024-05-21 Price Changed $69,500 BAREIS
- 2024-05-21 Listed $69,000 BAREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…